Prospective Plantings

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1 Prospective Plantings ISSN: X Released March 3, 07, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Planted Acreage Down 4 Percent from 06 Soybean Acreage Up 7 Percent All Wheat Acreage Down 8 Percent All Cotton Acreage Up Percent Corn planted area for all purposes in 07 is estimated at 90.0 million acres, down 4 percent or 4.0 million acres from last year. Compared with last year, planted acreage is expected to be down or unchanged in 38 of the 48 estimating s. Soybean planted area for 07 is estimated at a record high 89.5 million acres, up 7 percent from last year. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are up or unchanged in 7 of the 3 estimating s. All wheat planted area for 07 is estimated at 46. million acres, down 8 percent from 06. This represents the lowest total planted area for the United s since records began in 99. The 07 winter wheat planted area, at 3.7 million acres, is down 9 percent from last year but up percent from the previous estimate. Of this total, about 3.8 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 5.53 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.38 million acres are White Winter. to other spring wheat for 07 is estimated at.3 million acres, down 3 percent from 06. Of this total, about 0.6 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The intended Durum planted area for 07 is estimated at.00 million acres, down 7 percent from the. All cotton planted area for 07 is estimated at. million acres, percent above last year. Upland area is estimated at.0 million acres, up percent from 06. American Pima area is estimated at 3,000 acres, up 9 percent from 06.

2 This report was approved on March 3, 07. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Michael L. Young Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Prospective Plantings (March 07)

3 Contents Principal Crops Area Planted s and United s: Corn Area Planted s and United s: Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage United s Chart... 7 Sorghum Area Planted s and United s: Oat Area Planted s and United s: Barley Area Planted s and United s: All Wheat Area Planted s and United s: Winter Wheat Area Planted s and United s: Durum Wheat Area Planted s and United s: Other Spring Wheat Area Planted s and United s: All Hay Area Harvested s and United s: Rice Area Planted by Class s and United s: Canola Area Planted s and United s: Soybean Area Planted s and United s: Peanut Area Planted s and United s: Sunflower Area Planted by Type s and United s: Flaxseed Area Planted s and United s: Cotton Area Planted by Type s and United s: Sugarbeet Area Planted s and United s: Tobacco Area Harvested s and United s: Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type s and United s: Dry Edible Bean Area Planted s and United s: Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted s and United s: Lentil Area Planted s and United s: Dry Edible Pea Area Planted s and United s: Prospective Plantings (March 07) 3

4 Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted s and United s: Spring Potato Area Planted s and United s: Sweet Potato Area Planted s and United s: Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units United s: 06 and Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units United s: 06 and Winter Weather Summary... 8 Crop Comments Statistical Methodology Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates Information Contacts Prospective Plantings (March 07)

5 Principal Crops Area Planted s and United s: [Crops included in area planted are corn, sorghum, oats, barley, rye, winter wheat, Durum wheat, other spring wheat, rice, soybeans, peanuts, sunflower, cotton, dry edible beans, potatoes, sugarbeets, canola, and proso millet. Harvested acreage is used for all hay, tobacco, and sugarcane in computing total area planted. Values for 07 were carried forward from 06 for summer and fall potatoes, proso millet, rye, and surgarcane. Includes double cropped acres and unharvested small grains planted as cover crops] Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Hawaii... (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres), ,7 3,083 6, ,46 3,694 5, ,97 3,08 6, ,35 3,69 6, ,57 3,30 6, , 3,690 - Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... Massachusetts... 4,60,66,065 4,655 3,30 6,43 3,39 60,58 4,63,770,080 4,455 3,594 6,5 3,35 43, ,3,57,80 4,560 3,067 5,940 3,36 33, Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey... New Mexico... 6,49 0,05 4,74,08 9,45 9, ,43 9,887 4,77 3,404 9,7 9, ,40 0,70 4,94,8 9,03 9, New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina... South Dakota...,839 4,753 3,70 9,973 0,6,04 3,568 9,64 8, 3,05 4,438 3,686 0,000 0,08,49 3,668 9,505 7,34 3,070 4,473,94 0,040 9,66,9 3,778 0,555 6,99 Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 4,96, ,705 3, ,999,496 5,030, ,680 3, ,885,44 5,0, ,738 3,8 67 7,945,3 United s ,975 - Represents zero. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sugarcane estimates for Hawaii are discontinued in s do not add to United s due to canola, potatoes, rye, and tobacco acreage not allocated to s. 39,44 36, Prospective Plantings (March 07) 5

