Investment opportunities in Mexican agribusiness January, 2012
Agenda 1. Reasons to invest and to do business in Mexico 2. Agribusiness opportunities in México 3. Final comments 2
Reasons to invest and to do business in Mexico Macroeconomic stability In 2011, GDP forecast was 3.8% Stable exchange rate and low inflation Domestic demand and employment Access to international markets Infrastructure Mexico occupies the second position worldwide in Free Trade Agreements Mexico has excellent communication infrastructure Competitive and comparative advantages Doing business in Mexico is easy Favorable conditions to produce high value food products
Mexico s fundamentals are very well anchored. In 2011, GDP is expected to grow 3.8%. The peso is stable and competitive 1.- Macroeconomic stability Gross Domestic Product (%) Exchange rates (index; 2002=100) 3.8 % 2008 2009 2010 2011 FUENTE: INEGI, Banxico y SFA 4
In 2011 target inflation is likely to be met while employment and domestic demand indicate an upward trend. 1.- Macroeconomic stability Inflation (%) Aggregate demand and employment Inflation Target Source: INEGI, SFA 5
Source: Taken from SE Mexico occupies the second position worldwide in Free Trade Agreements (FTA) signed. 2.- Access to international markets Agreements % of World s GDP Population (millions) FTA North America 27.7 453 FTA Chile 1.9 126 FTA Costa Rica 1.7 113 FTA Colombia 2.1 154 FTA Nicaragua 1.6 114 FTA Triangulo del Norte 1.7 136 FTA Uruguay 1.7 112 FTA Israel 1.9 116 FTA European Union 27.6 606 FTA European Free Trade Association 1.4 123 EPA Japon 10.3 236 ACA Argentina 2.2 149 ACA Brasil 4.9 302 ACA Peru 1.9 138 AC*A Cuba 1.7 120 FTA: Free Trade Agreement. APA: Economic Partnership Agreement. ACE: Economic Complementation Agreement AC*E: Economic Co-operation Agreement
Mexico has excellent communication infrastructure. 3.-Infrastructure Mexico has: 74 open airports (11 for domestic traffic and 63 for international transportation). 114 sea ports (53 cabotage ports and 61 grand cargo ports). 27 thousand kilometers (16,777 miles) of railroads. 133 thousand kilometers (82,642 miles) of paved roads (120 thousand kilometers/74564 miles of two lane roads and 13 thousand kilometers/8077 miles of highways with four lanes or more). Paved roads Sea ports Rail roads Source: Taken from SE 7
Source: Doing Business in Mexico, 2011. Taken from SE Doing business in Mexico is easy!. 4.-Competitive and comparative advantages
Mexico s agrifood sector is distinguished by its safety, healthiness, variety, certified quality, taste and nutritional value. Source: ITC Mexico leads the world exports in the following products, just to mention few: 1st place: Avocado Mango and guava Squash Papaya 2nd place: Tomatoes Watermelon Berries Asparagus 3rd place: Cucumbers Pecans Onions Green peppers Hominy Other Mexican products ranked in the top ten of world exports include: limes, strawberry, broccoli, among others
Mexican agrifood exports Billion dollars Source: SFA with Banxico data Mexico has developed an important food sector, which is distinguished by its safety, healthiness, variety, certified quality, taste and nutritional value. In 2011, exports are expected to reach 22 billion dollars Fresh food Processed food * Estimate SFA to close 2011, with preliminary data from November and December of that year.
Each Mexican State provides competitive advantages to produce high value food products Main Production Agricultural Livestock Agroindustrial Fishing Source: SFA Fuente: SFA con datos de INEGI y SIA
Mexican agrifood opportunities in the US market Products US IMPORTS Annual Average (Million USD) MX EXPORTS TO US Annual Average (Million USD) US IMPORTS AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO US AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO US MARKET SHARE (%) Period 2005-2010 Poultry 74.33 0.06 28.58-48.83 0.08 Roasted coffee 282.33 4.12 13.26 4.02 1.46 Asparagus 297.50 136.92 14.33 13.56 46.02 Strawberry 152.05 149.07 18.94 18.12 98.04 Lettuce 39.33 25.31 24.16 34.30 64.34 Pineapple 427.50 16.70 13.90 18.77 3.91 Banana 1,383.17 35.38 9.60 38.12 2.56 Watermelon 231.97 227.42 17.75 12.16 98.04 Carrot 44.17 14.47 9.52 13.75 32.77 Blackberry 190.55 186.81 28.90 34.29 98.04 AARG: Anual Average Rate of Growth Source: SFA. International trade map data.
Business opportunities and demand in U.S. AAGR US Imports Veracruz, Sinaloa, Estado de México Veracruz, Michoacán, Tabasco Edo. Mex., Michoacán BC, BCS, Aguascalientes y Querétaro Chiapas U.S. Imports versus Mexico to U.S. Exports Veracruz y Jalisco Michoacán, Guanajuato y Chihuahua Sinaloa (Average 2005-2010 Million dollars) Jalisco, Estado de México, Guerrero Veracruz, Oax, BC Chihuahua, Hidalgo Chihuahua Chihuahua Chihuahua Colima Chiapas, Michoacán, Durango Edo. Mex. Michoacán Michoacán, Guanajuato, Jalisco Jalisco, Guanajuato Camp, Gro, Mor.Nay Mexican food exports to US US Imports Source: SFA. International trade map data.
Mexican agrifood opportunities in the EU market Products EU27 IMPORTS Annual Average (Million USD) MX EXPORTS TO EU27 Annual Average (Million USD) EU27 IMPORTS AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO EU27 AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO EU27 MARKET SHARE (%) Period 2005-2010 Cocoa beans 3,343.81 0.96 14.83 94.32 0.03 Roasted coffee 446.02 0.36 49.15-10.09 0.08 Frozen Shrimp 2,870.64 9.37 4.54-6.02 0.33 Onion 174.67 1.57 16.87 16.33 0.90 Lemon 451.57 7.17 7.57 25.79 1.59 Mango and guava 336.26 2.34 5.35 46.63 0.70 Orange 677.69 1.57 5.85 90.60 0.23 Banana 3,684.51 4.12 3.73 12.35 0.11 Tobacco 1,985.29 6.58 7.02-19.55 0.33 Blackberry 44.68 16.07 15.39 19.09 35.98 AARG: Anual Average Rate of Growth Source: SFA. International trade map data.
Mexican agrifood opportunities in Japan s market Products JP IMPORTS Annual Average (Million USD) MX EXPORTS TO JP Annual Average (Million USD) JP IMPORTS AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO JP AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO JP MARKET SHARE (%) Period 2005-2010 Avocado 77.33 58.16 15.06 10.78 75.21 Roasted Coffee 62.50 0.00 13.09-4.72 0.00 Frozen shrimp 1,848.00 1.14 0.23 18.23 0.06 Froze crab 418.83 0.01 2.08 0.00 0.00 Frozen pork 2,757.33 168.04-1.66 10.40 6.09 Mango and guava 46.67 10.57 0.89 4.95 22.64 Orange 107.83 0.01 3.19-22.39 0.01 Banana 735.17 1.99 7.28 3.76 0.27 Tobacco 303.17 0.00 22.29-14.72 0.00 Blackberry 10.83 0.03 3.71 23.22 0.31 AARG: Anual Average Rate of Growth Source: SFA. International trade map data.
Mexican agrifood opportunities in the Chinese market Products CH IMPORTS Annual Average (Million USD) MX EXPORTS TO CH Annual Average (Million USD) CH IMPORTS AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO CH AARG (%) MX EXPORTS TO CH MARKET SHARE (%) Period 2005-2010 Frozen pork 108.33 0.00 67.42 0.00 0.00 Coffee 31.17 0.00 26.86 0.00 0.00 Food preparations 283.33 0.08 21.15 27.88 0.00 White chocolate 35.50 0.02 20.97 185.03 0.00 Grape 111.50 0.00 18.18 0.00 0.00 Malt beer 37.50 8.93 16.52-8.28 0.24 Frozen shrimp 143.50 8.30 4.21 13.01 0.06 AARG: Anual Average Rate of Growth Source: SFA. International trade map data.
Final comments There are very solid reasons to invest in México Macroeconomic stability Access to international trade Infrastructure Competitive and comparative advantages Investors should continue turning to look at countries with positive growth potential and no fiscal problems such as Mexico México has a lot of potential in agribusiness, year round, whether it is fresh or process food. Examples of highly coveted products that Mexico can offer the world: Frozen fish and shrimp, pork, beef, poultry, pineapple, cacao beans, roasted coffee, malt beer, white chocolate, tobacco, banana, berries, grapes, carrots, sugar cane, avocado, squash, papaya, tomatoes, watermelon, asparagus, cucumbers, pecans, onions, green peppers, hominy, mango and guava, etc For additional information in Spanish visit: http://www.sagarpa.gob.mx/agronegocios/documents/estudios_economicos/comercio/oportunidades_11.pdf