Steel Market Report. AISI & WSA Data Charts. By Becky E. Hites
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1 Steel Market Report AISI & WSA Data Charts By Becky E. Hites April 4, 2015
2 Information included in this report is believed to be true and the author has exercised due diligence in obtaining the data from market and private sources. This report is not intended to be the sole basis for making an investment and the reader is cautioned to exercise additional independent due diligence before making any investment decision. Steel-Insights, LLC ~ 2 ~
3 Steel Production Heat Map Steel Production Heat Map-Month to Month Change WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-World WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-China WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-World ex China WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-EU (27) WSD Monthly Crude Steel Production-USA WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-World-TTMMA WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-China-TTMMA WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-World ex China-TTMMA WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production-EU (27)-TTMMA WSD Monthly Crude Steel Production-USA-TTMMA AISI Weekly Crude Steel Production AISI Weekly Crude Steel Production-3 Years-TTMMA AISI Steel Production Utilization Rate AISI Steel Production Utilization Rate-3 Years-TTMMA AISI Monthly Steel Shipments AISI Monthly Steel Shipments Year-Over-Year Change AISI Monthly Imports AISI Monthly Exports AISI Imports as a Percent of Apparent Steel Consumption Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Code: red=down; green=up; grey=sideways; white=no new data yet Code Imports %: red=up; green=down; grey=sideways; white=no new data yet ~ 3 ~
4 Top 10 Steel Producing Countries & Top 20 Steel Producing Companies The Largest Steel Producing Countries (Million Tonnes) China % 2 Japan % 3 USA % 4 India % 5 Russia % 6 South Korea % 7 Germany % 8 Turkey % 9 Ukraine % 10 Brazil % Subtotal Top ,163 1,256 1,284 1,373 1, % % of Total 67% 69% 74% 81% 82% 83% 84% 83% Total Global ,156 1,433 1,537 1,553 1,641 1,659 95% Rank Tonnes Rank Tonnes ArcelorMittal Tata Steel Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corp Shandong Steel Group Hebei Steel Group US Steel Baosteel Group Nucor Wuhan Steel Group Tianjin Bohai Steel POSCO Gerdau Shagang Group Maanshan Steel Ansteel Group Hyundai Steel Shougang Group Benxi Steel JFE Evraz Group Top Note: Chinese steel mills represent half of the top 20 for 328 million tonnes. 20 Largest Steel-Producing Companies, 2013 (million metric tonnes, crude steel output) ~ 4 ~
5 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production - World February s global annualized crude steel production was at the billion tonne rate, and billion tonne rate on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to a revised (and 1.624) billion tonnes in the preceding month and (and 1.587) billion tonnes in the year ago period. China crude steel production was at the 848 million tonne rate, and 810 million tonne rate on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to 771 (and 807) million tonnes in the preceding month and 809 (and 807) million tonnes in the year ago period. The world excluding China crude steel production was at the 816 million tonne rate, and 816 million tonne rate on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to a revised 804 (and 817) million tonnes in the preceding month and 834 (and 807) million tonnes in the year ago period. EU (27) crude steel production was at the 178 million tonne rate, and 169 million tonne rate on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to revised 168 (and 169) million tonnes in the preceding month and 181 (and 169) million tonnes in the year ago period. USA crude steel production was at the 82 million tonne rate, and 87.7 million tonne rate on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to a revised 85 (and 88.2) million tonnes in the preceding month and 89 (and 86.9) million tonnes in the year ago period. 1,750 World Monthly Crude Steel Production Annualized Rate 1,650 1,550 1,450 1,350 1,250 1,150 1, Jan 05 ~ 5 ~
6 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production China and the World Sans China 900 China Monthly Crude Steel Production Annualized Rate Jan World Ex China Monthly Crude Steel Production Annualized Rate Jan 05 ~ 6 ~
7 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production EU (27) and USA 240 EU (27) Monthly Crude Steel Production Annualized Rate Jan USA Monthly Crude Steel Production Annualized Rate Jan 05 ~ 7 ~
8 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average World and China 1,700 World Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average Annualized 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1, China Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average Annualized CHINA PLANS FOR THIS TO DROP, BUT NOT SEEING IT YET IN THE NUMBERS ~ 8 ~