6 Corn Area Planted s and United s: Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... Massachusetts... Michigan...,700 5,650 3,500 4,50, ,350,600 5,600 3,900 5,, ,400,300 5,600 3,300 5,00, , Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... 8, 50 3, , ,080 8, , , , 8, ,50 0 9, , North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee ,750 3, ,340 5, ,000 3,450 3, , , ,300 3, , , Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming..., ,000 85, ,050, , ,09 Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. 94,004 89, Prospective Plantings (March 07)

7 Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage - United s Million acres Corn Soybeans Sorghum Area Planted s and United s: Arizona... Arkansas... Colorado... Georgia... Illinois... Kansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , New Mexico... North Carolina 3... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas , , , ,459 Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in Estimates began in 06. 6,690 5, Prospective Plantings (March 07) 7

8 Oat Area Planted s and United s: [Includes area planted in preceding fall] Alabama... Arkansas... Colorado... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Maine... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming ,088 Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in 06.,88,699 8 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

9 Barley Area Planted s and United s: [Includes area planted in preceding fall] Arizona... Colorado... Delaware... Idaho... Kansas... Maine... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Montana... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Utah... Virginia... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming , ,63 Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in 06. 3,05, Prospective Plantings (March 07) 9

10 All Wheat Area Planted s and United s: [Includes area planted in preceding fall] Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , , , , Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri , , , , , , Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... 5,60, , ,300 5,80, , ,000 5,90, , , Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming , , 35 60, , , , , , , ,999 50,54 46,059 9 Intended plantings for 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. 0 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

11 Winter Wheat Area Planted s and United s: [Includes area planted in preceding fall] Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri , , , Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma...,350, ,300,50, ,000,900, , Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming , , 5 60, , , , , , ,68 36,37 3,747 9 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

12 Durum Wheat Area Planted s and United s: [Includes area planted in preceding fall in Arizona and California] Arizona... Idaho... Montana... North Dakota... South Dakota (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , ,,4, Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Other Spring Wheat Area Planted s and United s: Colorado... Idaho... Minnesota... Montana... Nevada... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Utah... Washington (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) 8 450,480, ,700, ,30,50 5 6,000 90, ,90, , ,367,605, Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Prospective Plantings (March 07)

13 All Hay Area Harvested s and United s: Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Area harvested (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) ,5,90, , ,04,00, , ,0,, , Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... Massachusetts... Michigan ,60,450, ,600, ,000,600, Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York..., ,960,500, ,30,50 640,830,650, ,360, ,800,600, , North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee ,750,080 3,00,060, ,400, , ,00,30, ,,85 60, ,000,0, ,00, Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 4, , ,50,080 4, , ,330,00 4, , ,300, ,447 53,46 5,8 99 Intended area harvested in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Prospective Plantings (March 07) 3

14 Rice Area Planted by Class s and United s: Class and Long grain Arkansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri... Texas (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent), , , ,879,44, Medium grain Arkansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri... Texas Short grain Arkansas... California All Arkansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri... Texas..., , , ,65 - Represents zero. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Includes sweet rice. 3,50,66 83 Canola Area Planted s and United s: Idaho... Kansas... Minnesota... Montana... North Dakota... Oklahoma... Oregon... Washington (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , Other s ,777.0, Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Beginning in 06, Kansas is published individually. 3 For 05, Other s include Colorado and Kansas. Beginning in 06, Other s is discontinued., Prospective Plantings (March 07)

15 Soybean Area Planted s and United s: Alabama... Arkansas... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) 500 3, ,800 5,550 9,850 3,900, , , 5,650 9,500 4,050, , ,00 6,000 0, 5,000, Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Nebraska... New Jersey... New York... North Carolina...,430 50,030 7,600,300 4,550 5, ,80,30 50,070 7,550,040 5,600 5,00 330,690,400 50,350 8,50,50 5,650 5, , North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Virginia... West Virginia... Wisconsin... 5,750 4, ,50, ,880 6,050 4, ,00, ,960 6,900 5, ,400, , ,650 83,433 89,48 07 Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Peanut Area Planted s and United s: Alabama... Arkansas... Florida... Georgia... Mississippi... New Mexico... North Carolina... Oklahoma... South Carolina... Texas... Virginia (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) ,65.0 Not available. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates began in 06.,67.0, Prospective Plantings (March 07) 5

