Weather Update. Market Alerts. A Peek at Peak Seasons

Transcription

1 Nov 14, 2016 Weather Update A Pacific cold front moves into the Northern California today bringing a cooling trend through midweek as the majority of the energy will remain to the North of Central California. Warm temperatures continue in the desert regions with record highs recorded over the weekend. A cool down and very strong winds are expected midweek as the cold front passes to the north. Tropical moisture will bring scattered showers to Central Mexico with warm temperatures and dry conditions expected to the north. A frontal system moves through South Florida into Tuesday followed by dry conditions through the week. Market Alerts Apples: 125 and smaller Golden delicious and Granny-smith apples are virtually non-existent in Washington. 100 and 113 size are starting to get tight as well. Berries (Strawberries): Demand is still exceeding supply. Rain in Mexico over the weekend slowed production and shipments to the US. Grapes (Green): Domestic green grapes are very limited. Quality is being separated by color. Two tier markets are developing based on quality. Grapes (Red): Steady supplies and market prices on the domestic red grape storage crop. Onions: Trucks limited A Peek at Peak Seasons Berries (Raspberries): Central Mexico production is peaking with good availability. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 1

2 The Source Truckin Along California trucks remain steady again this week and should stay that way for the near future. Washington apple and Idaho potato trucks are tighter than normal and will be that way throughout the end of the year. The National Average for diesel remained steady and is currently at per gallon. A difference of.039 from this time last year. California prices also remained steady and are currently at per gallon. Crude oil remained steady and is currently at per barrel. Transitions & Temperatures Berries (Blueberries): Argentina s growing season will be winding down but Chile will begin to increase production over the next several weeks. Berries (Strawberries): Oxnard winter production will begin around the last week of November and slowly increase through December. Mexican production is slightly increasing and will continue to increase week over week. Florida production will begin around the end of November and increase through December. Cauliflower: Yuma has begun shipping cauliflower in very light quantities. Many Salinas shippers are showing lighter volume or finishing by weeks end. Grapes (Green): Peruvian green grapes are available on the east coast. Grapes (Red): Peruvian fruit available on the east coast. Chilean fruit expected by Christmas on the west coast. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 2

3 Apples Washington - Red delicious are steady on 88 s and larger with good availability. Red 125s and smaller are steady but supplies are short and the market remains strong. Most red packers continue to peak on extra-fancy 88s and larger. Golden delicious are peaking on 72/80/88s and are steady but strong due to lighter volume in Washington. Small Golden delicious supplies remain very short, with very few if any 125s and smaller. Granny-smith are peaking on 72/80/88 s and the market for large fruit is steady. 100 size and smaller Grannys are steady to higher with very light availability. The availability of Granny 125 s and smaller can be described as few if any. The Gala market is steady on larger fruit with good availability and steady but firm on the smaller fruit with only light supplies. Galas are peaking on 80/88/100/72s. Honeycrisp are steady on all sizes but only light supplies available. Honeycrisp are peaking on 80/88/100s now. Fuji s are steady on the small fruit with only light supplies and they are steady on 88s and larger with good supplies. The quality for red delicious, golden delicious, granny-smith, Galas, Fujis, and Honey Crisp has been good. Idaho - Red delicious, Golden delicious, Granny-smith, Fujis, and Red Romes are now peaking on extra-fancy 80/88/100 s. The markets are all steady and the quality has been good but the availability is limited. Michigan - Macintosh, Golden delicious, Jonamacs, Jonathans, Galas, Cortlands, Empires, red Romes, Fujis, Honeycrisp, and red delicious are available and are all fairly steady. Galas, Red Romes, Jonathans, and Cortlands are all heavier to the smaller sizes. Golden delicious, Red delicious, Fujis, and Macintosh are medium in size. The quality has been mostly good in all varieties. New York - McIntosh, Cortlands, Empires, Jonamacs, Galas, Ginger Golds, and Macouns are all fairly steady. The sizing has been smaller than other areas with more 100/125/138 size fruit. The quality has been fair with more US#1 grade fruit showing stem-bowl russeting and more bitter pit than usual. Asparagus The weather in Mexico growing areas has not changed. Volume has declined by 50% due to the season winding down. Market is up across the board on all sizes with smaller sizes being more prevalent. The weather is good in the South/ North of Peru. Volume is good and the market has improved. Avocado (Mexican) Mexico continues harvesting steadily. Shippers have good supplies on hand of 48s/60s/70s/84s. Demand is slow as markets continue to move downward. This is new crop fruit and takes longer for them to ripen and fruit is remaining green when ripe. Bell Peppers (Eastern) The green bell pepper market is still very weak. South Carolina and Georgia are still shipping good supplies and Florida is picking up with more shippers starting for the season. South Carolina and Georgia can continue as long as the weather holds up. Florida is just coming into their season and will continue steady supplies the end of the month. Size and quality are still good with most shippers in Georgia, a few issues with color are showing up. Weather has been a bonus in the south east, cool mornings with warm days and no rain. Bell Peppers (Western) More supply green bells started this week in Nogales, Arizona from Sonora, Mexico. Showing excellent quality and condition. Strong supply has stated from multiple shipper s keeping the market steady on all sizes. Red, Yellow,and Orange have also started with pallet volume and also showing good quality and condition on all three colors. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 3