9 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average World Sans China and EU (27) 900 World Ex China Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average Annualized EU (27) Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average Annualized ~ 9 ~
10 WSA Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average USA 110 USA Monthly Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average Annualized ~ 10 ~
11 USA Carbon Steel Shipments, Imports, Exports & Apparent Consumption Annually USA Steel Shipments, Imports, Exports & Consumption (million tons) Less Semis Shipments Imports Imports Exports ASC Y-t-Y Chg % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 2015e % & Steel-Insights estimates USA Monthly Steel Shipments, Imports & Exports Twelve Month Moving Average Apparent Consumption Imports Million Tons Shipments ~ 11 ~
12 USA Steel Shipments, Imports, Exports & Apparent Consumption Annually Sheet & Strip 56,680 57,960 54,144 48,827 31,970 43,776 50,198 52,394 51,868 52,776 Plate 10,250 10,621 11,514 11,067 6,854 9,581 10,089 10,056 10,388 10,490 Shapes 8,061 8,597 8,207 7,167 4,148 5,181 5,714 5,546 6,147 6,141 Bar 17,049 18,095 18,838 17,307 10,613 13,921 13,972 15,805 15,226 16,418 Wire Rod 1,936 2,032 2,406 2,368 1,646 1,880 2,161 2,646 2,409 2,373 Pipe & Tubing 5,096 5,427 5,064 4,991 2,347 3,882 4,815 4,781 4,792 5,201 Tin Related 2,874 2,880 2,752 2,877 2,385 2,758 2,326 2,217 2,059 1,934 Wire Drawn Rail 914 1,048 1,094 1, ,139 1,113 1,198 1,298 Tool Steel Semi-Finished 1,283 1,650 2,115 1, , ,048 1,071 1,228 Net Shipments 104, , ,538 98,199 62,165 83,305 91,708 96,029 95,573 98,259 Imports 27,438 39,587 28,007 25,225 13,168 19,677 23,332 27,406 26,616 35,426 Exports 9,292 9,697 11,117 13,435 9,254 12,099 13,415 13,699 12,643 12,389 Apparent Steel Consumption 122, , , ,989 66,078 90, , , , ,296 USA Carbon Shipments, Imports, Exports and Apparent Consumption (thousand tons) ~ 12 ~
13 AISI Weekly Crude Steel Production Weekly crude steel production was million tons for the week ending March 28, down 10.6% versus the year ago. On a twelve month moving average basis, it was million tons (for an 85.4 million ton finished ton annualized rate) compared to million tons in the year ago period (for a 86.5 million ton finished ton annualized rate). Thousand Tons 2,800 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Weekly Estimated USA Crude Steel Production Thousand Tons 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 Weekly Estimated USA Crude Steel Production Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average ~ 13 ~
14 AISI Utilization Rate The utilization rate ended March at 68.9% compared to 70.1% in the previous month and 75.7% in year ago period. 105 USA Raw Steel Production Utilization Rate Percent Jan-01 Jul-01 Jan-02 Jul-02 Jan-03 Jul-03 Jan-04 Jul-04 Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% USA Raw Steel Production Utilization Rate Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average ~ 14 ~
15 AISI Monthly Steel Shipments The December monthly steel shipments were 7763 million tons for an annualized shipment level of 93.2 million tons, and 98.1 million tons on a trailing twelve month basis, compared to 95.7 (and 98.2) million tons in preceding period and 94.7 (and 95.1) million tons in the year ago period US Steel Shipments, Monthly Annualized Trailing Twelve Month Moving Average 100 Million Tons Jan-81 Jan-82 Jan-83 Jan-84 Jan-85 Jan-86 Jan-87 Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan % US Steel Monthly Shipments Year-Over-Year Percent Change 75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% Jan-81 Jan-82 Jan-83 Jan-84 Jan-85 Jan-86 Jan-87 Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 ~ 15 ~
16 AISI Monthly Imports February imports on a preliminary basis were million tons compared to a revised million tons in the preceding period and million tons in the year ago period. January exports were million tons compared to million tons in the preceding period and million tons in the year ago period. Million Net Tons Jan-83 Jan-84 Jan-85 Jan-86 Jan-87 Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 USA Monthly Steel Imports and Exports Annualized Rate Imports Exports Percent of Consumption 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% USA Monthly Annualized Rate of Imports as a Percent of Apparent Steel Consumption Jan-83 Jan-84 Jan-85 Jan-86 Jan-87 Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 ~ 16 ~
17 USA Stainless Steel Shipments, Imports, Exports & Apparent Consumption Annually Sheet & Strip 1,568 1,414 1,108 1,326 1,219 1,526 1,610 1,944 1,928 Shapes & Plates Bar Wire Rod Pipe & Tubing Semi-Finished Net Shipments 2,081 1,877 1,525 1,672 1,662 2,082 2,093 2,443 2,505 Shipments to Reporting Companies Total Gross Shipments 2,524 2,276 1,877 1,966 2,000 2,085 2,093 2,443 2,505 Imports 1,143 1,214 1, ,114 1,266 1,073 1,221 Exports Apparent Steel Consumption 3,215 2,894 2,340 2,058 2,324 2,521 2,644 2,818 2,801 USA Stainless Shipments, Imports, Exports and Apparent Consumption (thousand tons) ~ 17 ~
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