Economic Census Overview and Exercises

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Economic Census Overview and Exercises NJ State Data Center Meeting New Brunswick, NJ June 20, 2012 Presented by: Andy Hait Economic Planning & Coordination Division

Outline Economic Programs At a Glance Update on the 2012 Economic Census American FactFinder (and other) Exercises 2

Economic Programs Overview Yes, the Census Bureau does something other than the demographic programs! Economic Census Done on the years ending in 2 and 7 (2012 Economic Census kickoff in October) Covers employer businesses in the U.S. Collected on an establishment basis 3

The Economic Census Offers Over 200 unique industry statistics National-, state-, metro-, county-, place-, and ZIP Code-level data (varies by sector) Industry detail: 2- thru 6-digit NAICS codes 18 of the 20 NAICS sectors covered; excluded: Agriculture (covered by USDA/NASS) Governments (covered by Census of Governments) Very accurate 4

Related Economic Programs Economic Census of Island Areas Covers American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands Census of Governments Covers Federal, State, and Local Governments Survey of Business Owners Business data by Race, Ethnicity, Gender, Veteran Status of Business Owner 5

Other Economic Programs Monthly, Quarterly, & Annual Surveys Sample surveys drawn from universe of businesses identified in the Economic Census Fewer data items published Less geographic and industry detail Incomplete coverage Sampling and Nonsampling errors Benchmarked to the latest Economic Census 6

2012 Economic Census Update About 4.3 million establishments will be mailed one of over 500 unique versions of the form (tailored to specific industry) All large & mid-size employers Sample of small employers Electronic response also offered 2007 response rate - 93% large co s; 86% overall Outreach already started Report of Organization, Respondent Contact Cards, Advance Information Packets Partnerships with associations and organizations 7

business.census.gov 8

Major Features General Information Promotional Tools & Materials Respondent Information Data Use Scenarios Snapshots Videos Tell us how we can help! 9

Exercises 10

Sample Scenario: An entrepreneur is interested in opening a fast-food restaurant and has contacted you to find out what information can the Census Bureau provide that will help him understand this industry, develop a business plan, and identify a good place to locate the business. How will you help him? 11

Exercise 1 What programs at the Census Bureau provide data on Limited-Service Restaurants (NAICS 722211) that he might be able to use? (Hint Use the Industry Statistics Sampler, which can be accessed off the Business and Industry page) 12

Exercise 1 Steps & Answer Go to the Business & Industry page by clicking on the word Business at the top of the Census home page, type in 722211 in the Industry Search box, and click Go Click on 722211 in the results table Data on limited-service restaurants are available in the Annual Retail Trade survey, in County Business Patterns, in the Statistics of US Business, in the Economic Census, and in the Survey of Business Owners. 13

Exercise 2 He is thinking about opening his new fast-food restaurant in Middlesex County, NJ. How many fastfood restaurants were there in 2009 and how does this compare to the other counties in the state? Is this a good county to put my restaurant in? (Hint Use the data from the County Business Patterns program, available in the New American FactFinder) 14

Exercise 2 Steps Click on the AFF shortcut under the Guide to All Data Sources tab on the Industry Statistics Sampler. This will bring you into AFF with the Topics menu pre-select to Business Patterns. To select the industry: Expand the Industry Codes menu, expand the Industry Sector menu and select 72, Accommodation & Food Svcs, and finally select 722211 from the Industry Code Results list Click Add to put this code in the Your Selections box, and close the menu. 15

Exercise 2 Steps (cont) To select the state: Expand the Geographies menu, click the Name tab, and select New Jersey from the Geographic Results list, and click Add to put this item in the Your Selections box To select the counties: Click the List tab, select County and then New Jersey from the lists, then select All Counties within New Jersey from the list, and finally click Add to Your Selections to put these geographies in the Your Selections box. Close the menu. Select the first table (CB0900A1) from the Search Results list 16

2009 County Business Patterns NJ County Comparison for Limited Service Eating Places (NAICS 722211) Geographic area name Number of establishments Paid employees for pay period including March 12 (number) First quarter Annual payroll payroll ($1,000) ($1,000) Payroll per employee 2009 Population Estimate Population per establishment New Jersey 6,375 58,020 181,049 788,994 13,599 8,707,739 1,366 Bergen County, New Jersey 720 5,544 19,341 83,924 15,138 895,250 1,243 Middlesex County, New Jersey 586 4,969 15,428 66,036 13,290 790,738 1,349 Essex County, New Jersey 505 4,574 14,853 63,192 13,815 769,644 1,524 Monmouth County, New Jersey 482 4,926 15,570 67,790 13,762 644,105 1,336 Hudson County, New Jersey 469 3,307 11,352 47,377 14,326 597,924 1,275 Morris County, New Jersey 404 3,750 11,818 50,019 13,338 488,518 1,209 Ocean County, New Jersey 398 3,311 10,227 48,489 14,645 573,678 1,441 Camden County, New Jersey 383 4,165 11,938 51,090 12,267 517,879 1,352 Passaic County, New Jersey 329 2,593 8,928 37,602 14,501 491,778 1,495 Burlington County, New Jersey 324 3,882 10,810 45,778 11,792 446,108 1,377 Union County, New Jersey 319 3,144 10,146 43,229 13,750 526,426 1,650 Mercer County, New Jersey 272 2,696 7,893 34,195 12,684 366,222 1,346 Somerset County, New Jersey 240 2,162 7,113 30,502 14,108 326,869 1,362 Atlantic County, New Jersey 185 2,063 6,356 28,076 13,609 271,712 1,469 Gloucester County, New Jersey 184 2,471 6,728 28,588 11,569 289,920 1,576 Cape May County, New Jersey 178 616 1,839 15,714 25,510 96,091 540 Cumberland County, New Jersey 99 1,118 3,022 13,494 12,070 157,745 1,593 Hunterdon County, New Jersey 89 662 1,944 8,680 13,112 130,034 1,461 Warren County, New Jersey 87 756 2,180 9,218 12,193 109,638 1,260 Sussex County, New Jersey 84 749 2,122 8,829 11,788 151,118 1,799 Salem County, New Jersey 38 562 1,441 7,172 12,762 66,342 1,746

