Trends and Opportunities

Transcription

1 Trends and Opportunities UAE Food and Beverage market Gulfood Breakfast briefing 27 th February 2017 Economic Research Department Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry Page 1

2 Section I: Overview and Growth Drivers Section II: Past growth and possible outlook Section III: Niche Markets Section IV: Business Opportunities Section V: Concluding Remarks Page 2

3 46,000 UAE Economic Overview Strong expected real GDP growth rate Expected Per Capita income and Real GDP Growth Rates (USD, y-o-y %) 4 44,000 42,000 40,000 38, , GDP per capita (USD, LHS) Real GDP growth, % (RHS) Source: Dubai Chamber based on IMF, World Economic Outlook (WEO) database October Page 3

4 UAE Demographic overview Robust expected population growth 12 UAE expected population (millions) Source: Dubai Chamber based on IMF, World Economic Outlook (WEO) database October Page 4

5 Growing Economies Strong growth in developing countries 6 Annual Real GDP growth (%) World Emerging market and developing economies Middle East and North Africa Source: Dubai Chamber based on IMF, World Economic Outlook (WEO) database October Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 5

6 Section I: Overview and Growth Drivers Section II: Past growth and possible outlook Section III: Niche Markets Section IV: Business Opportunities Section V: Concluding Remarks Page 6

7 UAE Food Sales Growing food retail sales value (AED Billion) Fresh Food Packaged food Expected Future 30 Past Source: Euromonitor International, Data from 2016 onwards based on forecasts from Euromonitor International. Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 7

8 UAE Soft Drink sales Growing soft drink retail sales value (AED billion) Soft drink Bottled water Expected Future Past Source: Euromonitor International, Data from 2017 onwards based on forecast from Euromonitor International. Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 8

9 UAE Hot Drink sales 5 Growing packaged tea and coffee retail sales value (AED billion) Source: Euromonitor International, Data from 2017 onwards based on forecast from Euromonitor International. Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 9

10 UAE Restaurant and Fast Food Sales Growing restaurant and fast food retail sales value (AED billion) Past Expected Future Restaurants Fast food Source: Euromonitor International, Data from 2016 onwards based on forecast from Euromonitor Intrenational. Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 10

11 Section I: Overview and Growth Drivers Section II: Past growth and possible outlook Section III: Niche Markets Section IV: Business Opportunities Section V: Concluding Remarks Page 11

12 Potential global demand for Halal Food Population and income growth across Muslim countries expected to drive growth in demand 2,000 1,600 Forecast for Global Muslim food market expenditure (USD billion) 1,585 1,200 1, Source: State of Global Islamic Economy Report, 2015/16, prepared by Thomson Reuters in collaboration with DinarStandard. Page 12

13 UAE Meat and Poultry expected sales Meat and Poultry expected retail sales value (AED billion) Source: Business Monitor International, Q Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 13

14 Demand for Organic Food Past and possible future sales value of organic packaged food in UAE (Million AED) Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Euromonitor International, Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 14

15 Section I: Overview and Growth Drivers Section II: Past growth and possible outlook Section III: Niche Markets Section IV: Business Opportunities Section V: Concluding Remarks Page 15

16 CAGR, % 10% Potential business opportunities Potentially fast growing Fresh Food Products in UAE (CAGR % expected sales volume growth, 2017 to 2020) 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 0% Meat Nuts Vegetables Pulses Fresh food average Eggs Source: Euromonitor International, Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 16

17 CAGR, % Potential business opportunities Potentially fast growing Packaged Food Products in UAE (CAGR % expected sales volume growth, 2017 to 2020) 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 4% 2% 0% Savoury snacks Processed food and vegetables Confectionery Sweet biscuits, snack bars/fruit snacks Dairy Packaged food average Source: Euromonitor International, Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 17

18 CAGR, % Potential business opportunities Potentially fast growing Soft Drink products in UAE (CAGR % expected sales volume growth, 2017 to 2020) 14% 12% 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 2% 0% RTD coffee Bottled water Soft drinks average RTD Tea Juices Sports and energy drinks Source: Euromonitor International, Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 18

19 CAGR, % Potential business opportunities Packed Tea and Coffee products potential growth rates in UAE (CAGR % expected sales volume growth, 2017 to 2020) 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Coffee Tea Source: Euromonitor International, Actual data may be different from expectations/forecast Page 19

20 Section I: Overview and Growth Drivers Section II: Past growth and possible outlook Section III: Niche Markets Section IV: Business Opportunities Section V: Concluding Remarks Page 20

21 Concluding Remarks Trends Growth of population and income across developing countries. Growth in per-capita income and population in UAE. Opportunities Growing demand for food and beverages in UAE and across Asia and Africa Growth of local demand for packaged and fresh food. Halal meat and Readyto-Drink (RTD) coffee could possibly be some of the fastest growing product categories. Growing Health awareness. Growth in demand for Organic food in UAE and in foreign markets. Page 21

22 Concluding Remarks Trends Opportunities Potential opportunity to create new and innovative brands. Consumers preference for certified, branded goods. Potential opportunities for vertical integration and halal certification across the entire value chain. Potential for increased local sales, exports and re-exports of halal food products. Page 22