Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year (4 w/e 2018/2/18)

Similar documents
Issue No. 7 SPOTLIGHT THE PHILIPPINES

FMCG SALES GREW YEAR-ON-YEAR BUT SLOWED DOWN IN THE LAST QUARTER OF 2017

ASIA Q Kantar Worldpanel

MAT Q2`13 SUMMARY ASIA

Future Market Insights

PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE OF. Kantar Worldpanel

FMCGs in Vietnam. All images within this document are examples for illustrative purposes.

COMMITTEE ON COMMODITY PROBLEMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL GROUP ON TEA NINETEENTH SESSION. New Delhi, India, May 2010

ETHNIC OPPORTUNITY IF ONLY I KNEW CANADIAN GROCER CONFERENCE

The Portuguese clipfish market 2017

Looking up for Opportunities of Thailand Food Products in Indonesia Market. Flora Chrisantie Deputy General Treasurer of APRINDO

More information from: global-online-food-delivery-and-takeaway-marketanalysis-by-order-type

Enter the Grocerant: Grocery Stores Winning at Foodservice

TRENDS IN SALES OF MEAT PRODUCTS A RETAIL PERSPECTIVE. Meat Market Observatory 25 June 2018

WELCOME TO CONSUMER INDEX

Leading the Category Driving Growth Creating Value. Fiona KENDRICK Head of Coffee and Beverages Strategic Business Unit

Consumer Insights. Chewy Candy. Empowering Manufacturers and Retailers for Category 1 Growth

TOTAL STORE CONNECTIVITY: REVEALING NEW PATHWAYS TO WIN SPECIALTY CHEESE

MULTIPLES + DUNNES CONVENIENCE DISCOUNTERS VALUE

TRENDS IN SALES OF MILK & DAIRY PRODUCTS A RETAIL PERSPECTIVE. Milk Market Observatory 28 March 2017

2013 Annual Quantification Report: Media Feedback Report Coffee in South Africa

Country Profile: Bakery & Cereals sector in Indonesia

Candy/Snack Innovation Forum. February 21, 2006

WELCOME TO CONSUMER INDEX. Quarter 3, 2012

CLG: Seafood Consumption. Richard Watson Seafish

Key trends that will shape future success in the beverage category January Ross Smith Consumer Insight Director

Tesco Private Label Strategy and Performance

Thailand Packaging Machinery Market. Jorge Izquierdo VP Market Development PMMI

MILLENNIAL CONSUMERS SEEK NEW TASTES, WILLING TO PAY A PREMIUM FOR ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES. Nielsen Releases Most Comprehensive Study To Date

Bag In Box Consumer Preferences in the UK. Presented during the Performance BIB meetings in Bristol, England 24 & 25 October 2012

An update from the Competitiveness and Market Analysis Branch, Alberta Agriculture and Forestry.

TOTAL STORE CONNECTIVITY: ENTERTAINING ACROSS THE STORE

SOUTH KOREAN WINE MARKET LANDSCAPE REPORT OCTOBER 2017

THE POWER OF BAKERY CATEGORIES

Media Feedback 2015 Category Quantification Report White Milk in South Africa

EastAgri Annual Meeting BEST FOOD: HOW TO PRODUCE BOTH QUALITY AND QUANTITY IN EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

Report Brochure UK WINE RETAIL TRENDS December REPORT PRICE GBP 1,500 EUR 2,100 USD 2,400 AUD 3,300 3 Report Credits

MAPPING BENCHMARKING

The Grocer: Food-to-go Research on behalf of The Grocer October 2018

Must stocks. Market Trends. Increase your footfall. Improve your sales. Market insight. Retail planograms. New products Top sellers

China: Opportunities & Challenges for Produce from South America. Mabel Zhuang Director, M.Z. Marketing Communications PMA China Consultant

Consumer Goods. Confectionery & Snacks Industry

Understanding Packaged Food Trends In Asia Pacific

THE METEORIC RISE OF ENERGY DRINKS

Company Coverage. Country Coverage. Global Coverage. Regional Coverage

Must stocks. Market Trends. Increase your footfall. Improve your sales. Market insight. Retail planograms. New products Top sellers

The Vietnam urban food consumption and expenditure study

Challenges in Fluid Milk Consumption. October 25, 2017

Healthy Ageing in Asia

BRUSSELS, 4 OCTOBER 2012 HANS-CHRISTOPH BEHR, AMI, BONN

Drinks Sector Guide. The global alcoholic drinks market grew by 3.3% in 2014 to reach a value of $1,152,011.1 million.