4 Berries (Blackberries) Supply is steady. Quality has been good overall with some reports of broken fruit, red cell. Blackberry sizing out of Mexico is large and has resulted in some damaged berries as they are packed into the clamshells. Rain over the weekend did slow down harvesting in Mexico and limited transfers to the US as well. Berries (Blueberries) Supply is steady with continued shipments from South America and Mexico. As production winds down out of Argentina, we may see supplies tighten somewhat but do not expect any shortages or supply gaps as Chilean production will be picking up as the Argentina season ends. Markets are likely to increase over the next few weeks as the number of air shipments decline and higher volume orders are placed on ocean going vessels to make the 3 week ride to US ports. About 3-4 weeks from now, we ll see increased volume back in the market places and pricing will begin to come off again in December. Quality has been good on all imported product thus far. Berries (Raspberries) Raspberry supplies are steady with good production volume out of Southern CA and Mexico. Production is peaking over the coming weeks. Quality has been good with only a few reports of wet, leaky fruit. Berries (Strawberries) Demand is still exceeding supply. California production volume remains limited as crops transition for the winter and supply is gapping between regions. Oxnard winter crop will begin in late November and increase through December. Mexico is producing in a light way but volume making it to the US is still limited. Rain over the weekend slowed down harvests and production. Berry sizing is very small from Mexico, mid 30s per 1 pound clamshell. Florida is still 3-4 weeks away from steady production but some ranches will begin to walk fields and pick the initial mud crop in the weeks ahead. Weather has been clear in all US growing regions however days are getting shorter and temperatures are beginning to cool down. This is the time of year where weather is always a factor and can change production abruptly throughout the growing regions. Keep in mind that we are at the end of the season for many of the CA growing regions and they have already experienced 2 major rain events this season. Quality issues range from soft, overripe and bruised to white shoulder, green tips and misshapen. Fruit will not last as long as you are used to. Quality and shelf life expectation must be adjusted based on what is currently available in the industry. Broccoli The broccoli market is steady with good supplies and good quality reported from all areas. Yuma is beginning and with the recent heat in the desert quality is still a question mark there. If quality issues arise due to the heat we may see the market react as supplies dwindle out of the Salinas / Santa Maria regions. Brussels Sprouts The market continues to be steady with adequate supplies from all growing regions. Quality out of Mexico is fair at best as black spotting continues to be an issue. The Salinas area is doing better for quality but some intermittent issues are reported here as well. California production in the Salinas area will continue through the end of the year. Carrots The Bakersfield crop is in full production. Growth is good and producing good percentage of Jumbo size and supplies are good. Supply of baby peeled carrots are good. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 4