16 Sunflower Area Planted by Type s and United s: Varietal type and Oil Colorado... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) ,550.5,48.0, Non-oil Colorado... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas All Colorado... Kansas... Minnesota... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas ,859. Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in 06.,596.6, Flaxseed Area Planted s and United s: Minnesota... Montana... North Dakota... South Dakota (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in Prospective Plantings (March 07)

17 Cotton Area Planted by Type s and United s: Type and Upland Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Florida... Georgia... Kansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , , New Mexico... North Carolina... Oklahoma... South Carolina... Tennessee... Texas... Virginia , , , ,4.0 9,880.0,00.0 American Pima Arizona... New Mexico... Texas All Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... Florida... Georgia... Kansas... Louisiana... Mississippi... Missouri , , , New Mexico... North Carolina... Oklahoma... South Carolina... Tennessee... Texas... Virginia , , , , ,074.5,33.0 Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Prospective Plantings (March 07) 7

18 Sugarbeet Area Planted s and United s: [Relates to year of intended harvest in all s except California] California... Colorado... Idaho... Michigan... Minnesota... Montana... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oregon... Washington 3... Wyoming (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , , ,34.8 Not available. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from processors. Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California. 3 Estimates began in Tobacco Area Harvested s and United s: Connecticut... Georgia... Kentucky... Massachusetts... North Carolina... Ohio... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... Tennessee... Virginia... Area harvested (acres) (acres) (acres) (percent) 3,500 7,900 73,000,900 7,900 3,000 0,900 3,050 3,500 75,300 66,000 8,00 3,000 0,00 3,460,000 80,300 6,000 8,,000,50, Other s 3..., ,650 39,660 38,000 - Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. Intended area harvested in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in For 05, Other s include Connecticut and Massachusetts. Beginning in 06, Other s is discontinued Prospective Plantings (March 07)

19 Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type s and United s: Class, type, and Class, Flue-cured (-4) Georgia... North Carolina... South Carolina... Virginia... Area harvested (acres) (acres) (acres) (percent) 3,500 7,000 3,000,500 3,500 65,000 3,000,000,000 60,000,000, ,000 3,500 05, Class, Fire-cured (-3) Kentucky... Tennessee... Virginia... 9,900 7, ,500 7, ,000 7, ,850 6,760 7, Class 3A, Light air-cured Type 3, Burley Kentucky... North Carolina... Ohio... Pennsylvania... Tennessee... Virginia... 58,000,000,900 4,700,000,300 6,000,000 4,800,000,00 65,000,000 4,700 3,500, ,900 80,000 85, Type 3, Southern Maryland Pennsylvania...,600,800,800 Total light air-cured (3-3)... 80,500 8,800 87, 06 Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) Kentucky... Tennessee... 5,000,00 4,800,00 5,300, ,00 6,000 6, Class 4, Cigar filler Pennsylvania...,600,600,600 Class 5, Cigar binder Type 5, Connecticut Valley Broadleaf Connecticut... Massachusetts... United s... Class 6, Cigar wrapper Type 6, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown Connecticut... Massachusetts... United s... Other cigar types (5-6)...,500 Total cigar types (4-6) ,,600,600 All tobacco... Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. Intended area harvested in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in Beginning in 06, estimates only include Class 4 Cigar filler. 38,650 39,660 38, Prospective Plantings (March 07) 9

20 Dry Edible Bean Area Planted s and United s: [Excludes beans grown for garden seed] Arizona... Colorado... Idaho... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Montana... Nebraska... New Mexico (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) New York... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... Wisconsin... Wyoming ,764.7 Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in 06.,66.0, Prospective Plantings (March 07)

21 Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted s and United s: [Chickpea acres included with dry bean acres] Size and Small chickpeas Idaho... Montana... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oregon 3... South Dakota 3... Washington (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Other s Large chickpeas 5... Idaho... Montana... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oregon 3... South Dakota 3... Washington Other s All chickpeas (Garbanzo)... Idaho... Montana... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oregon 3... South Dakota 3... Washington Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) smaller than 0/64 inches. 3 Estimates discontinued in Includes data withheld above. 5 Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) larger than 0/64 inches Prospective Plantings (March 07)

22 Lentil Area Planted s and United s: Idaho... Montana... North Dakota... Washington (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) , Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Dry Edible Pea Area Planted s and United s: Idaho... Montana... Nebraska... North Dakota... Oregon... South Dakota... Washington (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) ,43.0 Not available. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates began in 06.,38.0, Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted s and United s: Idaho... Montana... Oregon (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Prospective Plantings (March 07)