IMPORTANCE OF LODI WINES IN THE RETAIL CHANNEL AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR GROWTH. Curtis Mann Director of Wine & Beverage Raley s Family of Fine Stores

Category ADVICE.

Attachment A. Core U.S. OJ & GJ Scanned Sales Data

FOOD & CONSUMER INDUSTRIES EXHIBITION OCTOBER 26-29, Doha Exhibition and Convention Center

TRENDS IN SALES OF MILK & DAIRY PRODUCTS A RETAIL PERSPECTIVE. Milk Market Observatory 25 January 2017

This is Haruhisa Inada. I will explain the financial results of the first quarter of FY 2018.

Fish and Chips in Commercial Foodservice 2016 JULIA BROOKS, JANUARY 2017

Global Beer Market

Welcome to the. Find out more about the parts of the world where SIAL Network is established, thanks to the Euromonitor s study.

The Power of Meat 2016 An in-depth look at the meat department through the shoppers eyes

Report on Italian Desserts in China

Key Trends in Beverage Packaging What to invest in next?

Global Pasta and Noodles Market

Fresh Produce Report. P13: 12 w/e 3rd January Kantar Worldpanel

Jason McNally. 21 st of April 2009

PRODUCT (ALPHABETIZED)

Trends and Opportunities

Top Ten Trends for 2018 by Innova Market Insights Fi Europe 2017

BIS Foodservice offers an integrated data and research solution in the foodservice market

"HIP" GROCERY PRICE POINTS

Focused on Delivering

Eating Pattern Recession Part 3. Background. his report provides a unique look at inhome

The Future Tortilla Market: Organic, Ancient Grains, Transitional

2017 SANBWA AGM Presentation

The Future of the Confectionery Market in South Africa to 2019

THE NETHERLANDS WINE MARKET LANDSCAPE REPORT

Global Cocoa Butter Equivalent (CBE) Market - Volume and Value Analysis By Type, By Region, By Country: Opportunities and Forecast ( )

Agenda. DEFINITION: Restaurant Industry Food Away from Home. FCP Webinar February 24, 2017 STATE OF THE RESTAURANT INDUSTRY

U.S. Retail Coffee. Joe Stanziano Senior Vice President and General Manager, Coffee

Lukewarm sales for cold beverages

Market Brief for Asia Fruit Logistica. Hong Kong & Macau, Makret Dynamic Markets for U.S. Exports

November 8, 2017 Conference. Creating. Connections And Communities

The National Pork Board Pork Champion Quantitative Study Spring RAC 2014

Romexpo S.A. EXPO DRINK & WINE 25 th -29 th of October 2017

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.

TRENDS IN SALES OF MILK & DAIRY PRODUCTS A RETAIL PERSPECTIVE. Milk Market Observatory 26 September 2017

Hispanic Population by Region

Your Professional Partner in Instant Coffee. A Company of Neumann Kaffee Gruppe

Albany, GA - Jan 15, the Future of the Peanut Industry -

Getting Closer to The Consumer: Improving Communication On-Pack and Everywhere

India. Oilseeds and Products Update. August 2012

THE UK WINE MARKET LANDSCAPE REPORT

Carlos Lisboa. Head of Marketing

J / A V 9 / N O.

SavingSwagger. Snacks. Table of Contents. 1. Produce 2. Salty Snacks 3. Sweet Snacks 4. Granola Bars/Fruit

Marketing of aluminum bottle November 12, 2013 Hiroshi UENO General Manager of Marketing Div. Universal Can Corporation

THE GERMAN WINE MARKET LANDSCAPE REPORT JULY 2016

The Frozen Aisle Market Drivers & Trends ALWAYS INSPIRING MORE

Final Report. The Lunchtime Occasion in Republic of Ireland and Great Britain

Transcription:

Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year (4 w/e 2018/2/18)

In-home purchases during Tet 2018 is estimated to reach over 45 trillion VND for total Vietnam (nearly double value of normal month) VND 6,286 bln ~2x vs normal Value for In-home Purchases Tet 2018 VND 27,090 bln URBAN 4 CITES = ~1% of Vietnam s annual GDP (2017) RURAL *Consumption of Sub-urban/ secondary cities equals 80% of that of Urban 4 cities Source: Kantar Worldpanel Households Panel Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam FMCG Including Gifts Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year (4 w/e 2018/2/18)

