CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast Global Oilseeds Estimates AREA (m hectares) YIELD (kg/ha) PRODUCTION (mmt) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (mmt) 113.5 115.3 2641.3 2731.3 299.8 314.8 Sunflowers 23.8 25.8 1674.6 1707.8 39.8 44.0 Peanuts 19.6 20.5 1753.6 1734.0 34.3 35.6 Rapeseed 31.8 31.7 1984.4 2019.3 63.2 63.9 Cottonseed 31.9 30.5 1270.7 1314.2 40.5 40.1 502.7 524.3 TOTAL OILSEEDS CropCast U.S. Oilseeds Estimates AREA (m acres) YIELD (bu/ac) PRODUCTION (m bu) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (m bu) 81.4 81.7 47.8 50.4 3890.9 4115.9 Vegetative Health Index Map and Crop Condition Tendency EUROPE Sunflowers CHINA U.S. Rapeseed SE ASIA Palmoil BRAZIL Vegetative Health Index (VHI) Legend 8 16 24 32 40 Stressed 45 55 Desert 60 68 Healthy 76 84 Colored boxes within the map above indicate whether crop conditions will be declining or improving for each crop in each major global growing region, incorporating current conditions and the latest 10 day CropCAST forecast. 92 Declining Snow/Ice or Missing Data Neutral Improving Vegetative Health Index Change From Last Year Desert -20-16 -12-8 -4 Worse 4 Better 8 12 16 20 Snow/Ice or Missing Data
CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, Oilseeds Summary: The CROPCAST estimate for world oilseeds production is 524.31 MMT, which is unchanged from last week. Limited rains in the U.S. soybean areas this week should favor harvesting Abundant rains in Southeast Asia will continue to improve moisture for palm Showers in North China Plain and Yangtze Valley area slowing soybean harvesting Rains in central and northwestern Brazil this week will further improve moisture for soybean germination Drier weather in western Europe this week will favor sunflower harvesting SOYBEAN GROWING AREAS RAPESEED GROWING AREAS SUNFLOWER GROWING AREAS PALM OIL GROWING AREAS United States PAST WEATHER: Showers favored the Midwest and north central Delta this past week. FORECAST: A few light showers should favor the northern Midwest this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers in the Midwest this past week slowed harvesting a bit, but much more limited rains this week will allow harvesting to progress well. European Union PAST WEATHER: Rains favored Spain, France, Germany, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, Former Yugoslavia, Hungary, and Italy last week. FORECAST: Showers should favor eastern Germany, Poland, Czech- Slovak Republics, and southern Italy this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers this past week slowed sunflower harvesting a bit, but drier weather in central and western areas this week will allow harvest progress to improve. China PAST WEATHER: Showers favored North China Plain, and central and eastern Yangtze Valley last week. FORECAST: Rains should favor North China Plain and Yangtze Valley this week. CROP IMPACT: Rains across central and southeastern North China Plain and Yangtze Valley have stalled soybean harvesting and increased wetness, and wetness concerns will persist this week. Meanwhile, limited rains in Northeast China will favor harvesting.
CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, Southeast Asia PAST WEATHER: Rains were noted across much of the region this week. FORECAST: Rains should be widespread across the region this week. CROP IMPACT: Abundant rains across the region have improved moisture a bit, although more are still needed in central Sumatra, southwestern Malay Peninsula, northwestern Kalimantan, and central and southwestern East Malaysia. Brazil PAST WEATHER: Showers favored Mato Grosso, Goias, southwestern Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Parana, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul this past week. FORECAST: Showers should favor Mato Grosso, Goias, Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Parana, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul this week. CROP IMPACT: Rains in central and northwestern areas this week will further improve moisture for soybean growth. However, some dryness will rebuild in Bahia in far northeastern areas.
CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, AREA (m hectares) YIELD (kg/ha) PRODUCTION (mmt) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (mmt) U.S. 32.95 33.05 3215 3390 105.91 112.04 CHINA 6.60 7.00 1833 1762 12.09 12.33 BRAZIL 32.10 33.80 2990 3039 95.99 102.71 ARGENTINA 19.85 19.35 2885 2921 57.27 56.53 PARAGUAY 3.50 3.45 2600 2650 9.10 9.14 INDIA 11.40 11.40 675 875 7.70 9.98 OTHERS 7.10 7.20 1650 1675 11.72 12.06 WORLD 113.49 115.25 2641 2731 299.77 314.79 SUNFLOWERS U.S. 0.75 0.70 1800 1750 1.35 1.23 RUSSIA 6.40 7.15 1450 1400 9.28 10.01 UKRAINE 5.20 5.95 2150 2225 11.18 13.24 ARGENTINA 1.26 1.65 1935 1956 2.44 3.23 CHINA 1.00 1.00 2600 2625 2.60 2.63 EU-28 4.04 4.18 1916 2001 7.73 8.36 OTHER EUROPE 0.75 0.80 1825 1916 1.37 1.53 OTHERS 4.37 4.36 879 877 3.84 3.82 WORLD SUNFLOWER 23.76 25.79 1675 1708 39.79 44.04 PEANUTS U.S. 0.65 0.55 4450 4500 2.89 2.48 CHINA 4.50 4.61 3591 3629 16.16 16.71 INDIA 4.40 5.25 1075 1050 4.73 5.51 OTHERS 1 10.10 1050 1075 10.50 10.86 WORLD PEANUTS 19.55 20.51 1754 1734 34.28 35.56 RAPESEED CANADA 8.00 8.00 2125 2300 17.00 18.40 CHINA 7.35 7.13 1921 1940 14.11 13.83 EU-28 6.14 5.99 3318 3230 20.38 19.35 OTHER EUROPE 0.24 0.23 1900 2050 0.46 0.47 INDIA 6.40 6.50 1000 1050 6.40 6.83 OTHERS 3.70 3.80 1300 1325 4.81 5.04 WORLD RAPESEED 31.83 31.65 1984 2019 63.16 63.92 COTTONSEED U.S. 3.31 3.93 1260 1300 4.18 5.11 CHINA 3.44 2.85 2723 2943 9.36 8.39 BLACK SEA 2.40 2.30 1360 1375 3.26 3.16 INDIA 11.80 10.90 1025 1025 12.10 11.17 PAKISTAN 2.85 2.50 1100 1450 3.14 3.63 OTHERS 8.10 8.00 1050 1075 8.51 8.60 WORLD COTTONSD 31.90 30.48 1271 1314 40.54 40.06 MAJOR OILSEEDS* 224.23 227.38 2144 2206 480.68 501.51 MALAYSIA PALM 4.83 4.90 4050 4400 19.54 21.56 COPRA 5.55 5.55 PALM KERNEL 16.50 17.25 TOTAL OILSEEDS 502.73 524.31 *Includes Flaxseed CropCast Global Oilseeds Estimates
CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast World Oilseeds Weekly Yield Tracker (mt/ha) 20 MARKETING YEAR 27-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 13-Oct 6-Oct 29-Sep 22-Sep 15-Sep U.S. 3.39 3.39 3.39 3.39 3.37 3.35 3.35 3.35 CHINA 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 BRAZIL 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.04 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.05 ARGENTINA 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.92 PARAGUAY 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 INDIA 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 OTHERS 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 WORLD 2.73 2.73 2.73 2.73 2.73 2.72 2.72 2.72 SUNFLOWERS U.S. 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 RUSSIA 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 UKRAINE 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 ARGENTINA 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 CHINA 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 EU-28 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 OTHER EUROPE 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 OTHERS 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 WORLD SUNFLOWER 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 PEANUTS U.S. 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 CHINA 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.63 3.63 INDIA 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 OTHERS 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 WORLD PEANUTS 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 RAPESEED CANADA 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.23 CHINA 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 1.94 EU-28 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 OTHER EUROPE 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 INDIA 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 OTHERS 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.33 WORLD RAPESEED 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.00 COTTONSEED U.S. 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 CHINA 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 2.94 FSU-12 INDIA 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 PAKISTAN 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 OTHERS 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 WORLD COTTONSD 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 MAJOR OILSEEDS* 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 *Includes Flaxseed
CropCast Weekly Oilseeds Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast U.S. State-Level Soybean Estimates AREA (m acres) YIELD (bu/ac) PRODUCTION (m bu) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (m bu) ALABAMA 0.49 0.42 41.0 35.0 20.1 14.7 ARKANSAS 3.20 3.10 50.0 48.0 160.0 148.8 GEORGIA 0.33 0.26 42.0 39.0 13.9 10.1 ILLINOIS 9.90 9.90 54.0 60.0 534.6 594.0 INDIANA 5.50 5.60 50.0 58.0 275.0 324.8 IOWA 9.80 9.60 54.0 56.0 529.2 537.6 KANSAS 3.80 4.00 37.0 42.0 140.6 168.0 KENTUCKY 1.80 1.80 50.0 49.0 90.0 88.2 LOUISIANA 1.40 1.30 42.0 47.0 58.8 61.1 MICHIGAN 2.10 2.10 47.0 46.0 98.7 96.6 MINNESOTA 7.50 7.60 48.0 48.0 360.0 364.8 MISSISSIPPI 2.30 2.10 46.0 46.0 105.8 96.6 MISSOURI 4.60 5.40 41.0 48.0 188.6 259.2 NEBRASKA 5.20 5.20 55.0 58.0 286.0 301.6 NORTH CAROLINA 1.75 1.65 33.0 36.0 57.8 59.4 OHIO 4.80 4.80 49.0 52.0 235.2 249.6 SOUTH CAROLINA 0.44 0.44 27.0 32.0 11.9 14.1 SOUTH DAKOTA 5.10 5.00 45.0 44.0 229.5 220.0 TENNESSEE 1.70 1.70 46.0 47.0 78.2 79.9 OTHERS 9.70 9.70 43.0 44.0 417.1 426.8 UNITED STATES 81.41 81.67 47.8 50.4 3890.9 4115.9 CropCast U.S. Soybean Weekly Yield Tracker (bu/ac) 20 MARKETING YEAR 27-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 13-Oct 6-Oct 29-Sep 22-Sep 15-Sep ALABAMA 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 38.0 38.0 38.0 38.0 ARKANSAS 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 GEORGIA 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 ILLINOIS 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 INDIANA 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 IOWA 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 KANSAS 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 KENTUCKY 49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0 49.0 LOUISIANA 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 MICHIGAN 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 MINNESOTA 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 MISSISSIPPI 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 MISSOURI 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 47.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 NEBRASKA 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 57.0 57.0 57.0 NORTH CAROLINA 36.0 36.0 36.0 36.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 OHIO 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 52.0 SOUTH CAROLINA 32.0 32.0 32.0 32.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 31.0 SOUTH DAKOTA 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 43.0 42.0 42.0 42.0 TENNESSEE 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 47.0 46.0 46.0 46.0 OTHERS 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 43.0 43.0 43.0 UNITED STATES 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.4 50.1 49.8 49.8 49.8