IANSA Seminar Presentation
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1 ENERGY UK Ltd. IANSA Seminar Presentation Thursday 22 nd August
2 Raw Sugar Price - Spot Futures Month 2
3 000 mt Global Sugar Balance (May / Apr basis) / mmt 09/ mmt 10/ mmt 11/ mmt 12/ mmt 13/ mmt /98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Production Consumption 3
4 Build-up of Global Sugar Stocks 31.7 mmt 4
5 The EU A Historical Perspective (all in white value) 5
6 EU Sugar Prices 6
7 EU Sugar Production & Yield 7
8 EU Sugar Imports & Exports 8
9 Russia Area & Agricultural Yield 9
10 Russia Beet Losses 10
11 Russia Raw Sugar Imports 11
12 The FSU Overview in 2012/13 THE CIS REGION (2012/13) Production Consumption Raw Imports Net Surplus 8,400 kmt 9,800 kmt 1,780 kmt 380 kmt KEY Import of raws for refining Export of tolled refined Note Figures in raw value 12
13 North Africa & Middle East Refining Capacity KEY Current Capacity Planned Capacity REFINING CAPACITY (kmt pa) Current Planned Total 10,130 14,610 EXCESS REFINING CAPACITY (kmt pa) Production Consumption Excess Capacity, basis: Current Planned Total 2,680 13,210 (400) 4,080 13
14 India Sugar production by state 14
15 India Cane Price 15
16 India Sugar Production & Consumption 16
17 India Sugar Stocks & Imports/Exports 17
18 India 2013 Monsoon gets off to good start 18
19 Thailand Sugar Cane Price 19
20 Thailand Area & Agricultural Yield 20
21 Thailand Cane & Sugar Production 21
22 Thailand Breakdown of Exports 22
23 China Cane Price 23
24 China Production vs Consumption 24
25 China Area and Agricultural Yield 25
26 China Stock Forecast 26
27 Indonesia Production & Imports 27
28 Australia Cane and Sugar Yield 28
29 NNE Brazil Sugar and ethanol production 29
30 NNE Brazil Sugar Production & Exports 30
31 CS Brazil Sugar and Ethanol Production 31
32 CS Brazil Sugar Production & Exports 32
33 CS Brazil Ethanol Production & Consumption 33
34 CS Brazil - Looking Forward to 2014/15
35 NAFTA Monthly Sweetener Trade Flow 35
36 USA Sugar Production 36
37 USA HFCS Supply & Demand 37
38 Mexico Sugar Production & Stocks (Oct/Sep) 38
39 000 mt sugar equivalent USA & Mexico Sugar & HFCS FORFEITURES? /01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Production Net World Trade Consumption 39
40 Central America Export Breakdown (Oct/Sep) Central America includes: Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras & Nicaragua 40
41 000 MT 000 MT Argentina Sugar Exports (May/Apr) Bulk [LHS] Bagged [LHS] Production [RHS] 41
42 CONCLUDING REMARKS
43 Global Shifts in Production Oct/Sep Season Beet plantings react to falling world prices faster than cane 43
44 Change in Global Sugar Consumption (May to April) 44
45 Global Sugar Stocks Selected Countries (Oct/Sep) 45
46 Global Trade Flows Quarterly 46
47 Near Term Influences 47
48 Raw Sugar Price - Spot Futures Month (Rebased) 48
49 Sugar and CRB index - Rebased 49
50 Looking Forward
51 ENERGY UK Ltd. Muchas Gracias!
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