Riverland RIVERLAND VINTAGE OVERVIEW. Vintage Report. Overview of vintage statistics

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Homer McCarthy
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1 Riverland RIVERLAND VINTAGE OVERVIEW Vintage Report Overview of vintage statistics The 2005 growing season was almost perfect in the Riverland. Although there were rain events in both December and January, the follow-up weather was dry and there were very few disease problems with either downy or powdery mildew. It was a relatively cool season with none of the extreme periods of heat that we have experienced in the past two years; consequently the quality was good for all varieties. Once again the industry was caught slightly off-guard, with varieties ripening together and causing some intake delays. This resulted in some quite high Baumé fruit being taken. Jim Caddy Phylloxera and Grape Industry Board River Murray Morgan Waikerie Kilometres Road Registered Vineyard Riverland GI Region Barmera The Riverland produced 482,214 tonnes this year another 10% higher than the record 2004 harvest (see graph on page 107). The total preferred crush was 60,000 tonnes less than the actual, with almost all of the surplus being in red varieties. The average purchase value per tonne for the major red varieties Cabernet Sauvignon, Shiraz and Merlot dropped by around $50 per tonne. The Chardonnay average purchase value dropped by nearly $200 per tonne, while the other major whites were around the same. Given the increased production but slightly lower average prices, total income to growers was very similar to last year, and the total value of grapes from the region was $231 million, compared with $234 million last year a drop of less than 1%. The forecast for the Riverland is for preferred intake of red varieties to remain at around 240,000 tonnes (less than was crushed in 2005), and for whites to remain at around 220,000 tonnes (about 10% more than this year s production). Estimated intake is higher than preferred intake for Chardonnay and Cabernet Sauvignon in every harvest year, while Shiraz shows a small shortfall. There has been a further downward revision of 20,000 tonnes in the preferred intake figures for red varieties since the 2004 survey. Berri Loxton Renmark South Australia Victoria It is important to note that these intake figures do not necessarily correspond to the region s production potential. A further 500 hectares were planted in the Riverland in 2004, giving a total area of 21,141 hectares. Based on the current vineyard area, and using estimated yield figures of 21t/ha for reds (except Cabernet Sauvignon 20t/ha), and 25 t/ha for whites (except Riesling 20t/ha and Colombard 28t/ha), it is estimated that the production from the region in 2008 will be 473,000 tonnes (see table 13.7). This means a shortfall of around 20,000 tonnes compared with preferred intake for that year. The major shortfalls are estimated to be in Merlot (11,000t), Shiraz, (9,000t), Colombard (16,000t) and Chardonnay (8,000t). 97

2 RIVERLAND TONNES CRUSHED BY VARIETY (RED) - VINTAGE Table 13.1 Total winery grown Total other growers Total crushed Total preferred Tonnes from % of demand Number of wineries reporting tonnages (>0) for Variety as % of total Own Other Preferred RED Barbera % 160% Cabernet Franc % 205% Cabernet Sauvignon 9,483 70,000 79,483 53,791 88% 148% Carignan % 212% Carina % Chambourcin % Durif % 88% Grenache 569 8,568 9,137 6,209 94% 147% Malbec % 268% Mataro (Mouvedre) 8 4,932 4,940 3, % 155% Merlot 2,296 26,544 28,840 26,675 92% 108% Muscat Brown (Red Front) % 55% Nebbiolo % Other red % 280% Petit Verdot ,782 14,657 11,623 94% 126% Pinot Noir 325 6,735 7,060 5,251 95% 134% Rubired % 106% Ruby Cabernet 1,071 12,813 13,883 4,427 92% 314% Saint Macaire % 100% Sangiovese % 94% Shiraz 10, , , ,271 91% 111% Tarrango % 115% Tempranillo % 64% Tinta Cao % 84% Tinta Madiera (Molle) % 84% Touriga % 99% Total RED 26, , , ,428 90% 127% % of grand total 58% 52%

