Potato Market Information Review

Transcription

1 Potato Market Information Review Prepared by: Market Analysis and Information Section Horticulture and Cross Sectoral Division Agriculture and AgriFood Canada June 2015

2 Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, represented by the Minister of Agriculture and AgriFood, (2016). Electronic version available at ISSN: AAFC No E Cat. No.: A7132/2015EPDF Paru également en français sous le titre : Revue d information sur les marchés de la pomme de terre, ISSN: X N d'aac: 12508F Cat. No.: A7132/2015FPDF Author: Jean Mukezangango, Market Analysis and Information Section For more information, reach us at or call us tollfree at ii

3 Table of Contents Overview... 1 Seasonal Review Prince Edward Island (PEI)... 2 New Brunswick (NB)... 2 Quebec (QC)... 3 Ontario (ON)... 3 Manitoba (MB)... 3 Saskatchewan (SK)... 4 Alberta (AB)... 4 British Columbia (BC) Number of farms and production Number of potato farms in Canada (2006 and 2011) Canadian potato production Seeded area by province (hectares) Harvested area by province (hectares) Production by province (tonnes) Average yield by province (tonnes per harvested hectare) Top 50 registered seed potato varieties grown in Canada, total area accepted in 2015 (hectares) Total area (hectares) accepted of registered seed varieties grown in Canada five year average Canadian potato storage holdings Canadian potato storage by province (hundreds of metric tonnes) Canadian Potato Storage Intended utilization of potatoes by province (hundreds of metric tonnes) Percentage of intended utilization of potatoes total Percentage of intended utilization of potato by province Revenue Potato receipts (CAN$ 000) Prices Canadian potato farm average prices (CAN$ per tonne) Monthly summary of daily wholesale to retail market prices Toronto market Montreal market Monthly summary of weekly wholesale to retail market prices Vancouver market Calgary market Regina market Winnipeg market Halifax market St. John's market Potato availability Potatoes available in Canada (kilograms per person) Potatoes available in Canada 10 yeartrend...25 iii

4 6. Trade Canadian potatoes trade balance (CAN$) Canadian potato exports Fresh Monthly fresh potato exports, value (CAN$) Monthly fresh potato exports, volume (tonnes) Fresh potato exports by province, value (CAN$) Fresh potato exports by province, volume (tonnes) Fresh potato exporting provinces percent share Fresh potato export destinations, value (CAN$) Fresh potato export destinations, volume (tonnes) Seed Monthly seed potato exports, value (CAN$) Monthly seed potato exports, volume (tonnes) Seed potato exports by province, value (CAN$) Seed potato exports by province, volume (tonnes) Seed potato exporting provinces percent share Seed potato export destinations, value (CAN$) Seed potato export destinations, volume (tonnes) Frozen Monthly frozen potato exports, value (CAN$) Monthly frozen potato exports, volume (kg) Frozen potato exports by province, value (CAN$) Frozen potato exports by province, volume (kg) Frozen potato exporting provinces percent share Frozen potato export destinations, value (CAN$) Frozen potato export destinations, volume (kg) Processed Monthly processed potato exports, value (CAN$) Monthly processed potato exports, volume (kg) Processed potato exports by province, value (CAN$) Processed potato exports by province, volume (kg) Processed potato export destinations, value (CAN$) Processed potato export destinations, volume (kg) All potato products Monthly exports of all potato products, value (CAN$) Exports of all potato products by province, value (CAN$) Destinations of overall potato exports, value (CAN$) Canadian potato imports Fresh Monthly fresh potato imports, value (CAN$) Monthly fresh potato imports, volume (tonnes) Fresh potato imports by province, value (CAN$) Fresh potato imports by province, volume (tonnes) Fresh potato importing provinces percent share Fresh potato imports by country of origin, value (CAN$) Fresh potato imports by country of origin, volume (tonnes) Seed Monthly seed potato imports, value (CAN$) Monthly seed potato imports, volume (tonnes) Seed potato imports by province, value (CAN$)...49 iv

5 Seed potato imports by province, volume (tonnes) Seed potato importing provinces percent share Seed potato imports by country of origin, value (CAN$) Seed potato imports by country of origin, volume (tonnes) Frozen Monthly frozen potato imports, value (CAN$) Monthly frozen potato imports, volume (kg) Frozen potato imports by province, value (CAN$) Frozen potato imports by province, volume (kg) Frozen potato imports by country of origin, value (CAN$) Frozen potato imports by country of origin, volume (kg) Processed Monthly processed potato imports, value (CAN$) Monthly processed potato imports, volume (kg) Processed potato imports by province, value (CAN$) Processed potato imports by province, volume (kg) Processed potato imports by country of origin, value (CAN$) Processed potato imports by country of origin, volume (kg) All potato products Monthly imports of all potato products, value (CAN$) Imports of all potato products by province, value (CAN$) Imports of all potato products by country of origin, value (CAN$) U.S. production U.S. national statistics for potatoes World production World potato production (thousands tonnes) World trade Top 20 importers of fresh potatoes worldwide (CAN$ 000) Top 20 exporters of fresh potatoes worldwide (CAN$ 000) Top 20 importers of seed potatoes worldwide (CAN$ 000) Top 20 exporters of seed potatoes worldwide (CAN$ 000) Key Resources...66 v

6 Overview Potatoes are the largest vegetable crop in Canada, accounting for 29% of all vegetable receipts 1 and 15% of all horticultural 2 receipts. In the 2014 calendar year, potato receipts fell 1.1% from 2014 to $1.04 billion. Producers reported planting 141,160 hectares of potatoes in 2015, up 1% from Despite this modest increase in planted area, potato production increased by 5% in 2015 from 2014, due to to higher yields. Production reached 4,780,000 tonnes in 2015 Canada s largest potato production since The main producing provinces were Prince Edward Island (24%), Manitoba (21%), Alberta (18%), New Brunswick (14%), Quebec (12%) and Ontario (8%). Of the total Canadian production, approximately 66% was destined for the processing sector, 21% to the fresh sector and 13% to the seed sector. Canada has been a world leader in the production of seed potatoes for more than 90 years and is the fifth largest seed potato exporter in the world. About 150 potato varieties are registered in Canada for the production of seed. The varieties grown in each production area are selected to meet the needs of specific markets and local preferences. Russet Burbank, Shepody, Ranger Russet, CalWhite and Umatilla Russet are the main frying varieties; Superior, Atlantic, Kennebec and Snowden are the main chipping varieties; and Superior, Russet Norkotah, Chieftain, Yukon Gold, Norland, Ranger Russet, Goldrush, Sangre and Umatilla Russet are the leading table varieties. In the crop year, exports of Canadian potatoes and potato products were estimated at $1.36 billion, up 6% from Canada exported fresh potatoes (table stock and seed potatoes) worth $202 million and processed potatoes (frozen and other) worth $1.16 billion during that period. By far, the largest export destination for Canadian potatoes and potato products is the United States. Canada s neighbour to the south takes in 81% of Canadian potato exports, which were worth $1.1 billion in Japan (4%) and Mexico (3%) are the second and third largest export destinations, respectively, mostly because of the volume of processed potato products that Canada ships to those two countries. Canada imported a total value of $364 million in potatoes in Of that amount, $263 million was for frozen and processed potatoes, and the remaining $101 million was for fresh potatoes ($98 million for table stock potatoes and $3 million for seed potatoes). 1 Vegetable receipts refer to market receipts or farm cash receipts, excluding program payments. They represent the income received from the sale of agricultural commodities. 2 The horticulture sector consists of greenhouse vegetables, other vegetables, potatoes, tree fruits, small fruits, floriculture, nursery, sod, Christmas trees, maple products, honey and ginseng. 1

7 Seasonal Review Prince Edward Island (PEI) In PEI, growers enjoyed generally favourable weather during the 2014 planting season. Although the spring was late and some areas had extended dry periods in the summer, in most cases the crop finished well with excellent weather from August to October. The resulting crop was variable, ranging from individual growers having strong yields and good quality in some areas to significant quality issues in others. Statistics Canada estimated PEI s planted acreage in 2014 at 90,500 acres, up 1.7% from The first load of newcrop potatoes left the province on August 18, Favourable weather conditions during the harvest period meant that only 300 acres of potatoes went unharvested, giving a 1.3% increase in harvested acres compared with the 2013 crop. Total production rose to 25.2 million cwt 4 in 2014, up from 25 million cwt in 2013 (a 0.9% increase). Statistics Canada estimated yields at cwt/acre. In , prices for table stock potatoes decreased from , falling to similar levels as seen in Movement of PEI potatoes to Canadian and US markets was similar to Movement to export markets was below average. Overall, fresh movement was down 5% compared with The average price for 10lb paper bags during the season was $1.47, down from the average price of $1.87 in New Brunswick (NB) The 2014 NB fall harvest was held in almostperfect weather conditions, as the weather was ideal for digging in late September and early October. The main harvest period began the week of September 22, The province saw some frost that same week, which shut down some plants a little earlier than expected and reduced yields from affected fields. Harvest was completed by the third week of October, and there have been no reports of any storage issues. The potatoes were kept in excellent conditions, with the latest deliveries made just before or during the 2015 harvest. The 2014 NB potato crop was similar to the 2013 crop in terms of quality. Overall provincial yield averaged from slightly below average to very good, and quality was very good in all regions. Many growers in the more northern regions saw close to record yields along with very good quality. Growers in the southern growing areas experienced a very dry period in August and September and saw lower yields, but the crop quality is excellent. Potatoes that have gone to the province s processing plants are showing very good quality attributes and payables. The 2015 planting season started in midmay and was completed by the second week of June, which is the usual range. By the end of the planting period, the earlier planted fields were starting to emerge. Rainfall for the month of May was slightly above normal for growers in southern areas, and it was slightly below normal for growers in more northern regions. The number of acres planted in 2015 decreased slightly versus 2014, that is approximately 500 acres less than in The average price for processing 3 Most of the data are based on crop years that run from August of one year to July of the following year and are expressed as such (e.g ). Data based on calendar years are expressed as a single year (e.g. 2015). Seasonal reviews were prepared by provincial organizations; see Key Resources. Seasonal reviews for Newfoundland and Labrador and for Nova Scotia are not available. 4 cwt: Hundredweight (short, US). 2