23 Spring Potato Area Planted s and United s: Arizona... Florida... North Carolina (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in Beginning in 06, North Carolina included in summer season estimates Sweet Potato Area Planted s and United s: Alabama... Arkansas... Florida... Louisiana... Mississippi... New Jersey... North Carolina... Texas (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (percent) Other s Represents zero. Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. Intended plantings in 07 as indicated by reports from farmers. Estimates discontinued in Includes data withheld above Prospective Plantings (March 07) 3

24 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units United s: 06 and 07 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 07 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Crop Grains and hay Barley... Corn for grain... Corn for silage... Hay, all... Alfalfa... All other... Oats... Proso millet... Rice... Rye... Sorghum for grain... Sorghum for silage... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Area harvested (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) (,000 acres) 3,05 94,004, ,50,89 6,690 50,54 36,37,4,605,548 89,996,699,66 5,757 46,059 3,747,004,308,558 86,748 6,86 53,46 6,885 36, , ,63 43,890 30,,365,303 5,8 Oilseeds Canola... Cottonseed... Flaxseed... Mustard seed... Peanuts... Rapeseed... Safflower... Soybeans for beans... Sunflower..., , ,433,596.6, , ,48,454.0, , ,736,534.0 Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all... Upland... American Pima... Sugarbeets... Sugarcane... Tobacco... 0, , ,63.4,33.0, ,34.8 9,5.7 9, , Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas... Dry edible beans... Chickpeas, all... Large... Small... Dry edible peas... Lentils... Wrinkled seed peas , , , ,4.0, , , Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops... Maple syrup... Mushrooms... Peppermint oil... Potatoes, all... Spring... Summer... Fall... Spearmint oil... Sweet potatoes... Taro (Hawaii)..., , See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued 4 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

25 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units United s: 06 and 07 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 07 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Crop Grains and hay Barley... bushels Corn for grain... bushels Corn for silage... tons Hay, all... tons Alfalfa... tons All other... tons Oats... bushels Proso millet... bushels Rice... cwt Rye... bushels Sorghum for grain... bushels Sorghum for silage... tons Wheat, all... bushels Winter... bushels Durum... bushels Other spring... bushels Yield per acre Production , (,000) (,000) 99,8 5,48,038 5,670 34,78 58,63 76,58 64,770,558 4,45 3,45 480,6 4,7,309,675,67,53 04,6 534,07 Oilseeds Canola... pounds Cottonseed... tons Flaxseed... bushels Mustard seed... pounds Peanuts... pounds Rapeseed... pounds Safflower... pounds Soybeans for beans... bushels Sunflower... pounds Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all... bales Upland... bales American Pima... bales Sugarbeets... tons Sugarcane... tons Tobacco... pounds Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas... cwt Dry edible beans... cwt Chickpeas, all... cwt Large... cwt Small... cwt Dry edible peas... cwt Lentils... cwt Wrinkled seed peas... cwt Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops... pounds Maple syrup... gallons Mushrooms... pounds Peppermint oil... pounds Potatoes, all... cwt Spring... cwt Summer... cwt Fall... cwt Spearmint oil... pounds Sweet potatoes... cwt Taro (Hawaii)... pounds Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. for all purposes. Yield in pounds., ,675,840,45 5., , ,967,704,84,70,677,749,086,397, ,075,00 5,48.0 8,680 96,70 5,684,60 9,30 0,090 4,306,67,654,735 6,8.5 6, ,88 3,8 68, ,7 5,447 3,509,938 7,737, ,39.6 4,07 945,639 5, ,75 5,7 9,60 405, 3,08 3,546 Prospective Plantings (March 07) 5

26 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units United s: 06 and 07 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 07 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Crop Grains and hay Barley... Corn for grain... Corn for silage... Hay, all... Alfalfa... All other... Oats... Proso millet... Rice... Rye... Sorghum for grain... Sorghum for silage... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Area harvested (hectares) (hectares) (hectares) (hectares),35,0 38,04,480,44,460 79,80,74, ,70,707,380 0,96,80 4,64,80 976,0 4,696,430,03,50 36,40,480,09,60,06,70,39,800 8,639,60 3,5,380 8,000 4,576,30,035,00 35,06,050,503,40,635,30 6,833,90 4,80, ,000 67,40,53,30 67,540,494, 0,600 7,76,840,30,540 7,090 4,574,0,37,080 Oilseeds Canola... Cottonseed... Flaxseed... Mustard seed... Peanuts... Rapeseed... Safflower... Soybeans for beans... Sunflower ,640 5,350 4,70 676,40 4,450 65,00 33,764, ,30 779,840 6, ,60 36,, ,40 68,90 48,50 39,740 66,060 4,50 6,480 33,48,430 60,790 Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all... Upland... American Pima... Sugarbeets... Sugarcane... Tobacco... 4,077,050 3,9,340 78,70 470,80 4,0,570 4,856,680 93, ,40 3,853,340 3,776,570 76, , ,480 9,360 8,690 Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas... Dry edible beans... Chickpeas... Large... Small... Dry edible peas... Lentils... Wrinkled seed peas... 5,380 67,590 3,650 85,590 46, ,80 377,580 0,50 755,50 0,540 38,80 6,730 46,750 46,0, ,750 9,500 84,660 44, ,60 367,460 Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops... Maple syrup... Mushrooms... Peppermint oil... Potatoes, all... Spring... Summer... Fall... Spearmint oil... Sweet potatoes... Taro (Hawaii)... 48,450 0,640 5,70 37,640 68,030,040 64, 0,580 6, ,80 9,430 4, ,80 9,90 66,090 See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued 6 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

27 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units United s: 06 and 07 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 07 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Crop Grains and hay Barley... Corn for grain... Corn for silage... Hay, all... Alfalfa... All other... Oats... Proso millet... Rice... Rye... Sorghum for grain... Sorghum for silage... Wheat, all... Winter... Durum... Other spring... Yield per hectare Production (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) ,338, ,777,890 4,005,90,7,70 5,855,300 69,45, ,30 84,80 0,67,050 34,670,99,90 3,783,870 6,859,050 45,49,650,833,570 4,533,830 Oilseeds Canola... Cottonseed... Flaxseed... Mustard seed... Peanuts... Rapeseed... Safflower... Soybeans for beans... Sunflower... Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops Cotton, all... Upland... American Pima... Sugarbeets... Sugarcane... Tobacco... Dry beans, peas, and lentils Austrian winter peas... Dry edible beans... Chickpeas, all... Large... Small... Dry edible peas... Lentils... Wrinkled seed peas... Potatoes and miscellaneous Hops... Maple syrup... Mushrooms... Peppermint oil... Potatoes, all... Spring... Summer... Fall... Spearmint oil... Sweet potatoes... Taro (Hawaii)... Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Not applicable. for all purposes. Total may not add due to rounding ,394,890 4,,30 0,480 43,670,578,500 8,760 99,830 7,08,380,04,70 3,69,80 3,570,900,380 33,457,880 9,36,960 85,80,640,30,350 47,070 59,70 87,90,58,30 575,380 9,90 39,530,040 48,930,630 9,990,0 688,50 889,30 8,43,670,460,430,900 Prospective Plantings (March 07) 7

