July 2010 Barry Callebaut - Roadshow presentation

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Transcription:

Barry Callebaut 9-month key sales figures 2009/10

Agenda Barry Callebaut at a glance Highlights 9 months 2009-2010 Outlook 2

Barry Callebaut is active along the entire cocoa and chocolate value chain Cocoa Semi-finished Products Chocolate Products 100% Sugar Milk Other Retail customers Shells/ waste Cocoa Beans 100% 20% 80% Cocoa Liquor Liquor for chocolate Liquor for pressing ~50% ~50% Butter Cake 100% 100% Powder Chocolate Couverture Vending mixes Compounds/ Fillings via via via Industrial customers Artisanal customers Vending Distributor FM Pharma & Tobacco customers Consumer Products 3

Barry Callebaut at a glance FY 2008/09 Net revenue: CHF 4.9 bn Consumer Products 17% 23 % Gourmet & Specialties 13% EBIT CHF 350.8 m Cocoa 11 % 15% Food Manufacturer 52 % 55% Net Profit CHF 226.9 m World leader in high-quality cocoa and chocolate products and outsourcing partner of choice, with over 40% share in the open industrial chocolate market World s largest supplier of Gourmet & Specialties chocolate for artisanal customers Global service and production network, employing about more than 7,000 people worldwide, over 40 production factories Fully integrated with a strong position in the countries of origin Close to 1,700 recipes to cater for a large variety of individual customer needs Low cost production with large number of focused chocolate & cocoa factories Achieved consistent earnings stream 4

Cocoa, dairy, and sugar are the most important raw materials we source 100g 100g chocolate chocolate tablet tablet contains: contains: Milk Milk Dark Dark Cocoa Cocoa liquor liquor 11g 11g 44g 44g Cocoa Cocoa butter butter 24g 24g 12g 12g Milk Milk powder powder 22g 22g - - Sugar Sugar 42g 42g 43g 43g Other Other 1g 1g 1g 1g BC sourced in 08/09: Cocoa 541 KT 51% Sugar 450 KT 11% Dairy 120 KT 12% Oils and Fats 58 KT 3% Other 24% % of total raw material value Barry Callebaut business model 20% price lists regular updates 80% Cost Plus Higher raw material prices passed on to customers Gourmet & Consumer Products Food Manufacturers & Customer Label Major profit drivers are in manufacturing (capacity utilization), supply chain optimization, logistic costs and competitive environment (commodities vs specialties) Raw materials represent about 70% of our total costs 5

West Africa is the world s largest cocoa producer BC sources locally Total world harvest (08/09): 3 456 k MT Dominican Republic 1% Papa New Guinea 2% Indonesia /Malaysia* 14% Ecuador 3% Others 9% Ivory Coast* 35% BC sources ~540k MT/y (08/09) cocoa, thereof 65% directly from farmers, cooperatives & local trade houses BC has various cocoa processing facilities in origin countries*, in Europe and in the USA Brazil* 5% Cameroon* 6% Nigeria 7% Ghana* 18% Source: ICCO 6

Confirmed growth strategy Staying focused on Food Manufacturers, increasing the emphasis on Gourmet Vision Heart and engine of the chocolate industry Chocolate expert and business partner of choice Number one chocolate company Geographic expansion Strategic pillars Innovation Sustainable, profitable growth Cost leadership 7

Geographic expansion Growth comes from new regions & outsourcing deals Barry Callebaut share in sales volumes in % of total 100% 90% 80% 11% 12% 14% 14% 16% 17% 2% 6% 9% 10% 70% 60% 50% 40% 89% 88% 85% 80% 76% 74% New markets (EE, Latin America, AP) Long Term Outsourcing contracts 30% Established markets 20% 10% 0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9 months 09/10 8

Innovation: BC focuses on major food trends Health Organic Polyphenols Anti-aging Memory Heart and veins Less sugar Less fat and still natural Mycryo Ethics Corporate Social Responsibility Environmental policy Support for cocoa farmers and families in origin countries Experience Origins Fair trade Chili, honey High cocoa content Convenience Food on-the-go Snacking Higher melting point 9

Cost leadership Factory costs on per tonne activity down by 5%* MT Liquid Chocolate Capacity 81.2% 79.4% 82.5% 1'000'000 89.1% 1'000'000 500'000 500'000 0 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10E Origin Countries Europe Americas Asia Utilization 0 Capacity utilization for liquid chocolate: up from 79.4% to 82.5% Energy consumption per tonne activity: down by 7% CO 2 per tonne activity down by 5.4% Headcount in factories and logistics: down by -4.7% despite volume increase, i.e. significant productivity improvement Maintenance costs per tonne activity: down -3% at constant exchange rates * At constant currencies 10

Three main growth drivers support our strategy Gourmet The Professional segment is a very fragmented market to be further developed. Currently only 13% of BC s business. Outsourcing Chocolate players currently outsource 10-12% of their total production, with high potential to be increased Emerging Markets Focus on Eastern Europe, Asia, Brazil and Mexico 11

