Growing Trade & Expanding Markets. Presentation to the Canadian Horticultural Council Trade and Marketing Committee Fred Gorrell March 14, 2018

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Transcription:

Growing Trade & Expanding Markets Presentation to the Canadian Horticultural Council Trade and Marketing Committee Fred Gorrell March 14, 2018

Outline Sector Snapshot Export Trends & Opportunities Trade priorities Initiatives for the Future

Canadian horticulture generated farm cash receipts of $8.4 billion in 2016 (15% increase over 5 years). Sector Snapshot Above average growth for: potatoes (+22%) vegetables (+36%) tree fruits (+25%) Strong growth in greenhouse sector and some fruits and vegetables (blueberries, cranberries, sweet cherries, lettuce, carrots and ethnic or world crops). Horticulture sectors by share of farm cash receipts (2016)

Overall horticulture exports totaled approximately $5 billion in 2016, a 48% increase over 2012. Exports Specifically, Canadian produce exports totaled $2.5 billion in 2016. Export growth has been particularly strong for frozen commodities (such as wild blueberries and potatoes). Potatoes 12% Field Vegetables 26% Canadian Produce Exports (2016) Fruit 28% Greenhouse Vegetables 34%

Exports Fruit Value of fruit exports have grown by nearly 20% over the last 5 years, reaching $727 million in 2016. Blueberries are Canada s top fruit export, valued at $422M in 2016 (around 70% frozen). Followed by: cranberries ($88M) cherries ($83M) apples ($51M) The United States is Canada s top fruit export destination, valued at over $508M in 2016. Followed by Japan ($38M), Germany ($30M), and China ($29M). Raspberries 2% Apples 7% Cherries 12% Cranberries 12% Percentage of fresh fruit export value by commodity Others 9% Blueberries 58%

Vegetables Exports Canadian vegetable exports totaled $1.7 billion in 2016, an increase of 7% over 2015. Top vegetable exports include tomatoes ($373M), peppers ($360M), cucumbers & gherkins ($240M), and mushrooms ($220M). Greenhouse vegetables accounted for 51% of total vegetable exports in 2016, field vegetables accounted for 36%, and mushrooms accounted for 13%. The United States is Canada s top vegetable export destination, valued at over $1.6B in 2016. Followed by Japan ($22M), Netherlands ($14M), China ($4.7M), and France ($2.1M).

Potatoes Exports In the 2015 2016 crop year, total exports of Canadian potatoes and potato products were $1.6 billion, an increase of over 14% from the previous crop year and 40.9% over the last five years. Canada exported $274 million in fresh potatoes (table stock and seed potatoes) and $1.32 billion in processed potatoes (frozen and other). The United States is Canada s largest export destination for potatoes and potato products, valued at $1.4B in 2016 (86% of exports). Followed by Japan ($29M) and Mexico ($28M).

Trade Focus FTAs in Force FTA Negotiations Concluded Ongoing FTA Negotiations Exploratory Discussions

United States North America The United States continues to be Canada s top export destination for all horticulture products 2012-2016 Trends Fresh mushrooms (up 16%) Table Potatoes (up 21%) & french fries (up 9.3%) Cucumbers (up 17%)

NAFTA Seven rounds of NAFTA renegotiations have taken place since talks began in August 2017. North America Canada s trade negotiators continue to work with industry to advocate for a fair outcome for Canada s agricultural producers. The outcome of the renegotiations will be far reaching and have a large impact on Canadians, but we have the opportunity to align the agreement to new realities.

Increased market access in high-growth South East Asian countries will increase exports of certain crops such as sweet cherries and high-bush blueberries. Efforts currently underway to obtain market access for B.C. sweet cherries to South Korea, Japan and India. Asia Comprehensive & Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership(CPTPP) Preferential market access to all CPTPP countries. Significant for exports to Japan, Malaysia and Vietnam. New market access opportunities including for fruits and vegetables such as blueberries, cherries, cranberries, apples, and potato products.

South Korea Canada-Korea Free Trade Agreement (CKFTA) will continue to provide new opportunities for Canadian agricultural products, including fruits and vegetables. Asia Tariff elimination on over 97% of Canadian agricultural and agri-food exports Preferential access will create a level playing field with EU & US

China Asia Market access to China for fresh sweet cherries (2014) and high-bush blueberries (2015) from B.C. Opportunity for differentiated, high-value, niche products, leverage the Canada brand (cranberries, and blueberries). 2012-2016 Trends Fresh Cherries (up 37%)

European Union Provisional application of CETA came into effect as of September 21, 2017. Europe With CETA now implemented, EU tariffs on all fresh, frozen and processed fruits and vegetables have been eliminated (with few exceptions). Canada will continue to encourage the EU to base measures on scientific risk assessments, including for setting import tolerances for plant protection products of importance to Canadian horticultural exporters. 2012-2016 Trends Berries (up 24%)

Challenges Protectionism Support for Rules-based Trading System Harmonization of Regulations Time Required to Resolve Market Access / Trade Barriers Competitiveness Geo-politics Labour

Export Growth is a Priority The Government of Canada has set an ambitious target to grow Canada's agri-food exports to at least $75 billion annually by 2025. Initiatives Agri-Food Economic Strategy Table Canadian Agricultural Partnership

International Affairs Branch CFIA-AAFC Alignment A new partnership for Agriculture and Agri-food Canada (AAFC) and the Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) The new branch is composed of: AAFC's Market Access Secretariat, and CFIA's International Affairs and Market Access Directorate and the Food Import/Export Directorate in Policy and Programs Branch Ensure better synergies to better support trade and market access agenda and industry in advancing new markets Positions abroad reporting

Questions