3 RIVERLAND TONNES CRUSHED BY VARIETY (WHITE) - VINTAGE 2005 Table 13.2 Tonnes from % of demand Total winery grown Total other growers Total crushed Total preferred other growers supplied Number of wineries reporting tonnages (>0) for Variety as % of total Own Other Preferred Arneis % 115% Biancone % 95% Canada Muscat % 100% Chardonnay 9,496 96, ,370 97,218 91% 109% Chenin Blanc 658 4,492 5,150 5,019 87% 103% Colombard 2,077 33,616 35,693 36,493 94% 98% Crouchen % 82% Doradillo , % 133% Marsanne % 106% Muscadelle (Tokay) % 112% Muscat Blanc (Frontignac) % 100% Muscat Gordo Blanco ,089 22,568 23,383 98% 97% Orange Muscat % 100% Other white % 263% Palomino % 122% Pedro Ximenes % 101% Pinot Gris % 15% Riesling 790 3,328 4,119 5,331 81% 77% Sauvignon Blanc 2,027 2,525 4,553 5,592 55% 81% Semillon 4,540 6,449 10,990 10,574 59% 104% Sultana 18 3,071 3,088 4,499 99% 69% Sylvaner % 119% Taminga % 165% Traminer 392 2,115 2,506 2,590 84% 97% Trebbiano % 122% Verdelho 158 3,129 3,287 3,777 95% 87% Viognier ,063 1,475 64% 72% Total WHITE 22, , , ,791 89% 102% % of grand total 42% 48% Grand Total 49, , , ,219 90% 115% 99

4 RIVERLAND CROP VALUE DATA (RED) - VINTAGE 2005 Table 13.3 Variety Grower grown (t) Total crushed (t) Estimated total value purchased grapes 100 Estimated total value total grapes Lowest price 3 Highest price Calc average purchase value per tonne RED Barbera $18,599 $18,599 $250 $400 $ % Cabernet Franc $94,498 $94,498 $275 $600 $ % Cabernet Sauvignon 70,000 79,483 $23,446,470 $26,622,705 $81 $928 $ % Carignan $4,043 $87,643 $ % Carina $8,991 $8,991 $ % Chambourcin $15,505 $15,505 $ % Dolcetto 3 3 $1,035 $1,035 $ % Durif $17,280 $17,280 $ % Grenache 8,568 9,137 $3,210,864 $3,424,134 $150 $845 $ % Malbec $120,336 $232,839 $200 $440 $ % Mataro (Mouvedre) 4,932 4,940 $1,841,389 $1,844,376 $150 $881 $ % Merlot 26,544 28,840 $11,439,184 $12,428,523 $150 $928 $ % Muscat Brown (Red Front) $20,618 $20,618 $ % Nebbiolo $5,450 $5,450 $ % Other red (group together) $43,533 $57,597 $ % Petit Verdot 13,782 14,657 $4,648,076 $4,943,202 $150 $650 $ % Pinot Noir 6,735 7,060 $3,809,203 $3,993,010 $250 $625 $ % Rubired $73,122 $73,122 $250 $400 $ % Ruby Cabernet 12,813 13,883 $3,796,667 $4,113,922 $150 $928 $ % Saint Macaire $9,903 $9,903 $ % Sangiovese $134,086 $206,070 $200 $650 $ % Shiraz 105, ,117 $55,495,526 $61,228,351 $150 $902 $ % Tannat 2 3 $835 $1,007 $ % Tarrango $210,306 $210,306 $ % Tempranillo $93,273 $93,273 $250 $500 $ % Tinta Cao 0 49 $0 $16,279 $333 Tinta Madiera (Molle) $62,753 $77,642 $ % Touriga $39,101 $59,935 $ % Zinfandel 2 2 $690 $690 $ % Total RED 251, ,867 $108,661,334 $119,906,504 qualifier 4

5 RIVERLAND CROP VALUE DATA (WHITE) - VINTAGE 2005 Table 13.4 Variety Grower grown (t) Total crushed (t) Estimated total value purchased grapes Estimated total value total grapes Lowest price 1 Highest price Calc average purchase value per tonne WHITE Arneis $25,287 $25,287 $ % Biancone $6,410 $88,910 $ % Canada Muscat $77,679 $77,679 $ % Chardonnay 96, ,370 $67,018,686 $73,588,127 $150 $1,050 $ % Chenin Blanc 4,492 5,150 $1,468,670 $1,683,819 $275 $452 $ % Colombard 33,616 35,693 $11,404,806 $12,109,475 $150 $424 $ % Crouchen $29,726 $53,921 $230 $363 $ % Doradillo 734 1,051 $188,733 $270,455 $225 $350 $ % Emerald Riesling $25,211 $25,211 $ % Italia $3,857 $3,857 $ % Marsanne $7,726 $7,726 $ % Muller Thurgau $6,579 $6,579 $ % Muscadelle (Tokay) $59,518 $67,664 $230 $325 $ % Muscat Blanc (Frontignac) $33,525 $33,525 $ % Muscat Gordo Blanco 22,089 22,568 $8,190,380 $8,367,921 $200 $503 $ % Orange Muscat $0 $38,109 $357 Other white $335,066 $376,258 $300 $587 $ % Palomino $26,018 $125,514 $200 $255 $ % Pedro Ximenes $27,588 $27,588 $200 $250 $ % Pinot Gris $5,916 $5,916 $ % Riesling 3,328 4,119 $1,385,316 $1,714,330 $275 $507 $ % Sauvignon Blanc 2,525 4,553 $1,399,731 $2,523,415 $450 $800 $ % Semillon 6,449 10,990 $2,942,176 $5,013,496 $300 $750 $ % Sultana 3,071 3,088 $866,002 $871,022 $220 $325 $ % Sylvaner $53,267 $219,471 $ % Taminga $43,716 $57,502 $240 $487 $ % Traminer 2,115 2,506 $957,681 $1,135,065 $366 $600 $ % Trebbiano $44,928 $51,189 $250 $325 $ % Verdelho 3,129 3,287 $1,431,281 $1,503,552 $150 $550 $ % Viognier 678 1,063 $576,602 $904,077 $495 $1,103 $ % Waltham Cross $5,590 $5,590 $ % Total WHITE 181, ,347 $98,647,672 $110,982,252 Total all varieties 432, ,214 $207,309,006 $230,888,756 qualifier 2 101

