Grain Stocks ISSN: 949-095 Released June 30, 05, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). Corn Stocks Up 5 Percent from June 04 Soybean Stocks Up 54 Percent All Wheat Stocks Up 8 Percent Corn stocks in all on June, 05 totaled 4.45 billion bushels, up 5 percent from June, 04. Of the total stocks,.8 billion bushels are stored on, up percent from a year earlier. -farm stocks, at.7 billion bushels, are up 9 percent from a year ago. The March - May 05 indicated disappearance is 3.30 billion bushels, compared with 3.6 billion bushels during the same period last year. Soybeans stored in all on June, 05 totaled 65 million bushels, up 54 percent from June, 04. -farm stocks totaled 46 million bushels, up 6 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at 379 million bushels, are up 8 percent from a year ago. Indicated disappearance for the March - May 05 quarter totaled 70 million bushels, up 9 percent from the same period a year earlier. Old crop all wheat stored in all on June, 05 totaled 753 million bushels, up 8 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks are estimated at 55 million bushels, up 60 percent from last year. -farm stocks, at 597 million bushels, are up percent from a year ago. The March - May 05 indicated disappearance is 388 million bushels, down 7 percent from the same period a year earlier. Old crop Durum wheat stocks in all on June, 05 totaled 5.9 million bushels, up 0 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at 0.3 million bushels, are down 0 percent from June, 04. -farm stocks totaled 5.6 million bushels, up 79 percent from a year ago. The March - May 05 indicated disappearance of.8 million bushels is down 9 percent from the same period a year earlier.
Old crop barley stocks in all on June, 05 totaled 78.7 million bushels, down 4 percent from June, 04. -farm stocks are estimated at 0.9 million bushels, 0 percent above a year ago. -farm stocks, at 57.7 million bushels, are 9 percent below June, 04. The March - May 05 indicated disappearance is 39.6 million bushels, percent above the same period a year earlier. Old crop oats stored in all on June, 05 totaled 53.7 million bushels, 7 percent above the stocks on June, 04. Of the total stocks on hand, 5. million bushels are stored on, 56 percent higher than a year ago. -farm stocks totaled 38.6 million bushels, 57 percent above the previous year. Indicated disappearance during March - May 05 totaled 5.7 million bushels, compared with 0.4 million bushels during the same period a year ago. Grain sorghum stored in all on June, 05 totaled 33. million bushels, down 64 percent from a year ago. -farm stocks, at.9 million bushels, are down 35 percent from last year. -farm stocks, at 30.3 million bushels, are down 66 percent from June, 04. The March - May 05 indicated disappearance from all is 86.7 million bushels, up 4 percent from the same period last year. Pulse crops stored in all on June, 05 are: dry edible peas, 3. million cwt; lentils, 655 thousand cwt; Austrian winter peas, 5,000 cwt; all chickpeas, 76,000 cwt; small chickpeas, 77,000 cwt; and large chickpeas, 585,000 cwt. Small chickpeas are defined as peas that will pass through a 0/64 inch round hole screen. This report was approved on June 30, 05. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Karis T. Gutter Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Grain Stocks (June 05)
Contents Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units United s: 04 and 05... 4 Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units United s: 04 and 05... 5 Corn Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... 6 Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... 7 Oat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... 8 Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... 9 All Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... 0 Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05... Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05... Annual Crop Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05... 3 Pea and Lentil Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05... 3 Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05... 3 Corn and Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05... 4 Oat and Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05... 5 All Wheat and Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05... 6 Statistical Methodology... 7 Information Contacts... 8 Grain Stocks (June 05) 3
Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units United s: 04 and 05 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Date Corn September... December... 3,860,500,863,00 46,000 7,087,000 3,47,63,988,56 769,904 4,4,380 7,008,3 3,85,76,3,904,,380 4,380,000,75,000 3,369,806,7,70 7,749,806 4,446,70 Sorghum September... December... 5,950 4,500,945 30,500 59,784 87,94 3,087 9,094 75,734 9,44 34,03,594 9,000,90 0,856 30,85 9,856 33,05 Oats September... December... 9,800 9,70 4,400 3,300 5,33 5,09 3,90 35,670 35,3 4,739 74,30 66,970 0,80 5,0 38,609 38,59 59,49 53,7 Barley September... December... 43,830 9,0 97,80 74,50 77,734 63,45 8,997 8,65,564 8,55 79,87 56,35 4,990 0,940 76,47 57,70 8,37 78,650 All wheat September... December... 37,530 96,995 73,450 47,800 89,435 493,88,93,770,056,830,056,965 590,83,907,0,59,630 78,70 55,70 86,697 597,466,40,407 75,636 Durum wheat September... December... 0,700,800 38,700 3,900 7,430 8,74 9, 0,47 38,30,54 57,8 44,047 6,00 0,50,454 5,635 37,654 5,885 Soybeans September... December... 38,900 09,00,35,8,000 6,98 95,945 70,666,309,744 993,88 405,045 9,99,57,744 609,00 46,300 77,399 379,04,36,599 65,404 Included in All wheat. 4 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Grain Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units United s: 04 and 05 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Date Corn September... December... (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) (metric tons) 98,06,0 47,37,460,735,340 80,08,090 79,953,30 50,50,630 9,556,460 04,764,080 78,04,50 97,838,090 3,9,800 84,78,70,57,0 57,787,660 85,597,00 55,63,750 96,854,40,95,40 Sorghum September... December... 405,50 4,30 49,40 774,740 4,058,700,33,370 85,050 4,879,40 4,463,850,347,680 864,450 5,654,50 8,60 74,70,85,870 769,70 3,044,480 843,450 Oats September... December... 87,400 40,940 600,90 454,30,40 8,50 477,690 57,750 509,80 359,090,078,60 97,070 30,060 9,470 560,40 560,50 86,460 779,60 Barley September... December... 954,90 46,070,9,780,6,60,69,460,374,80,785,70,777,70,646,740,790,890 3,95,050 3,399,440 94,0 455,90,660,080,56,490,574,30,7,400 All wheat September... December... 6,464,50,639,770 9,46,930,867,50,30,370 3,45,00 3,489,00 8,76,00 8,765,870 6,064,870 5,906,00 4,69,70 7,585,40 4,3,040 3,45,550 6,60,360 3,036,790 0,483,400 Durum wheat September... December... 563,360 348,360,053,40 650,450 474,370 37,430 50,390 548,30,037,730 585,790,573,630,98,760 440,890 78,960 583,880 45,50,04,770 704,470 Soybeans September... December... 0,393,60,969,0 580,370 33,48,530 6,653,950 8,054,300,93,0 35,645,390 Included in All wheat. 7,047,570,03,50,503,580 68,793,90 6,579,70 6,703,90 9,54,400 0,37,50 36,04,0 7,00,70 Grain Stocks (June 05) 5
Corn Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 3,500 0,000 4,45,774 5,50 6,94 5,99 6,598 430 6,58,98 346,574 9,49 566,574 4,000 330,000 5,04,77 3,96 4,84 5,73 9,533 705 7,503 3,759 55,697 9,73 845,697 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 40,000 360,000 7,000,500 43,000 330,000 43,500 67,3 368,508 9,550 7,476 8,85 7,880 53,674 39,394 4,58 38,693 307,3 78,508 9,550 9,976 96,674 469,394 8,93 60,000 480,000 40,000,500 45,000 35,000 88,000 63,369 396,730 09,60 8,97,5 7,75 43,60 45,58 5,598 58,656 33,369 876,730 49,60 39,797 88,60 470,58 46,656 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 90,000 4,700 75,000 90,000 43 54,0,356,443 56,509 4,5 444,0 7,43 3,509 4,5 0,000 6,500 58,000 95,000 50 36,79,88 3,8 33,8 99,640 456,79 0,3 9,8 94,640 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 33,000 45,000 6,593 45 7,090,504 89,773,645 40,650 5,594 7,546 40,090 34,773 4,000 65,000 6,587 7,7,046 78,90,53 58,55 4,93 8,349 48,7 43,90 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 76,000 68,5 85 44,5 96,000 75,079 688 7,079 Unallocated... 60,000,833 95,788 90,000 3,73 49,48 United s...,863,00,988,56 3,85,76,75,000,7,70 4,446,70 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 6 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 79 808 4 803 6 37 577 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri...,00 350 57,447 04 488 59,547 838,500 50 6,884 56 6 8,384 476 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 00 3,43 3,443 60,3,58 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 00 5,894,45 4,630 4,730 00, 357 6,96 7,06 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... Unallocated...,750,66 3,866 80,086 5,70 United s... 4,500 87,94 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 9,44,90 30,85 33,05 Grain Stocks (June 05) 7
Oat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 47 5 55 77 0 06 97 7 57 9 07 65 34 9 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 550,300 53 6 6 5,86 49 7,6 700,700 50 33 57 3,730 5,430 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 400 300,650 4 95 409 44,059 500 40,50 36 0 8 536,46 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 760,000 65 8 5 686 57 8 3,0,686 900,600 89 98 85 48 975 73,85,575 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,50,87,337,650 6,3 7,88 Unallocated...,600 4,89 0,043 5,400 5,079 3,6 United s... 9,70 5,09 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 4,739 5,0 38,59 53,7 8 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois...,000 04 57 4,959 46 5,87 7,87 4,800 49 5,65 9 9,598 4,398 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 500 454 6 5,39 5,89 590 407 4,706 5,96 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 4,700 9,00,6 6 49 7,538 5,96 6,638 5,500 7,700 0,8 45 8,730 5,78 6,430 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 70 40 550 309 74 59,05 379,655 50 40 360 89 6 7 94,60 339 47,980 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,348,566,605 Unallocated...,050 3,03 3,65,700,687 4,78 United s... 9,0 63,45 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 8,55 0,940 57,70 78,650 Grain Stocks (June 05) 9
All Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 0 40,900,600 330,3,37 8,968,446,433,98,849 0,763,6 0,868 3,449,093 0 80 3,000 5,500,390 3,59 6,838 5,668 4,386 65,39,544,954 0,047 6,848 5,848 7,386 8,454,437 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 30,500 40 9,00 50 5,07,74 4,348 9,38 4,850,843 8,73 5,337 6,848 5,70 3,043 9,4 40 4,700 50 7,000 900,07,846 35,46 5,50,567 8,9,345 8,66 3,94,47 40,6,855 45,66 4,94 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio...,500 70 65 4,500 450 5,845 3,59,97 5,50 39,57 6,698 38,345 3,799 5,585 8,07 7,48 37,000,00 550 60,000 440 8,85 6,78 9, 5,743 4,548 8,65 55,85 7,78 6,93 0,548 9,055 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 700 570 0,000 450 550 49,477 5,845 4,396,880,8 7,733 3,746 3,6 30,67 50,77 6,45,880 8,83 3, 750,300 4,000 600,400 39,457 0,688 4,73 58 7,636 8,68 4,746 4,89 4,876 37,78 40,07,988 3,636 5,346 38,578 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 4,785 3,03 436 Unallocated...,000 8,490 69,698 4,800 3,63 89,96 United s... 96,995 493,88 590,83 55,70 597,466 75,636 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 0 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 [Included in All wheat] Montana... North Dakota... 3,500 9,00,4,766 4,9 0,966,500 7,700,53 3,53 4,03 0,853 Other s... 00 5,536 5,636 50 0,950,000 United s...,800 8,74,54 0,50 5,635 5,885 Durum Wheat Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05 [Included in All wheat] Montana... North Dakota... (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) (,000 bushels) 6,00 0,000,809 4,89 7,909 4,89 Other s... 00 4,753 4,853 United s... 6,00,454 37,654 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: June, 04 and 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... 7,000 39,588 56,588 35,000 38 370 58,598 38 93,598 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 0,500 4,000,000,900,500 7,700,806 70,93 5,33,85 5,83 6,073 0,65 3,306 94,93 7,33 7,83 38,573 8,35,500 50,000 6,300 5,000 9,000 6,500 3,070 75,505 6,84,88,975 6,033 09 7,683 5,570 5,505 33,4 6,975 55,033 34,83 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 3,900,00 9,500 3,969 3,45,097 3,804 36,869 4,97 3,304 5,000 0,000 7,000 38,894 5,673 6,578 9,63 53,894 6,578 46,63 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 6,300,960 6,76 633 73,476 73 4,500 36,84,879 0,54 90 69 4,754 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,300 5,473 7,773 5,000,970 6,970 Unallocated... 9,400 7,54 35,67,500 0,49 55,99 United s... 09,00 95,945 405,045 46,300 379,04 65,404 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (June 05)
Annual Crop Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05 Crop Flaxseed... Rye... Canola... Rapeseed... 45 40 763 85 (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) (,000 pounds) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Three- total including Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota. 84,97 30 459 808 589 4,9 Pea and Lentil Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05 Crop Dry edible peas... Lentils... Austrian winter peas... (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. 3,8 655 5 Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Stocks by Position United s: June, 04 and 05 Crop Chickpeas (Garbanzo)... Small... Large... (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) (,000 cwt) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. Chickpeas that will pass through a 0/64 inch round hole screen. Chickpeas larger than 0/64 inches. 76 77 585 Grain Stocks (June 05) 3
Corn and Sorghum Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Corn Sorghum 36,000 660,000 6,89,493,649 9,40 7,34,09,038 8,876 6,48 777,05 63,34,437,05 69 35 76 7 956 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 400,000 90,000 59,000 60,000 0,000 580,000 70,000 48,9 563,59 75,539 7,88,057 5,548 63,953 93,70 6,067 0,363 648,9,473,59 34,539 87,88 73,953 773,70 7,363 5,00 750 80,440,6 0 65 85,540,375 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 430,000 3,000 05,000 00,000 56 393,875,080,8 69,90 43,876 83,875 34,8 74,90 343,876 650,864 3,54 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington... 6,000 60,000,045 9,475 3,30 6,57 0,033 04,704 40 7,848,39 7,475 4,57 900 5,334,79 4,86 5,086 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 55,000,357 66,357 Unallocated... 70,000 4,66 448,667,600,88 4,34 United s... 4,380,000 3,369,806 7,749,806 9,000 0,856 9,856 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 4 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Oat and Barley Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... Oats Barley 40 09 63 3 66 48 3 8,800 33 497 54 4,97 3,77 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri...,000,400 46 40 77 3,646 6 6,046,00 558 6 6,7 7,47 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 760 650,900 74 6 3 670 834 3,570 4,500,500,46 74,300 6,96 34,800 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington...,00,500 80 77 39 70,807 37 3 40,59 4,307 80 60 450 45 367 93,50 595,960 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming...,800 4,4 7, 3,048 3,40 Unallocated... 6,600 4,84 5,899 4,00 8,63,777 United s... 0,80 38,609 59,49 4,990 76,47 8,37 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. Grain Stocks (June 05) 5