28 Winter Weather Summary Highlights: La Niña quickly faded, disappearing altogether by winter s end. However, a pool of cool water persisted over the northeastern Pacific Ocean, possibly contributing to an active Pacific jet stream that led to the Nation s wettest December-February period since And, despite a few sharp, short-lived cold snaps, general winter warmth dominated all but the Nation s northwestern corner. The warmth intensified as winter progressed, culminating in the Nation s warmest February since 4. Aside from fleeting Arctic outbreaks in mid-december and early January, cold weather was largely confined to the Northwest. (The persistent Northwestern chill, accompanied by periods of precipitation, resulted in winter hardship for livestock, as well as damage to some storage facilities due to heavy snow loads.) Across the Plains and Midwest, enough snow preceded the two cold snaps in most areas to limit concerns about adverse impacts on winter wheat. In fact, across the central and southern Plains, drought rather than cold was a greater concern with respect to wheat. Between the end of November and the end of February, the portion of the winter wheat crop rated very poor to poor increased from 5 to 7 percent in Colorado; 3 to percent in Kansas; 6 to 0 percent in Texas; and to 5 percent in Oklahoma. Wetness across the northern and western United s highlighted an overall stormy winter, although many storms bypassed the mid-south and the mid-atlantic. Winter precipitation was particularly impressive from northern and central California to the northern Intermountain West. In fact, flooding developed on both sides of the Sierra Nevada crest in early January, followed by extensive flooding and flood-control efforts during February in parts of California. According to the Drought Monitor, drought covered just 4.08 percent of the country by the end of February, down from 3.46 percent on November 9, 06. Most of the drought eradication occurred in the West, including California, which experienced a winter decline in drought coverage from 73 to 9 percent. In contrast, winter precipitation was insufficient to erase drought from the southern Appalachians to southern New England, while pockets of drought developed, persisted or intensified from the central and southern Plains into the middle Mississippi Valley. Historical Perspective: According to preliminary information provided by the National Centers for Environmental Information, the contiguous United s experienced its sixth-warmest, eighth-wettest winter during the -year period of record. The general warmth of the winter of 06-7 followed the Nation s warmest winter on record (in 05-6), while widespread storminess resulted in the wettest winter since The Nation s winter average temperature of 35.9 F was 3.7 F above the 0th century mean, while precipitation averaged 8. inches percent of normal. wide temperature rankings ranged from the 5th-coldest winter in Washington to the warmest winter on record in Louisiana and Texas. It was among the ten warmest winters in Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, as well as every bordering the Mississippi River to the Atlantic Coast. Meanwhile, precipitation rankings ranged from the tenth-driest winter in Missouri to the wettest winter on record in Nevada and Wyoming. Top-ten rankings for winter wetness occurred in five Western and three Northern s. For California, it was the second-wettest winter behind only December: Stormy weather dominated the Nation, easing or eradicating drought in the East and West. In particular, multiple storms in California chiseled away at long-term drought, while soaking rains in the Southeast dented summer and autumn precipitation deficits. The Northeast also experienced drought relief in the form of rain and snow. However, pockets of dryness persisted across the central and southern Plains, leading to agricultural impacts such as low pond levels and poor pasture, rangeland, and winter wheat conditions. A coating of snow preceded a sharp, mid-month cold snap across portions of the central and southern Plains, providing wheat with some beneficial moisture and insulation. Farther north, cold, stormy weather dominated the northern Plains and the Northwest, leading to periodic travel disruptions and increased livestock stress. One of the most significant storms struck the Dakotas on Christmas Day, resulting in blizzard conditions. The same system produced a wintry mix, including rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow, across the upper Midwest. Elsewhere, much-above-normal temperatures covered the Deep South, including the Southwest and the Gulf Coast s. 8 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

29 Florida was especially warm, with the peninsula missing out on most of the rain that fell in other parts of the Southeast. As a result of the warm, dry weather, irrigation demands increased for Florida s citrus, vegetables, and strawberries. January: Aside from persistently cold weather across the northern Plains and the Northwest, the Nation experienced spring-like temperatures. Conditions were especially mild across the eastern half of the United s, where cold outbreaks were fleeting and mostly limited to a few days in early January. In fact, monthly temperatures averaged more than 8 F above normal in parts of the Southeast, promoting some early-season growth of pastures and winter grains, but raising concerns about potential impacts on blooming fruit crops if spring freezes materialize. Widespread storminess accompanied the general warmth, especially in the western and central United s. In fact, phenomenally wet January storms added an average of feet of liquid to the Sierra Nevada snowpack more than 80 percent of the normal seasonal total. Periods of wintry precipitation plagued the northern Plains and the Northwest, leading to ample moisture and insulation for winter wheat but resulting in hardship for livestock and rural travel difficulties. Monthly temperatures averaged more than 0 F below normal in parts of the interior Northwest. Farther east, a mid-january storm produced the bulk of the month s precipitation (mainly rain and freezing rain) in drought-affected areas of the central and southern Plains, benefiting winter wheat. Still, at least one-fifth of the wheat crop was rated in very poor to poor condition at month s end in Texas (7 percent), Colorado ( percent), and Kansas (0 percent). In contrast, less than one-tenth of the wheat was rated very poor to poor in Nebraska (9 percent), Montana (4 percent), and South Dakota ( percent). Meanwhile, pockets of dryness lingered across the middle Mississippi Valley, but most of the remainder of the Midwest received plenty of rain and snow. In fact, muddy conditions were a concern at times in the central and eastern Corn Belt, especially during a mid- to late-month spell of warm, showery weather. Nevertheless, less than 5 percent of the winter wheat was rated very poor to poor at month s end in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. Elsewhere, pockets of long-term drought lingered across the interior Southeast and the northern Atlantic s, while short-term dryness affected Deep South Texas and Florida s peninsula. In winter agricultural areas of Texas and Florida, the warm, dry weather maintained irrigation demands for crops such as citrus and vegetables. The remainder of the South reported warm, showery weather. February: Historic February warmth brought winter wheat out of dormancy as far north as the central Plains and the lower Midwest, and left many fruits in bloom by month s end across the South. Monthly temperatures averaged at least 0 F above normal at many locations across the eastern half of the United s, shattering February average temperature records that had been set as far back as 88, 890,, 930, and 93. Only the northwestern corner of the country, including Washington, was cooler than average, but even there February was far less harsh than December and January. The warmth was in part supported by the continuation of an active Pacific jet stream that often took aim on northern and central California. As a result, California s 5-year drought all but disappeared, replaced by waves of heavy precipitation that threatened the auxiliary spillway of the Nation s tallest dam (Oroville); pressured and sometimes overtopped levees in the Central Valley; and sparked some of the worst flooding on record in San Jose. By the end of February, the average water content of the Sierra Nevada snowpack stood at 45 inches, 85 percent of normal. The bounty extended beyond California to most other areas of the West, maintaining favorable spring and summer water-supply prospects in many river basins. While parts of the central and eastern United s also experienced periods of stormy weather, erratic showers (and early-season warmth) contributed to some drought development or intensification from the central and southern Plains to the middle and southern Atlantic s. By February 6, at least one-fifth of the winter wheat was rated very poor to poor in Colorado (7 percent), Kansas ( percent), and Texas (0 percent), accompanied by a general increase in late-winter wildfires across the central and southern Plains. Farther east, drought worsened anew in the southern Appalachians and neighboring areas, where winter rainfall failed to vanquish long-term precipitation deficits. And, a warm, mostly dry winter across Florida s peninsula maintained heavy agricultural irrigation demands. Most of the Midwest continued to experience a relatively benign winter, with periods of record warmth interspersed with Prospective Plantings (March 07) 9