5 Cauliflower The cauliflower market is steady to higher depending upon the loading area. The Salinas area is finishing and beginning to show limited numbers on a daily basis. Santa Maria continues to ship steady volume and Yuma is beginning. The heat in the desert along with the uncertain supply situation have conspired to raise the market out of the Salinas region. Quality is generally good with occasional discoloration and bruising reported from all areas. Celery This market is softer to start the week. Production is still occurring in Salinas as well as southern California. Small sizing continues to have the least availability, but all sizing is available for orders. Demand has fallen off, and although some shippers are higher priced, some deals are being offered by certain suppliers. Shippers are transferring product to Yuma for a fee, so please be aware this option is available. Cherries Chilean cherries are improving in supplies. Fruit is available to load on both the east coast and west coast. Quality is being reported as excellent. Prices are starting to drop slightly as volume increases. All sizes are available. Chili Peppers Pablano - Good quality and condition expecting in Nogales. Light supply and higher market. Tomatillo - Current conditions have improved on Tomatillo, sizing is somewhat small but will improve as we increase supply. Jalapeño - Good quality on new crop pepper, mostly large sizing with good color and excellent. Cilantro The market is steady on cilantro with very good supplies available out of Oxnard and Mexico. Salinas continues to ship but loading has moved primarily to the southern regions. Quality from all has been very good with only the occasional yellowing leaves reported. Citrus (Lemons) The Desert crop is in full production with good supplies. The Central Valley crop harvest is still slow and supplies are limited. Mexican fruit is available and supplies are good. Meyer Lemon season is in full swing. Citrus (Limes) Limes are all moving up in price and the smaller sizes are higher than the larger ones. Demand is good on all sizes of limes. Quality is improving overall with less and less leaf shading (yellow color) showing up and some skin breakdown is showing up from packing limes while they have moisture on the skins. New crop limes are being harvested and all sizes are coming in so quality is 100% better. The market is higher on the larger sizes and even higher on the smaller ones. An increasing market has formed and is in force on all sizes and especially the smaller limes due to a shift in the size profile caused by the previously low markets which growers curtailed harvests. Citrus (Oranges) New crop Navels production is now in full swing with all shippers packing. There are a good range in sizes, with peak on 88s/113s/72s and heavy to fancy grade. Flavor and internal color are very good. Anaheim - Good quality,condition and size are expected to continue as Mexico improves production. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 5

6 Cucumbers (Eastern) The cucumber market is stronger on supers, steady on other sizes. The Thanksgiving pull is starting plus the Mexican supplies seem to be tighter. There are still good quality cucumbers in Georgia but most shippers have finished for the season. Most supplies are in central and south west Florida. Some offshore supplies are set to arrive this weekend from Honduras. Demand for supers has gone up making supplies tighter, while selects and cartons are still in enough supply to keep the market steady. Cucumbers (Western) Good condition and quality in Nogales, Arizona. Stronger demand for Super Select and Select sizes. Market has started to creep up on cucumbers Grapes (Green) Domestic green grapes are very limited. What is developing is a 2 tiered market. All available product is storage crop and fruit is being separated by quality. The majority of the remaining fruit is holding strong on quality, but this fruit is being guarded closely and market prices continue to climb. We can expect this to be the case as we move forward. The second tier of the domestic green grape market is the lower quality fruit. This is high color grapes with occasional creamy or amber color on the bunch (see pictures attached). This fruit is being sold at a less expensive price point, but color and condition may be an issue, depending on individual requirements. Peruvian green grapes continue to increase in volume on the east coast. Prices have been steady and are more in line with the more expensive California fruit. Chilean fruit is expected to arrive on the west coast by Christmas. Eggplant (Eastern) The eggplant market is steady with a little weaker undertone. The weather in the Southeast has cooled just a little but still warmer than average. Sunny and dry with no humidity, excellent for growing produce. There are good supplies of eggplant in South Carolina, Georgia and Florida. Quality is holding up well in all areas, with Florida picking up in volume, South Carolina and Georgia are staying steady with the excellent weather. Eggplant (Western) Quality and condition on eggplant will continue to improve. Production will continue to be limited starting in the Coachella Valley with fresh crop. Product has started in Nogales this week with excellent quality and condition. Supply will increase as we move into next week. Grapes (Red) Not much change to report on the red grapes. Domestic red grape supplies continue to be in good shape. Shippers are in storage crop and we have adequate inventories to cover demand. Market prices have stayed flat and are expected to remain consistent all week. Quality on the remaining domestic fruit is expected to hold strong. Peruvian red seedless grapes are now available to load on the east coast, but prices are much higher than California. Prices are expected to remain elevated until more vessels arrive. Chilean red grapes are expected to arrive on the west coast by Christmas. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 6