8 potatoes is approximately $10.55/cwt, an average of $10 to $10.50 for fresh (table) potatoes. Seed prices are difficult to confirm, but $15 to $17/cwt would be a reasonable average. Quebec (QC) In 2014, QC obtained an average yield of 277 cwt/acre, which was higher than the previous year. The quality was good, and there were no warehouse storage problems. Note that from a phytosanitary point of view, the seed potatoes had a very low virus rate. The total potato acreage in QC has been relatively stable for a number of years. The same observation may be made about the market destination. Potatoes for the fresh market continue to account for approximately half (52%) of the production. The rest of the production is for prepeeling (21%), chipping (16%) and planting (11%). Prices remained stable for potatoes produced for the french fry market, while those produced for the chip market dropped slightly. As for the fresh market, prices were down compared with those of the previous year. After a difficult winter, planting began a little late in 2015, especially in heavier soil and in the eastern regions of Quebec. However, the delays were quickly made up and the season ended with excellent yields. Ontario (ON) In fall 2014, ON potato growers produced 373,080 tonnes of potatoes from 14,164 harvested hectares. The value of the crop was just over $100 million. Approximately half of the crop was used for potato chips, and the rest was used for table consumption. The 2014 growing season presented many challenges. The season was cool and wet with little sunshine. Potatoes thrive in cool and wet conditions but not to the extremes we saw in Many low areas were flooded out or suffered water damage. In addition, late blight became a problem in some areas, especially for certain varieties. In spite of all the wet weather issues, most growers were able to harvest above average yields of good quality potatoes. Approximately 500 acres were left in the fields. Most harvested potatoes stored well throughout the winter. The presence of blight, along with the wet growing conditions, caused some storage issues as well as problems with process quality. The 2015 growing season began earlier than usual. In some areas, planting began in the last week of March, with the rest of the province following by late April. Heavy frost in some areas set back some early crop potatoes by one or two weeks. As a result of favourable growing conditions, potato harvesting was in full swing by the second week of July. Manitoba (MB) 2015 potato acreage in MB increased to 67,327 acres in 2015 from 63,350 the previous year. Favourable spring conditions contributed to early planting, with replanting limited to the Portage La Prairie region following heavy spring rains. The early start raised growers yield expectations and helped to curb overplanting. 3