6 RIVERLAND ESTIMATED AND PREFERRED FUTURE INTAKE OF RED GRAPES 2006 TO 2010 Table Variety estimated preferred qualifier 1 estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier RED Barbera % % % % % Cabernet Franc % % % % % Cabernet Sauvignon 71,518 55, % 77,331 64, % 78,333 70,833 98% 72,547 66,963 98% 71,902 66,435 98% Dolcetto % % % % % Grenache 9,890 7, % 10,262 8, % 10,408 8,559 99% 9,755 7,996 99% 9,668 7,928 99% Malbec % % % % % Mataro 6,374 3, % 6,175 3, % 5,912 3,631 99% 4,837 2,776 99% 4,679 2,656 99% Merlot 26,338 28,081 99% 30,222 30,460 99% 34,652 35,289 97% 30,719 32,819 96% 30,459 32,652 96% Other red 1,954 1,493 98% 1, % 1, % 1, % 1, % Petit Verdot 13,112 11, % 11,147 10, % 11,295 9,370 97% 10,064 8,641 97% 9,217 7,794 97% Pinot Noir 5,977 5, % 6,025 5, % 5,982 5, % 5,701 5,564 96% 5,581 5,444 96% Ruby Cabernet 9,543 5, % 8,258 4, % 7,828 4,185 99% 6,935 3,577 97% 6,683 3,325 97% Sangiovese % % % % % Shiraz 113, , % 116, , % 115, ,184 98% 105, ,934 97% 103, ,231 97% Tempranillo % % % % % Total RED 260, , , , , , , , , ,483 1 This indicates the percentage of crushed fruit in the current vintage for which forecast intake data was supplied.

7 RIVERLAND ESTIMATED AND PREFERRED FUTURE INTAKE OF WHITE GRAPES 2006 TO 2010 Table Variety estimated preferred qualifier 1 estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier estimated preferred qualifier WHITE Arneis % % % % % Chardonnay 119, , % 127, , % 131, ,553 98% 114, ,591 98% 117, ,118 98% Chenin Blanc 6,794 6, % 6,803 6, % 7,540 7,427 99% 7,243 7,231 99% 7,111 7,099 99% Colombard 36,633 37, % 34,983 37, % 35,310 41,500 99% 32,113 39,018 98% 31,808 38,764 98% Doradillo 2,081 1,624 97% 2,261 1,804 97% 2,437 1,980 97% 2,412 1,955 97% 2,412 1,955 97% Marsanne % % % % % Muscat Blanc % % % % % Muscat Gordo Blanco 24,360 24,300 99% 22,342 22,866 99% 21,602 23,246 99% 19,009 21,811 99% 18,515 21,447 99% Other white 3,896 2,544 93% 4,232 2,748 93% 4,394 2,851 93% 4,277 2,941 91% 4,234 2,916 89% Pinot Gris % % % % % Riesling 4,632 6, % 4,890 6, % 4,606 6,497 95% 4,571 6,641 95% 4,536 6,641 95% Sauvignon Blanc 5,001 6, % 5,834 7, % 6,693 7, % 5,617 6,604 98% 5,433 6,606 98% Semillon 9,648 9, % 9,643 9, % 9,837 9,567 99% 9,580 9,717 99% 9,574 9,838 99% Sultana 4,026 4,687 98% 3,731 4,438 98% 3,603 4,033 96% 2,836 3,267 96% 2,670 3,125 96% Traminer 2,717 3,043 95% 2,838 3,168 95% 2,871 3,195 95% 2,791 3,195 95% 2,791 3,195 95% Verdelho 2,668 3,273 98% 2,661 3,732 98% 2,546 3,637 95% 2,432 3,523 95% 2,349 3,465 95% Viognier 1,272 1,812 91% 1,482 2,372 91% 1,525 2,593 78% 1,596 2,943 78% 1,355 2,712 78% Total WHITE 224, , , , , , , , , ,812 Total all varieties 484, , , , , , , , , ,294 1 This indicates the percentage of crushed fruit in the current vintage for which forecast intake data was supplied. 103

8 104 RIVERLAND SUPPLY AND DEMAND FORECASTS 2006 AND 2008 Table 13.7 Variety estimated bearing area (ha) 1 estimated production (tonnes ) preferred estimated Difference % estimated intake bearing (tonnes) difference production (tonnes) 3 area (ha) 1 preferred intake (tonnes) 3 Difference (tonnes) % difference Cabernet Franc % % Cabernet Sauvignon 3, ,193 14,947 21% 3, , % Grenache ,878 1,887 19% ,559 1,248 13% Malbec % % Mataro ,773 4,060 52% ,631 4,203 54% Merlot 1, ,081-4,078-17% 1, ,289-11,223-47% Other red , % ,016 1,105 52% Petit Verdot ,222 1,945 15% ,370 3,797 29% Pinot Noir ,900-1,595-37% ,839-1,303-29% Ruby Cabernet ,365 7,655 59% ,185 8,835 68% Sangiovese % % Shiraz 5, ,918-6,658-6% 5, ,184-9,236-8% Tempranillo % % Red Total 12, ,826 22,626 9% 12, , % Chardonnay 4, ,716-4,291-4% 4, ,553-8,453-8% Chenin Blanc ,684-2,509-60% ,427-3,252-78% Colombard ,331-12,523-50% ,500-16,356-65% Doradillo ,624 2,251 58% ,980 1,895 49% Marsanne Muscat Blanc ,427 86% ,543 88% Muscat Gordo Blanco 1, ,300 2,526 9% 1, ,246 3,880 14% Other white ,844 1,631 36% , % Riesling ,007-1,307-28% ,497-1,777-38% Sauvignon Blanc ,069-1,794-42% ,550-3,100-70% Semillon , % , % Sultana ,687 6,688 59% ,033 7,342 65% Traminer , % , % Verdelho , % , % Viognier , % , % White Total 8, ,439-10,864-5% 8, ,559-20,284-10% Grand Total 20, ,264 11,763 3% 21, ,411-19,576-4% This table compares estimated future production (supply) - based on planting data - with estimated future demand (preferred intake). This gives a better indication of possible shortfalls and surpluses than comparing estimated with preferred intake, as estimated intake does not necessarily account for all production of a given variety. Notes for table (1) Planting data derived from PGIB vineyard register. Bearing area includes plantings more than two years old. This means any new plantings in 2005 will also contribute to production in (2) Bearing area multiplied by yield estimate (see below). (3) Taken from the Utilisation and Pricing survey (see previous page). Yield estimates Reds 21 Cab Sauv 20 Whites 25 Riesling 20 Colombard 28

9 RIVERLAND PAST PRODUCTION AND PROJECTIONS FOR MAJOR VARIETIES Figure 13.1 Grenache Past production and projections (major varieties) PAST PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS (preferred intake) Shiraz Chardonnay Cabernet Sauvignon Colombard Merlot

10 RIVERLAND CURRENT PLANTINGS BY VARIETY AND YEAR PLANTED Table Current area in hectares by year planted Variety Pre Total area % planted in 2004 CABERNET SAUVIGNON % GRENACHE % MATARO (MOUVEDRE) % MERLOT % PETIT VERDOT % PINOT NOIR % RUBY CABERNET % SHIRAZ % TEMPRANILLO % OTHER RED % TOTAL RED WINEGRAPES % CHARDONNAY % CHENIN BLANC % COLOMBARD % DORADILLO % MUSCAT BLANC % MUSCAT GORDO BLANCO % RIESLING % SAUVIGNON BLANC % SEMILLON % SULTANA % TRAMINER % TREBBIANO % VERDELHO % VIOGNIER % OTHER WHITE % TOTAL WHITE WINEGRAPES % ROOTSTOCK BLOCK % MULTI-PURPOSE / TABLEGRAPES % TOTAL ALL VARIETIES %

11 RIVERLAND PAST PRODUCTION Figure

Riverland RIVERLAND VINTAGE OVERVIEW. Overview of vintage statistics. Vintage Report

Riverland RIVERLAND VINTAGE OVERVIEW. Overview of vintage statistics. Vintage Report Riverland 88 RIVERLAND VINTAGE OVERVIEW Vintage Report The 2004 vintage ran very smoothly, apart from some difficulties encountered in February due to excessive heat lasting about seven days or so, with