7 Green Onions The green onion market is steady with excellent supplies out of Mexico. Barring a weather event we see no reason why this market will move. Quality has been very good with few complaints other than the very occasional discoloration of the tops. Domestic green onions are available in a much lighter volume with good quality reported on these as well. Kale The kale market is steady as volume remains healthy and quality is reported as excellent from all growing regions. Full color, full cartons and minimal dehydration continue to be the norm. Lettuce Iceberg Temperatures have been warm in both Huron and Yuma. In particular, Yuma had 90 degree temperatures this past weekend, with more heat expected this week. Dust between the leaves of this commodity is common as this region has experienced winds up to 45 MPH. Discoloration and ribbing as well as some seeder is already being seen as well as misshapen heads, discoloration and sporadic weights. Yields are down. Weights are being reported averaging pounds in Huron, while Yuma has been pounds. Production in Santa Maria is moderate at best. Lettuce Leaf This market is steady with most suppliers. The quality is fair at best. Very warm temperatures in Yuma has caused for seeders approximately three plus inches to be seen on leaf items, especially romaine and romaine hearts. Insects, fringe burn, twisting, brown spotting, dust and lower yields are factors that all suppliers are dealing with currently. Salinas will have some production on leaf items, but limited. The weights on romaine average pounds. Red, green and butter leaf have moderate weights at best. Production in southern California is moderate. This region has had lower temperatures in the growing regions compared to Yuma and Huron. Melon (Cantaloupe) Demand is has continued to pick up. Supplies on 9ct are very short and 12 s continue to get increased demand due to substitution for 9ct. The 15ct are also experiencing some added buying pressure. The desert started a little over six weeks ago with a few lopes crossing over from Mexico. Offshore supplies have arrived in Florida and are being shipped out on our trucks. The market is steady on all sizes due mainly to increased supplies. The quality is excellent on the offshore melons. The Mexican lopes are also excellent and the desert crop is too. Melon (Honeydew) Supplies of honeydews are steady and we can continue to expect adequate supplies and good quality to be the pattern for a while longer with a moderate range of up and down movement. The desert started over six weeks ago and supplies are almost finished now for the season. Some growers in the desert are finished now. Mexico is exporting honeydews up to us and their volume is supporting the declining domestic supply. Offshore dews started arriving this past weekend are being shipped on our trucks, quality is outstanding. The market is currently steady on all sizes. Quality is excellent in the desert. Melon (Watermelon) The current availability is improving with better sizing and offering fresh Product from Northern Mexico crossing in Nogales AZ. All sizes being offered in load volume both bins and cartons, peaking on larger fruit 36/45 with brix exceeding 10%.Volume will continue to improve. Demand has improved with stronger pricing. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 7