Tet 2018 is on par with Tet 2017, the highest record in a few years back, in Urban 4 while continuing to pick up in Rural Urban 4 cities Rural Index vs. normal month 162 170 163 176 195 211 4% vs YA 11% vs YA 2% vs YA 9% vs YA 13% vs YA 14% vs YA Tet 2016: 8 Feb Tet 2017: 28 Jan Tet 2018: 16 Feb Tet 2016: 8 Feb Tet 2017: 28 Jan Tet 2018: 16 Feb Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG including gifts Rolling 4 w/e 3

In Urban, consumers are trending to simplify their Tet basket Average number of FMCG categories in Tet basket over time URBAN 4 CITIES 14.8 14.3 14.6 14.6 13.5 Tet 2014 Tet 2015 Tet 2016 Tet 2017 Tet 2018 Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG excluding gifts 4

and turn more their attention to non-fmcg purchases which are on the rise in this hottest season TRAVEL REAL ESTATE AUTO SALES ELECTRONICS SALES +20% more tours booked compared to normal months +18-20% more transactions in October compared to previous months +8% more transactions for used cars in quarter 4 compared to quarter 3 Up to 50% discount on appliances from major retailers +20-30% 80% are international tours More purchasing/mortgage incentives (0% interest rate, 3-4% discount) Car dealerships are out of stock value spend on smartphones Upper-midrange smartphones on the rise (>10mln) Source: Hai Quan Online Ministry of Construction VnExpress Thoi Bao Ngan Hang 5

Meanwhile, many categories in Rural achieve impressive performance this Tet Based on Consumer Reach Points (CRP) growth RURAL Hair Colorant Hybrid Drink RTD GUM Tonic Food Drink Ice-Cream +49% +41% +41% +40% +36% Chocolate Bathroom & Toilet Cleaner Liquid Detergent +34% +33% +26% Hand Washing +25% Fruit Juice +23% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG excluding Gift Tet 2018 vs Tet 2017 6

Gifting is the growth driver of Tet 2018, indicating a huge opportunity to capture. Yet, real consumption in Rural still enjoys strong growth URBAN 4 CITIES +1.5% vs last Tet RURAL +13.7% vs last Tet Real Purchase Gifting Real Purchase Gifting 67.1% (-2.0 pts vs YA) 32.9% (+2.0 pts vs YA) % Value contribution Tet 18 66.8% (-4.1 pts vs YA) 33.2% (+4.0 pts vs YA) -1.6% +8.3% % Value growth Tet 18 vs. Tet 17 +7.0% +30.1% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Households Panel Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam FMCG Including Gifts Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year

Out of total Tet value, ¾ fall in the last two weeks of Tet period. Urban consumers tend to stock up earlier (gradually from week 2) while Rural consumers delay purchase till the very last week. % Value Share among Tet 2018 16% 2018 12% 33% 39% 16% URBAN 4 CITIES 18% 20% 2017 50% 12% 51% RURAL 14% 14% 28% 23% 24% 31% Tet week Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Source: Kantar Worldpanel Households Panel Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam FMCG Including Gifts Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year (4 w/e 2018/2/18) 8

4 in 5 people receive FMCG as gift at Tet with gifting value uplifts across years. Rural areas are catching up with Urban in terms of gifting value No. of people receiving FMCG as Gift Tet 2018 Value of each gifting occasion (000 VND) 256 80% 77% 218 240 185 226 159 URBAN 4 CITIES RURAL Tet 2016 Tet 2017 Tet 2018 Source: Kantar Worldpanel Households Panel Urban 4 key cities & Rural Vietnam FMCG Gifts only Tet 2018 11

Top 10 most chosen categories for gifting in Tet 2018 Based on Consumer Reach Points (CRP) = Population * Penetration * Frequency URBAN 4 CITIES Cooking Aids Biscuits & Cakes Beer Carbonated Soft Drink Instant Coffee Candy Instant Noodle Snack & Nuts Loose Leaf Tea Chocolate 2.5M 2.0M 1.5M 1.3M 0.5M 0.4M 0.4M 0.3M 0.3M 0.3M RURAL Cooking Aids Biscuits & Cakes Beer Carbonated Soft Drink Instant Coffee Candy Loose Leaf Tea Instant Noodle Energy Drink RTD Tea 12.6M 10.8M 6.6M 3.7M 3.2M 2.4M 2.1M 1.3M 1.0M 0.7M Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG Gifts only Tet 2018 12

Top risers for gifting in Tet 2018 Based on Consumer Reach Points (CRP) Growth % URBAN 4 CITIES SNACKS & NUTS INSTANT COFFEE CHOCOLATE PROCESSED FOOD CANNED FOOD +18.1% +14.1% +12.3% +11.9% +11.9% RURAL TOOTHPASTE READY-TO-DRINK TEA INSTANT TEA FRUIT JUICE SOYA SAUCE +219.8% +53.9% +34.3% +19.3% +13.1% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG Gifts only Tet 2018 vs Tet 2017 13