30 brief episodes of rain or snow. Although the Midwest remained largely free of drought, topsoil moisture shortages were becoming more apparent in the southern Corn Belt. Elsewhere, New England endured a period of wintry weather, culminating in major snow accumulations on February 9 and -3. However, only a few days later, sudden warmth melted much of New England s snow. Crop Comments Corn: Growers intend to plant 90.0 million acres of corn for all purposes in 07, down 4 percent from last year, but percent higher than in 05. Planted acreage for 07 is expected to be down across most of the major corn producing s with the exception being Kansas, which is expecting an increase in acreage from last year. Acreage in Indiana and Ohio is expected to be unchanged from 06. Record high acreage is expected in Nevada and Oregon. Record low acreage is expected in Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Rhode Island. Compared with last year, planted acreage is expected to be down or unchanged in 38 of the 48 estimating s. Acreage decreases of 400,000 acres or more are expected in Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri and Texas compared with last year. The reduction in planted acres is mainly due to the expectation of lower returns compared with other crops in 07. Sorghum: Growers intend to plant 5.76 million acres of sorghum for all purposes in 07, down 4 percent from last year. Kansas and Texas, the leading sorghum-producing s, account for 75 percent of the expected United s acreage. If realized, acres planted to sorghum in Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, and Missouri will be the lowest on record. As of March 9, Texas growers had planted 6 percent of their expected acreage, 5 percentage points ahead of last year and 8 percentage points ahead of the 5 year average. Oats: Area seeded to oats for the 07 crop year is estimated at.70 million acres, down 5 percent from 06. If realized, United s planted area will be the second lowest on record. Record low planted acreage is estimated in Georgia, Idaho, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Barley: Producers intend to seed.55 million acres of barley for the 07 crop year, down 7 percent from the previous year. If realized, seeded area for barley will be the lowest on record. In Montana, acreage is expected to be down 30 percent from 06. In North Dakota, planted acreage is expected to decrease by 36 percent from last year. Winter wheat: The 07 winter wheat planted area is estimated at 3.7 million acres, down 9 percent from 06 but up percent from the previous estimate. This represents the second lowest planted acreage on record. s with notable acreage decreases from the are Kansas, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, and Texas. Record low acreage is estimated for Louisiana, Michigan, Nebraska, New Jersey, and Ohio. Of the total acreage, about 3.8 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 5.53 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.38 million acres are White Winter. Durum wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat for 07 is estimated at.00 million acres, down 7 percent from 06. Acreage decreases are expected in Montana and North Dakota, the two largest Durum-producing s. Planted acres in South Dakota will represent a record low, if realized. Durum wheat seedings were nearly complete by the end of February in Arizona. Other spring wheat: Growers intend to plant.3 million acres in 07, down 3 percent from 06. If realized, this will represent the lowest United s acreage since 97. Of the total, about 0.6 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. Compared with last year, acreage increases are expected in Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Utah, and Washington. Acreage decreases are expected in Colorado, Minnesota, North Dakota, Oregon, and South Dakota. If realized, planted acres will be a record low in Colorado and South Dakota. Rice: to rice in 07 is expected to total.63 million acres, down 7 percent from 06. The expectation of higher prices for competing commodities is contributing to the expected decrease in rice acres compared with last year. The expected decline in acres planted to long grain rice in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas accounts 30 Prospective Plantings (March 07)

31 for the decrease in both long grain and all rice planted acres. Arkansas, the largest long grain producing, is expected to decrease long grain acres by 6 percent. Medium grain acres are expected to increase less than percent and short grain acres are expected to increase by 9 percent from 06. California, the largest medium and short grain producing, is expected to decrease medium grain acres by percent in 07. Hay: Producers intend to harvest 5.8 million acres of all hay in 07, down percent from 06. If realized, this will represent the lowest total hay harvested area since 908. Harvested area of all hay is expected to hold steady or decline in all Western and Southern s except Arkansas, Idaho, and Washington. Increases in harvested acreage are expected in several Upper Midwestern s, as well as several Mid-Atlantic s. A record low for all hay harvested area is expected in California, Indiana, Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Wisconsin in 07. Soybeans: Growers intend to plant a record 89.5 million acres in 07, up 7 percent from last year. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are up or unchanged in 7 of the 3 estimating s. Increases of 500,000 acres or more are anticipated in Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Nebraska. If realized, the planted area in Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, North Dakota, Nebraska, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Wisconsin will be the largest on record. Peanuts: Growers intend to plant.75 million acres in 07, up 5 percent from the. The expected increase in planted area is largely driven by expectations of higher peanut prices. In Georgia, the largest peanut-producing, expected planted area is up 9 percent from 06. If realized, planted acres in South Carolina will be a record high. Sunflower: Growers intend to plant.45 million acres in 07, down 9 percent from 06. If realized, this will be the lowest planted area for the Nation since 976. Compared with last year, growers in four of the eight major sunflower-producing s expect a decline in sunflower acreage this year. Planted area in North Dakota, last year s leading sunflower-producing, is expected to decline 58,000 acres from 06. Producers in South Dakota intend to plant 585,000 acres in 07, an increase of 7,000 acres from last year. Area intended for oil type varieties, at.6 million acres, is down 8 percent from 06, and will be the lowest since 976, if realized. In North Dakota, planted area of oil type varieties will be the lowest since 975, if realized. Area intended for non-oil varieties, estimated at,000, is up 65 percent from last year. Canola: Producers intend to plant a record high.93 million acres in 07, up percent from 06. Compared with last year, planted area is expected to increase in all major s, with Kansas, Montana, Oklahoma, and Oregon all increasing by more than 70 percent from last year. Planted area in North Dakota, the leading canola-producing, is estimated at.50 million acres, up 3 percent from last year. If realized, planted area in Kansas, Montana, and North Dakota will be record highs. Flaxseed: Producers intend to plant 33,000 acres of flaxseed in 07, down 6,000 acres, or 6 percent less than was planted in 06. Acreage in North Dakota, the largest flaxseed-producing, is down 50,000 acres, or 5 percent, from the. Record low flaxseed planted acres are expected in South Dakota. Cotton: Growers intend to plant. million acres in 07, up percent from last year. If realized, this will be the highest planted acreage since 0. Upland area is expected to total.0 million acres, up percent from 06. American Pima area is expected to total 3,000 acres, up 9 percent from 06. Expectations of higher cotton prices in 07 are driving the acreage increase throughout the Cotton Belt. Growers in all s, except Florida, are expected to increase planted acreage from last year. Oklahoma Upland planted area is expected to be the highest since. Alabama, Mississippi, New Mexico, and Texas Upland planted area is expected to be the highest since 0. Sugarbeets: Area expected to be planted to sugarbeets for the 07 crop year is estimated at.3 million acres, down percent from 06. Intended plantings are below the in eight of the estimating s. Prospective Plantings (March 07) 3

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