8 Onions Northwest onion season is now all coming out of storage. Demand is moderate on all sizes, packs and colors. Market is steady at low levels. Some growers are slowing down running due to the low markets, in hope of higher markets. This combined with packing facilities having reduced packing hours over the upcoming holidays could firm the market slightly. This years storage crop looks to be abundant with a larger than normal size profile. Quality is very good out of all areas. Trucks are very limited due to the Christmas Tree growers paying good money. Pears California - There are a few Bartlett and Bosc pears but most suppliers are finished for the season. Washington - C.A. Bartletts are steady and still peaking on US#1 70/80/90s. Many suppliers will flex on pricing for volume of the larger sizes. D anjou pears are also steady and are still peaking on US#1 80/90/100s. Most shippers will flex on volume orders of 100s and larger. Bosc pears are steady and are peaking on US#1 80/90/100s. There are a few small Bosc pears available. Red pears are steady as well and are peaking on US#1 45/50 half cartons. The quality for all varieties pears has been good. Pineapples Supplies are good for all shipper, and look to be moving into the firs part of December. Potatoes Demand is really good on Non A retail bags due to Thanksgiving Holiday next week. The carton market is steady with good quality potatoes being shipped out of all areas. Packing facilities will have reduced packing hours next week which will cause supplies to tighten up. This could firm the market up slightly but will only be a short term increase. The biggest issues is the lack of trucks due to Christmas Tree season going in full swing. Potatoes (colored) Bakersfield, California - Red As and B s were a touch lower, all other sizes and colors are steady. All colors continue to peak on A size. The quality has been good. Idaho - Red and gold potatoes are steady and they are still peaking on B size, while As are more limited. The quality is good. Western Washington - Red A and B size are slightly lower, all other sizes are steady. Reds and golds remain heavier to size A. Whites are limited in all sizes. The quality has been good. North Dakota - Red and gold potatoes are steady on all sizes and continue to peak on A size. The quality has been good. Wisconsin - Reds and golds are steady and both colors are peaking on A-size. The quality has been good. Canada - Reds, golds, and whites are steady on all sizes. Sacks are more available while cartons are limited for all colors. The quality has been good. Squash (Eastern) The squash market is a little higher. Yellow squash has gotten much tighter and green supplies dwindled. With the cheap market shippers have dealt with the past month, many quit for the season. The shorter days and cooler temperatures have caused a decrease in yields. There are still supplies coming from Georgia but most buyers have switched to central and south Florida. The excellent weather the southeast has experienced is keeping the quality with most shippers very good. Squash (Western) Supply on yellow squash is lighter than last week and market has spikes up quite a bit. Quality and condition is good.italian squash is still very heavy supply on all sizes and grades with very depressed pricing. All varieties of hard squash are now in good supply loading in Nogales. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 8

9 Tomatoes (Eastern) Both demand and supply are increasing keeping the market relative stable this week. Rain free weather in the Sunshine State has allowed for a good quality tomato crop in Florida. Extreme temperatures during the growing cycle is causing sizing to trend towards smaller sizes and improving each week. Volumes are increasing weekly and forecasted to improve further into the week of Thanksgiving. Roma tomatoes continue to be available in steady supply. Grape tomatoes are steady out of Florida but cherry tomatoes remain tight. Tomatoes (Western) The west has ample supply of fruit importing from Mexican growing regions. Baja and Eastern Mexico have a steady stream of rounds and romas crossing US boarders. With Mainland preparing to begin their winter crop next month there is anticipation for favorable supply in the market heading into the new year. The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 9

10 Commodities at a Glance Commodity / Region Market Quality Apples Coopersville/Belding/Sparta, MI Steady Good Hudson/Pleasant Valley/Red Hook, NY Steady Good Wenatchee/Yakima, WA and Hood River, OR Steady Good Asparagus Northern Baja California Norte, Mexico Higher Fair Ica, Peru to Trujillo Higher Good Avocado (Mexican) Michoacan, Mexico Lower/Steady Good Bell Peppers (Eastern) Hillsborough / Western Collier County, FL Steady Good Lee / Grady County, GA Lower/Steady Good Bell Peppers (Western) Central Sonora, Mexico Steady Good Central Sonora, Mexico Steady Good Berries (Blackberries) Oxnard, CA Steady Good Central Mexico Steady Good Berries (Blueberries) Tucuman, Argentina Steady Good Central Mexico Steady Good Southern Chile Steady/Higher Good Trujillo, Peru Steady Good Berries (Raspberries) Santa Maria, CA Steady Good Oxnard, CA Steady Good Central Mexico Steady Good Berries (Strawberries) Santa Maria, CA Steady/Higher Fair Oxnard, CA Steady/Higher Fair Central Mexico Steady/Higher Fair Broccoli Celaya Guanjuato Mexico Steady Good Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Good Salinas Valley, CA Steady Good Yuma, AZ Steady Fair Commodity / Region Market Quality Brussels Sprouts Salinas Valley, CA Steady Good Northern Baja California Norte, Mexico Steady Fair Carrots Bakersfield/Santa Maria, CA Steady Excellent Cauliflower Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Good Salinas Valley, CA Steady/Higher Good Yuma, AZ Steady Good Celery Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Lower Good Salinas Valley, CA Lower Good Cherries Coquimbo/Valaparaiso/Santiago/Rancagua, Chile Lower/Steady Excellent Chili Peppers Northern Sonora, Mexico Steady Good Cilantro Baja, MX Steady Good Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Good Salinas, CA Steady Good Citrus (Lemons) Coachella, CA / Yuma, AZ Steady Good Merced/Bakersfield, CA Steady Good Citrus (Limes) Veracruz, Mexico Higher Excellent Citrus (Oranges) Merced to Bakersfield, CA Lower/Steady Good Riverside, CA Lower/Steady Good Cucumbers (Eastern) Lee / Grady County, GA Lower/Steady Good Hillsborough / Western Collier County, FL Lower/Steady Good Cucumbers (Western) Central Sonora, Mexico Steady/Higher Good Eggplant (Eastern) Lee / Grady County, GA Lower/Steady Good Hillsborough / Western Collier County, FL Lower/Steady Good The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 10

11 Commodities at a Glance Commodity / Region Market Quality Eggplant (Western) Northern Sonora, Mexico Lower/Steady Excellent Grapes (Green) Delano, CA Higher Fair Fresno, CA Higher Fair Grapes (Red) Delano, CA Steady Good Fresno, CA Steady Good Green Onions Mexicali, Baja Steady Good Salinas Valley, CA Steady Good Kale Baja, MX Steady Excellent Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Excellent Salinas, CA Steady Excellent Lettuce Iceberg Huron, CA Steady Fair Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Fair Yuma, AZ Higher Fair Lettuce Leaf Oxnard/Santa Maria, CA Steady Fair Salinas Valley, CA Steady Fair Yuma, AZ Steady Fair Huron, CA Steady Fair Melon (Cantaloupe) Zacapa, Guatemala Steady Excellent Maricopa, AZ Steady Excellent Guaymas, Mexico Steady Excellent Melon (Honeydew) Zacapa, Guatemala Steady Excellent Guaymas, Mexico Steady Excellent Maricopa, AZ Steady Excellent Melon (Watermelon) Northern Sonora, Mexico Steady/Higher Good Commodity / Region Market Quality Onions Ontario, OR to Nampa, ID Steady/Higher Excellent Quincy/Hermiston, WA Steady Good Pears Wenatchee/Yakima, WA and Hood River, OR Steady Good Stockton, CA Steady Good Pineapples Alajuela, Costa Rica Steady Good Heredia, Costa Rica Steady Good Limon, Costa Rica Steady Good La Ceiba, Honduras Steady Good Retalhuleu, Guatemala Steady Good Peten, Guatemala Steady Good Potatoes Hamer/Rupert, ID Steady Good Quincy/Hermiston, WA Steady Good Eastern Colorado Steady Good Plover/Bancroft, WI Steady Good Potatoes (colored) Bakersfield, CA Steady Good Mount Vernon, WA Steady Good Rupert to Rexburg, ID Steady Good Plover, WI Steady Good Red River Valley, ND Steady Good Squash (Eastern) Lee/Grady/Echols County, GA Lower/Steady Good Dade / Eastern Collier County, FL Lower/Steady Good Hillsborough / Sarasota County, FL Lower/Steady Good Squash (Western) Northern Sonora, Mexico Steady Good Tomatoes (Eastern) Southern Florida Lower/Steady Good Tomatoes (Western) Southern Baja California Sur, Mexico Steady Good Jalisco, Mexico Steady Good The Source - Nov 14, 2016 Page 11