Barry Callebaut s Gourmet & Specialties business: The preferred solutions provider for chocolate professionals Picture 1 to be added: our products Picture 2 to be added: our customers >200 chocolates used as ingredient by professionals Convenience products that are easy to use Innovative, creative decoration articles that differentiate our customers products Focused offering for vending operators 100,000+ premium artisan users >30,000 bakeries and pastry shops >75,000 hotels, restaurants and catering companies >2,000 artisan confectioners A global activity present in 80+ countries 22 countries have dedicated teams Large network of leading importers and distributors 3 distinct European brands: 12

Outsourcing Additional market outsourcing potential between 250,000 and 500,000 tonnes Global industrial chocolate production estimated at 5.5 million tonnes pa. Top five players account for about half of this volume Top 5 consumer chocolate players currently outsource on average 12% of their chocolate production Expected to increase to 20-40% over the next 5 years, or additional outsourcing potential of 250-500,000 tonnes Barry Callebaut Kraft / Cadbury Top 10 Manufacturers of Industrial Chocolate (in '000 tonnes) Mars Nestlé Hershey's Cargill Blommer ADM Lindt Ferrero 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Integrated Sold to 3rd pty Outsourced Source: BC Estimates 2009 13

Outsourcing Rationale for chocolate players to outsource Take out complexity of their own production Cost leadership in the chocolate production Access to new technologies Access to innovative processes /products /research Quality management and highly flexible production Focus resources on brand / marketing Less capital intense process Global networking outweighs insourcing historical roots Same level of traceability Avoid new capacity investments Access to special origin beans/fair trade /organic, etc 14

Market Benefit from strong presence in mature markets but untapping opportunities in emerging markets Global Chocolate Market North America 6.0 5.0 Western Europe Australasia Gourmet Consumption per capita (kg) 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Eastern Europe Latin America Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Source: Euromonitor 1.0 CAGR 2009 2014 (Volume) 15

Agenda Barry Callebaut at a glance Highlights 9 months 2009-2010 Outlook 16

Highlights first nine months In the third quarter sales volumes further accelerated supported by all regions, while world chocolate confectionery market was flat in volume terms Growth supported by geographic expansion, increased focus in Gourmet, implementation of outsourcing volumes and market share gains Sales volumes: 975,044 tonnes Third quarter: +11.3% Year-to-date: +8.9% Sales revenue: CHF 3,926.4 million Third quarter: +19.4% in local currencies (in CHF +15.9%) Year-to-date: +11.7% in local currencies (in CHF +7.9%) Financial targets for current fiscal year and mid-term confirmed 17

Global Market Environment The world chocolate confectionery market showed a flat growth in the last 9 months Global Chocolate confectionery top 15 countries YTD +0.15% 2,455,376 2,458,878 YTD 08/09 YTD 09/10 Volume in tons 1,037,137 +2.4% 1,061,513-6.1% 522,082 490,415 776,659 +0.9% 783,882 +2.6% 89,317 91,675 30,082 +4.4% 31,392 Total Top 15 1 Western Europe Eastern Europe 3 USA 2 Brazil China 1. Top 15 (countries): represents app. 73% of the global chocolate confectionery market in terms of volume 2. USA total volumes are estimated based on a world market share distribution by Euromonitor (USA Nielsen data is reported in units only) 3. Eastern Europe: Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Turkey Note: coverage and reporting periods of Nielsen data varies from country to country 18 18

Raw material price development Cocoa prices at the highest level since 33 years, slowly easing, other raw materials volatile 2500 London Cocoa 2nd Position Daily high/ low close, /tonne Av. Price for white sugar (communicated by EU sugar producers & refiners) EU ref. Price White london n 5 (2nd position) EU white sugar monthly av. (DDP) 2400 700 2300 2200 2100 600 2000 1900 500 1800 1700 /Mt 400 1600 1500 1400 1300 300 200 June 24,2010 379 1200 EUR /MT 4000 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Skimmed milk powder prices Nov-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Apr-10 May-10 100 Jul 06 Okt 06 Jan 07 Apr 07 Jul 07 Okt 07 Jan 08 Apr 08 Jul 08 Okt 08 Jan 09 Apr 09 Jul 09 Okt 09 Jan 10 Apr 10 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 Feb 02 Aug 02 Feb 03 Aug 03 Feb 04 Aug 04 Feb 05 Aug 05 Feb 06 Aug 06 Feb 07 Aug 07 Feb 08 Aug 08 Feb 09 Aug 09 June 9 2410 Feb 10 BC s cost plus model for 80% of volume Cocoa price significantly above long-term average World sugar price has corrected. BC mainly sources in local, regulated sugar markets with different price mechanics Dairy prices are stabilizing EUR / MT 19

Raw material price development Combined ratio unpredictable and volatile Cocoa powder-butter combined ratio* European ratios 6 months forward against LIFFE 4.50 EU powder EU butter Combined ratio 4.00 Butter - Powder - Combined 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 2.94 June 11 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99 Jan-00 May-00 Sep-00 Jan-01 May-01 Sep-01 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04 Sep-04 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-07 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 May-10 Combined cocoa ratio* was favorable in H1 2008/09, fell since Jan 2008, slightly recovered in Feb and since then volatile and hard to predict Low combined cocoa ratios have a negative impact on BC cocoa (semi-finished products) business * Price charged for semi-finished products compared to cocoa bean price 20