All Wheat and Soybean Stocks by Position s and United s: March, 05 Alabama... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Idaho... Illinois... All wheat Soybeans 60 00 8,600,500,00,9 3,38 0,845 7,9,530,46,79 3,3 3,7 6,8 0,905 8, 3,30 35,67 8,8 89,000,774 4,974 73,40 6,7 09,75 73 98,75 Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maryland... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... 350 7,00,300 6,000,000 9,580,40 77,763 8,687 7,39,683 9,456 33,09,04 8,585 9,930 84,963 0,756 59,09 0,585 63,000 0,000 4,000,500 7,000 4,000 57,40 47,69 5,78 4,550 3,94 4,457 0,87 50,83 504 9,87 0,40 57,69 65,78 33,37,83 7,87 Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New England... New Jersey... New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... 67,000,300,000 05,000,300 8,3 34,4 0 0,759 3,638 57,46 37,700 95,3 36,54 5,638 6,46 39,000 3,000 9,500 58,000 76,036,59 5,49 44,6 08,036 34,99 0,6 Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... South Carolina... South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Virginia... Washington...,300,000 4,000,00,400 60,085 6,50 4,964,546 7,69 3,5 39,059 4,58 6,88 56,58 6,385 8,50 5,69 40,59 58,558 8,500,573 3,466 3,098 6,799,88 883,063 55,99 West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 3,806 97 8,700 0,89 9,59 Unallocated... 9,900,39 3,868 60,000 3,956 6,666 United s... 78,70 86,697,40,407 609,00 77,399,36,599 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Not available. " unallocated" includes data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. " unallocated" includes minor producing s' data not published separately. 6 Grain Stocks (June 05)
Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The grain stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of June. Separate surveys are conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of over 70,000 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United s have a chance to be selected. These producers are asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of June, 05. This includes all whole grains and oilseeds stored whether for feed, seed, or sale as well as any stored under a government program. The off-farm stocks survey is an enumeration of all known commercial grain storage facilities. This includes approximately 8,700 facilities with 0.7 billion bushels of storage capacity. An effort is made to obtain a report from all facilities. Reports of stock holdings are normally received from operations covering about 90 percent of the capacity. Estimates are made for missing facilities to make the survey complete. Estimation Procedures: -farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the and National levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm stocks, the totals of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, imports, exports, crushings, millings, and all other recorded uses of grains and oilseeds are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: -farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December Grain Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculations, and production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed following the 5-year Census of Agriculture. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are very different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the United s level, is approximately.7 percent for corn, 3.5 percent for soybeans, and 5.0 percent for all wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 00 that survey estimates for stocks will be within plus or minus 5.4 percent for corn, 7.0 percent for soybeans, and 0.0 percent for all wheat of the value that could be developed by averaging the estimates produced from all possible samples selected from the same population and surveyed using the same procedures. The relative standard errors for sorghum, barley, and oats are 6.8, 8.7, and.9 percent, respectively. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. -farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Grain Stocks (June 05) 7
Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch... (0) 70-7 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section... (0) 70-7 Angie Considine Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum... (0) 70-5944 Tony Dahlman Crop Weather, Barley, Soybeans... (0) 70-76 Chris Hawthorn Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet... (0) 70-956 James Johanson County Estimates, Hay... (0) 690-8533 Jean Porter Oats, Rye, Wheat... (0) 70-8068 Bianca Pruneda Peanuts, Rice... (0) 70-7688 Travis Thorson Sunflower, Other Oilseeds... (0) 70-7369 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section... (0) 70-7 Vincent Davis Fresh and Processing Vegetables, ions, Strawberries, Cherries... (0) 70-57 Fleming Gibson Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits... (0) 70-54 Greg Lemmons Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes... (0) 70-485 Dave Losh Hops... (360) 709-400 Dan Norris Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans... (0) 70-350 Daphne Schauber Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts... (0) 70-45 Chris Singh Apples, Apricots, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco... (0) 70-488 8 Grain Stocks (June 05)
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