Upsizing trend is observed in Tet basket Top up-sizing categories (based on pack size change % vs normal month) +124% +107% +17% +17% +16% +16% +15% +15% +12% +12% URBAN 4 CITIES Confectionery Snack & nuts Processed sausage Cooking oil Powder detergent Frozen food Granules Shampoo Ketchup Hair conditioner 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hair Loose leaf Ground Confectionery Liquor Snack & nuts Fruit juice Cooking oil conditioner tea coffee Granules Liquid bath RURAL +138% +95% +87% +38% +22% +21% +18% +17% +16% +15% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG excluding gifts Categories >5% penetration 16

Consumers are also willing to pay more or chose premium options for Tet celebration Top up-trading categories (based on average price change % vs normal month) +23% +19% +18% +18% +16% +16% +15% +13% +7% +5% URBAN 4 CITIES Snack & nuts Biscuits & cakes Loose leaf tea Facial cleanser Facial moisturizer Tea bag Frozen food Carbonated soft drink Ice-cream Fish sauce 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hair conditioner Handwashing Carbonated soft drink Beer Powder tonic food drink Loose leaf tea Facial Fish sauce Table napkin Instant coffee moisturizer RURAL +27% +21% +20% +18% +17% +17% +14% +11% +10% +10% Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities & Rural FMCG excluding gifts Categories >5% penetration 17

They even move to higher-priced channels for the diversity of choices and online shopping for convenience Modern trade performs better than traditional trade this Tet and is riding the growth Value growth vs last Tet (%) -3.2% +5.0% -1.6% +13.1% +183.1% Index Tet 2018 vs normal month 183.8 118.7 142.4 141.4 130.6 General Trade Modern Trade Hyper & Super Mini Stores Online Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities FMCG excluding Gift Tet period: 4 weeks before the first day of Lunar New Year 20

Which categories are driving the growth of modern channels at Tet? Category portfolio for Tet basket in H&S looks diverse, Ministores skew to Food & Beverage while Personal Care are popular items in online basket HYPER & SUPER MINISTORE ONLINE Category Ready-To-Drink Tea Liquid Detergent Ketchup Granules Box Tissue Beer Hair Conditioner Fabric Softener Facial Cleanser Cup Yogurt Category Snack & Nuts Granules Cheese Sauce Paper products Instant Noodle Ice Cream Ready-To-Drink Tea Sausage Instant Coffee Category Facial Moisturizer Liquid Detergent Shampoo Lipstick Hair Conditioner Cooking Oil Snack & Nuts Baby Diaper Source: Kantar Worldpanel Household Panel Urban Vietnam 4 key cities FMCG excluding Gift Based on Value growth Tet 2018 vs Tet 2017 21

SUMMARY Tet 2018 is estimated to reach ~1% of total country s GDP (over 45 trillion VND) In Urban, this Tet is on par with last Tet as Urban consumers are simplifying their Tet basket and turn their attention to non-fmcg items In Rural, Tet 2018 continues to enjoy strong growth Gifting is the growth driver of Tet with value uplifts over time o Tet gifting basket for Rural nearly equals to Urban Peak time for Rural shoppers is 1 week before Tet while 2 weeks for Urban shoppers Changing behaviors: o o Up-trading in terms of both product and channel choices. Shopping basket becomes more premium Upsizing versus normal month Tet basket repertoire is diverse for Hyper & Supermarkets, while Ministores skew to Food & Beverage, and Online shopping favors Personal Care 23

About Kantar Worldpanel Kantar Worldpanel is the global expert in shoppers behavior. Through continuous monitoring, advanced analytics and tailored solutions, Kantar Worldpanel inspires successful decisions by brand owners, retailers, market analysts and government organizations globally. With over 60 years experience, a team of 3,500, and services covering 60 countries directly or through partners, Kantar Worldpanel turns purchase behavior into competitive advantage in markets as diverse as FMCG, impulse products, fashion, baby, telecommunications and entertainment, among many others. For further information, please visit us at www.kantarworldpanel.com.vn Contact us Nguyen Thi Nhu Ngoc Associate Marketing Manager Email: nhungoc.nguyenthi@kantarworldpanel.com Tel: +84 8 39306631 Fax: +84 8 39306632 Mob: +84 (0)988 445 401 Kantar Worldpanel Vietnam 58 Vo Van Tan St., Dist. 3, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam