WHAT OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO GROW MARKETS FOR PULSES AND THEIR PRODUCTS 2 JUNE 2016 CHRIS KLEINGELD GENRAL MANAGER DRY BEAN PRODUCERS ORGANISATION www.beans.co.za chris@beans.co.za
What Are Pulses? A. Pulses are a group of 11 crops Dry beans (Phaseolus spp. including several species now in Vigna) Dry broad beans (Vicia faba) Dry peas (Pisum spp.) Chickpea, garbanzo, Bengal gram (Cicer arietinum) Dry cowpea, black-eyed pea, blackeye bean (Vigna unguiculata ) Pigeon pea, Arhar/Toor, cajan pea, Congo bean, gandules (Cajanus cajan) Lentil (Lens culinaris) Bambara groundnut, earth pea (Vigna subterranea) Vetch, common vetch (Vicia sativa) Lupins (Lupinus spp.) Minor pulses
Why are Pulses important? B.Sustainable crop with a high water use efficiency. It takes ± 50 litres of water to produce 1 kg of pulses, compared with 251 for soybeans and 428 for peanuts. Also contribute to soil quality by fixing nitrogen in the soil. C. Popular crop in the developing world Massive gap in productivity inside and outside the developing world Improved varieties and promotion of better management techniques essential to enhance production. D. Up to 25% of pulses are used as feedstuff Steady source of nutrition, feed for animals, and soil sustainability Play a major role in food security, a role which will only grow in the future.
PRODUCTION OF PULSES 2012 WORLD AFRICA % OF WORLD SA % OF AFRICA Millet 28.99% 24,665,238 10,308,956 42% 6,500 0.06% Dry Beans 21.25% 18,073,132 5,135,169 28% 47,695 0.93% Chick Peas 12.35% 10,503,568 566,322 5% 0.00% Dry Peas 9.92% 8,435,883 411,583 5% 900 0.22% Cow Peas 9.34% 7,943,713 7,694,846 97% 5,000 0.06% Pigeon Peas 9.32% 7,929,170 1,264,650 16% 0.00% Lentils 4.76% 4,051,884 175,361 4% 0.00% Broad Beans 2.41% 2,050,912 1,232,670 60% 0.00% Lupins 1.51% 1,282,710 19,551 2% 18,000 92.07% Bambara beans 0.16% 132,575 132,575 100% 0.00% 100.00% 85,068,785 26,941,683 32% 78,095 0.29% EXTRACT FROM FAO DATA
WHAT OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO GROW MARKETS FOR PULSES AND THEIR PRODUCTS? REFRENCE TO DRY BEANS IN SOUTH AFRICA AS EXAMPLE
1970/71 1971/72 1972/73 1973/74 1974/75 1975/76 1976/77 1977/78 1978/79 1979/80 1980/81 1981/82 1982/83 1983/84 1984/85 1985/86 1986/87 1987/88 1988/89 1989/90 1990/91 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Estimate TON DO WE HAVE ABILLITY? 180 000 160 000 140 000 120 000 BEMARKING - TIPES LOCAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF DRY BEANS IN SOUTH AFRICA 350 300 250 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 200 150 100 50 0 YEAR LOCAL PRODUCTION CONSUMPTION PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (2005=100)
BEMARKING INVOERPARITEIT ROOI GESPIKKELDE BONE DRY BEAN IMPORTS INTO SOUTH AFRICA 2014: TONS 82 185 United States US 9% Canada CA 15% Ethiopia ET 9% China CN 33% Malawi MW 5% Italy IT 5% Other 23% Mozambique MZ 2% OTHER 19% Kenya KE 3% China CN Canada CA United States US Ethiopia ET Malawi MW Italy IT Kenya KE Mozambique MZ OTHER Italy IT 8% Argentina AR 6% DRY BEAN IMPORTS INTO SOUTH AFRICA 2015: TONS 71 898 Ethiopia ET 5% United States US 4% Other 14% China CN Canada CA Canada CA 14% China CN 40% Poland PL 2% Ukraine UA 3% Djibouti DJ 4% Italy IT Argentina AR Ethiopia ET United States US Djibouti DJ Ukraine UA Poland PL
BEMARKING - TIPES Total Consumption: All Types 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Estimate 2016 Local Prodution All types Imports Industry Linear (Industry)
RISK OF CLIMATE 85 000 75 000 PRODUCTION OF DRY BEANS IN SOUTH AFRICA Production 82 129 73 330 65 000 61 500 62 520 60 600 55 000 52 223 47 899 47 698 45 000 40 922 35 000 35 290 34 295 25 000 EXTRACT FROM FAO DATA 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Estimate 2016
R / ton BEMARKING - TIPES PRICE DETERMINED IN WORLD MARKET R 20 000 R 18 000 R 16 000 R 14 000 R 12 000 R 10 000 R 8 000 R 6 000 R 4 000 RED SPECKLED BEANS IMPORT PARITY FROM CHINA TO DURBAN 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 DATE FARM GATE R/T IMPORT R/T R/US$ USD $ / 100
Yield T BEMARKING - TIPES COMPETITION WITH OTHER CROPS / PROFITABILITY 95 000 85 000 75 000 65 000 55 000 45 000 35 000 25 000 Relationship between area, yield, price per ton and turn over per hectare R 20 000.00 R 18 000.00 R 16 000.00 R 14 000.00 R 12 000.00 R 10 000.00 R 8 000.00 R 6 000.00 R 4 000.00 R 2 000.00 R - Area Planted Local Production Producer Price R/T Turn over R/ha
CHINA LOW CAPITAL COST, HIGH YIELD POTENTIAL, MINIMAL REGULATION, EXTREMELY EFFICIENT IN PROCESSING
SOUTH AFRICA HIGH CAPITAL COST, CLIMATE RISK, HIGHLY REGULATED
WHAT OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO GROW MARKETS FOR PULSES AND THEIR PRODUCTS? MARKETS (DEMAND) EXIST PULSES ALLIGNED TO WATER SCARSE CLIMATIC CONDITIONS UNDERSTAND FACTORS THAT LIMITS PRODUCTION INCREASE EFFICIENCY OF PRODUCTION (VARIETIES, AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES, PRODUCTIVITY) RESEARCH CONTINUE DIALOGE IN CHAIN FROM PRODUCER TO CONSUMER ALIGN NEEDS AND EXPECTATIONS ENSURE REGULATORY ERNVIRONMENT IS ALLIGNED TO ENABLE THE MARKET TO BE COMPETITIVE DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN IMPORTED PRODUCT AND LOCAL REQUIREMENTS (MOISTURE, ALERGENS)
WHAT OPPORTUNITIES EXIST TO GROW MARKETS FOR PULSES AND THEIR PRODUCTS? HAVE SUFFIECIENT INFORMATION TO PLAN IN ADVANCE PRODUCTION PLANING IN TERMS OF SEED VOLUMES, VARIETIES EXECTRA NEEDS A FORECAST WINDOW OF 3-5 YEARS THANK YOU