Exercise 2 Extra Credit! Which township or borough (Economic Place) within Middlesex County reported the highest sales of limited-service eating places in 2007 and how do the other places in the county compare? (Hint Use the Economic Place data from the Economic Census, available in the New American FactFinder) 18

Exercise 3 I am considering offering either table service in my restaurant. How common is this in NJ fast-food restaurants, and what percentage of my food sales should I expect might come from drive-in service? (Hint Use the Product Lines data from Economic Census for the Accommodation and Foodservices sector, available in the New AFF) 20

Exercise 3 Steps & Answer Click on the Back to Search button Click the red X next to both Business Patterns and All Counties within New Jersey to remove these selections from the list. Select the Product Lines file (EC0744SLLS1) from the list. Of the 6,659 limited-service restaurants in NJ, 630 offered Meals & snacks served at a table by a server, accounting for $52.1 Million (1.6%) of the total $3.2 Billion in this industry. (See the next page for a visualization of these data.) 21

NJ Fast Food Restaurants Product Sales: 2007 (Total: $3.2 Billion) Food for catered events Groceries for consumption off premises Food and beverages mobile vending service 0% Food and beverages with table service 22% Food and beverages immediate consumption off site 19% Food Sales Detail: 2007 (Total: $3.1 Billion) Food and beverages without table service 37% Food and beverages drive thru service 22% Food for immediate consumption 97% Delivery services and coin operated machines Other merchandise, incl. alcoholic beverages 22

Exercise 4 What were the total sales of Limited-Service Eating Places (NAICS 7222) through the latest month and how does this compare to the prior period? (Hint Use the Monthly Retail Trade Economic Indicator Report) 23

Exercise 4 Steps & Answer Go to the Economic Indicators page by clicking on the Economic Indicators banner in the top right corner of census.gov Select the Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services survey from the list by clicking on the survey title Click the Excel (1992-present) link to the right of the Retail and Food Service Sales bullet under Monthly Retail Trade Report. Scroll down to NAICS 7222 under NOT ADJUSTED When this handout was created, the latest data was for April 2012. The preliminary monthly value for April was $18,611 (in $ Millions), down slightly from the $19,406 reported in March. The cumulative year-to-date value was $72,405. This is up $3,926 (5.7%) from the $68,479 published for the same period in 2011. 24

Additional Exercises to Do at Your Leisure What other types of data does the Census Bureau offer that I might find useful? Maybe something about the types of food sold in fast-food restaurants in New Jersey? (Hint Use the data from the Miscellaneous Subjects files from the Economic Census for the Accommodation and Foodservices sector, available in the New AFF) 25

Additional Exercise Steps Click on the American FactFinder link under the Data tab on census.gov Expand the Topics menu, then the + next to Program, and select Economic Census from the list. Economic Census will be added to the Your Selections box. Close the menu. To select the industry: Expand the Industry Codes menu, expand the Industry Sector menu and select 72, Accommodation & Food Svcs, and finally select 722211 from the Industry Code Results list. Click Add to put this code in the Your Selections box. Close the menu. 26

Additional Exercise Steps (cont) To select the Geography: Expand the Geographies menu, select New Jersey from the Geographic Results list, and click Add to put this item in the Your Selections box. Close the menu. Select the appropriate table from the Search Results list 27

Additional Exercise Results Fast Food Restaurant Sales in NJ by Type of Food Service: 2007 $30 $64 ($ Millions) $158 Order and pay at counter with inside seating Take out/drive through $1,405 $1,573 Delivery Cafeteria line with inside seating Other primary type of food service 2,000 Fast Food Restaurant Sales in NJ by Day Part: 2007 ($ Millions) 1,600 1,200 800 $1,580 $1,211 400 0 $309 6:00 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. 11:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. 5:00 p.m. to 11:00 p.m. $130 11:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m. 28

3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Number of Fast Food Restaurants in NJ by Average Cost per Meal: 2007 62 Less than $2.00 949 $2.00 to $4.99 2,426 $5.00 to $6.99 1,933 $7.00 to $9.99 1,009 $10.00 to $14.99 280 $15.00 to $19.99 0 $20.00 or more 2,000 1,600 Fast Food Restaurant Sales in NJ by Average Cost per Meal: 2007 ($ Millions) $1,532 1,200 800 400 0 $16 Less than $2.00 $346 $2.00 to $4.99 $5.00 to $6.99 $860 $7.00 to $9.99 $378 $10.00 to $14.99 $96 $15.00 to $19.99 $0 $20.00 or more 29

Fast Food Restaurant Sales in NJ by Franchise Status: 2007 ($ Millions) Non franchise establishments $1,301 Franchiseeowned establishments $1,566 Franchisorowned establishments $362 No food specialty Other food specialty Sandwich/sub shop Hamburgers Chicken Pizza Steak Seafood Other ethnic specialty Chinese Mexican Italian Fast Food Restaurant Sales in NJ by Principal Menu Type: 2007 ($ Millions) $163 $94 $226 $10 $1 $74 $139 $116 $277 $302 $519 $1,308 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 30

Questions

A Summary and What s Next Continue to learn about (and talk about) the Economic Census and our economic programs Use the materials on Business.census.gov Sign Up for updates 32

Thank You! If you have any questions, please feel free to contact me at: Andrew.W.Hait@census.gov (301)763 6747