Volumes 9 month Volume growth further accelerated and all regions contributed to growth Sales volume in 000 Metric tonnes Change in % 9 months 09/10 9 months 08/09 Sales volumes up 8.9% in a flat chocolate market and coming from a positive growth base Group +8.9% 975.0 895.4 Global Sourcing & Cocoa +9.4% 156.9 143.4 Europe +5.5% 572.0 542.3 Americas +16.8% 210.5 180.2 Asia-Pacific +20.9% 35.5 29.4 BC in Europe maintained its growth momentum, although the market in Eastern Europe still lags behind Americas supported by strong growth of the corporate accounts and further implementation of outsourcing volumes Strong performance of Asia on both Gourmet and FM, on a still low basis 21

Global Sourcing & Cocoa Strong demand of cocoa powder in the last months Revenue split 9 months 09/10 Americas 19% Asia/RoW 4% Global Sourcing & Cocoa 18% Sharp increase in North America and South America sales (+11.5%) due to higher demand of cocoa powder Sales in Europe remained stable in the first 9 months, Eastern Europe and Asia below last year Pressing capacities were cut-back as a consequence of low butter rations/demand. Europe 59% Volumes Revenue mt 200'000 150'000 143'391 9.4% 156'915 CHF m 800 600 547.8 25.9% 689.7 100'000 400 26.8% 50'000 200 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 *change in local currencies 22

Region Europe Maintained growth momentum in a flat market Regional revenue split 9 months 09/10 Americas 19% Asia/RoW 4% Global Sourcing & Cocoa 18% Continuous growth in Food Manufacturers and Gourmet Western Europe and Eastern Europe showed a strong third quarter, in most of the countries, with the exception of Russia which still lags behind Gourmet had an important contribution to the Regional growth, due to increased focus on the business, market share gains and acquisitions Europe 59% mt 700'000 600'000 500'000 400'000 542'373 Volumes 5.5% 572'060 CHF m 3'200 2'400 Revenue 2'334 2'351 0.7% 300'000 200'000 100'000 1'600 800 4.4% 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 *change in local currencies 23

Region Americas Good performance of corporate accounts and implementation of outsourcing volumes Regional revenue split 9 months 09/10 Americas 19% Asia/RoW 4% Global Sourcing & Cocoa 18% Sales volume reached a positive double digit growth due to the good performance of key customers as well as the implementation of outsourcing volumes Despite the restaurant sales in North America still at a low level, we saw in our Gourmet business a positive growth, due to increase in at-home consumption Europe 59% mt Volumes Revenue 250'000 200'000 180'240 210'540 CHF m 16.8% 632.2 16.0% 800 733.4 150'000 600 23.0% 100'000 400 50'000 200 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 *change in local currencies 24

Region Asia/Rest of World Increased volumes, high demand in Gourmet & Specialties Regional revenue split 9 months 09/10 Americas 19% Asia/RoW 4% Global Sourcing & Cocoa 18% Europe 59% Food Manufacturers growth driven by geographical expansion: Korea, Australia, Japan, Thailand, Malaysia. Further phased in outsourcing volumes in Japan Gourmet strong increase in all countries and all brands (international and local). Bakery segment has improved Markets in general are growing, however Korea and Japan are flat. Competitors move into Asia as market is attractive. BC benefits from being one of the first movers in that Region. Volumes Revenue mt 40'000 35'000 30'000 25'000 20'000 15'000 29'387 20.9% 35'529 CHF m 200 150 100 125.3 21.6% 25.0% 152.4 10'000 5'000 50 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 0 9 m 08/09 9 m 09/10 *change in local currencies 25

Agenda Barry Callebaut at a glance Highlights 9 months 2009-2010 Outlook 26

Outlook: Financial targets for 3-year period 2009/10-2011/12 Annual growth targets on average * for 2009/10 through 2011/12: Volumes: 6-8% EBIT: at least in line with volume growth *Our view for the 2009-2012 period reflects current economic forecasts for the markets we operate in as well as internal developments and their assumed impact on our performance Barring any major unforeseen events and based on local currencies 27

Summary Further acceleration in volume growth Contribution from all regions and all product groups Emerging markets developing very well Excellent growth in high-margin Gourmet & Specialties business Three-year financial targets confirmed 28

Cautionary note Certain statements in this Letter to Investors regarding the business of Barry Callebaut are of a forward looking nature and are therefore based on management s current assumptions about future developments. Such forward-looking statements are intended to be identified by words such as believe, estimate, intend, may, will, expect, and project and similar expressions as they relate to the company. Forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties because they relate to future events. Actual results may vary materially from those targeted, expected or projected due to several factors. The factors that may affect Barry Callebaut s future financial results are discussed in this Letter to Investors as well as in the Annual Report 2008/09. Such factors are, among others, general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures as well as changes in tax regimes and regulatory developments. The reader is cautioned to not unduly rely on these forward-looking statements that are accurate only as of June 30th, 2010. Barry Callebaut does not undertake to publish any update or revision of any forward-looking statements. 29