9 Some pricing gains were achieved, partially offsetting the substantial decrease the previous year. The potato industry in Manitoba remains a significant economic driver, contributing over $1 billion to the provincial economy. Marketing of the 2014 crop faced some early challenges due to wet harvesting conditions. Some storage losses were experienced and overall quality was slightly down. Strong yields ensured adequate supply. Saskatchewan (SK) Potato acreage in SK dropped slightly in 2014 to about 6,500 acres, mainly due to the cold wet spring. Although there were concerns about harvest quality due to abundant moisture, crop quality was good. Tablestock prices were slightly lower than the previous year, at $13 to $15 per cwt packout for table Reds and $11 to $12 for Russets; however, the entire crop sold. Postharvest test readings on seed potato crops were excellent, with almost no viruses found. Seed prices were good and almost all seed sold. Spring 2015 was one of the driest on record. The crop was planted relatively early, although producers with irrigation were kept busy throughout May and June. In July, however, it began to rain heavily. Alberta (AB) The industry continues to contribute over $1 billion of economic value to the AB economy. AB s 21,000 hectares produced over 849,500 tonnes in While acreage of fresh and seed potatoes increased in 2014, acreage of processing potatoes has remained relatively stable over the last five years. The overseas Asian market continues to grow every year, which is promising for the AB industry. In 2015, growing conditions were very sporadic throughout the entire province. Some rather heavy downpours and cool weather during planting did not give the crop a good start in the south. Late August rains and an early September frost caused some issues both at harvest and during the storage season. The shortened fall had a huge impact on the gravity and size of the Russet crop in the south. Overall, the storage crop was one of the poorest in years as far as quality was concerned. Seed and fresh quality was very good, as growing conditions (lots of sunshine and timely rains) in those areas were conducive to a good crop. Growers continued to try to match production requirements so as not to cause overproduction pressures on the markets. British Columbia (BC) There were no disease or storage issues of significance for the 2014 harvest. The devaluation of the Canadian dollar by 14 cents over the year had a significant impact on helping to counter low potato pricing being quoted from the United States (US). However, pricing on BC product was down 1% for the total category, while the total sales volume increased by 5%. Greater availability of Reds and Yellows in the BC market put pressure on fresh market pricing of these potato types. The market for Russets remained relatively stable, with increased sales. Demand for Whites helped firm up pricing, and there was an increase in volume. A significant factor that affected the potato sector this year was the commencement of the 2015 CITT 5 expiry review on the dumping and subsidizing of certain whole potatoes imported from the US for consumption in BC. 5 CITT: Canadian International Trade Tribunal. 4

10 Spring weather for the 2015 planting season was uncharacteristically dry and at historically low precipitation levels. There were no issues with getting crops in the ground. Planted acreage was up 11% from 2014, representing a 10% increase compared with the threeyear average. The growing season was long, sunny and warm. Growers relied on irrigation to bring the crops to size. Harvesting came on strong early in the season, with volume available to market about three weeks earlier than usual. In spite of some quality issues, the majority of growers enjoyed good product quality. No acreage went unharvested, and good weather continued into the fall. Most of the crop was placed into storage by early October, with November 1 storage inventory up 8% compared with the prior year. Yields were good, but with strong early season sales potato inventories were slightly lower than anticipated with the increase in acreage. 5

11 1. Number of farms and production 1.1. Number of potato farms in Canada (2006 and 2011) % change 2011/06 Newfoundland and Labrador % Prince Edward Island % Nova Scotia % New Brunswick % Quebec % Ontario % Manitoba % Saskatchewan % Alberta % British Columbia % Canada 1,607 1,323 18% Note: Number of farms includes all farms reported to be growing potatoes and on which potato production represents 50% or more of total farm cash receipts. Source: Statistics Canada, Census of Agriculture (CANSIM Table ) 1.2. Canadian potato production Seeded area by province (hectares) % change 2015/14 Newfoundland and Labrador F F F N/A Prince Edward Island 35,046 36,219 36,017 36,624 36,219 1% Nova Scotia % New Brunswick 20,963 21,651 19,425 19,486 19,486 0% Quebec 17,199 17,000 17,400 17,100 17,100 0% Ontario 15,135 16,106 15,378 14,366 14,063 2% Manitoba 29,137 30,756 28,328 25,495 27,235 7% Saskatchewan 2,914 2,833 2,833 2,595 2,428 6% Alberta 21,610 22,641 21,239 21,442 21,500 0% British Columbia 2,873 2,833 2,509 2,384 2,307 3% Canada 145, , , , ,157 1% Notes: F: Too unreliable to be published. N/A: Not applicable. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table ) 6

12 Harvested area by province (hectares) % change 2015/14 Newfoundland and Labrador F F F N/A Prince Edward Island 34,803 35,410 36,017 36,503 36,017 1% Nova Scotia % New Brunswick 19,627 21,246 19,223 19,445 19,384 0% Quebec 16,714 16,800 17,100 16,600 16,800 1% Ontario 14,771 15,985 15,176 14,164 14,022 1% Manitoba 28,328 30,554 28,126 25,273 27,114 7% Saskatchewan 2,833 2,630 2,630 2,456 2,428 1% Alberta 20,275 22,134 20,673 20,939 20,292 3% British Columbia 2,792 2,833 2,469 2,347 2,295 2% Canada 141, , , , ,988 0% Notes: F: Too unreliable to be published. N/A: Not applicable. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table ) Production by province (tonnes) % change 2015/14 Newfoundland and Labrador 4,082 3,992 F F F N/A Prince Edward Island 1,111,755 1,101,504 1,134,389 1,144,867 1,127,177 2% Nova Scotia 20,865 18,960 20,412 22,090 14,969 32% New Brunswick 539, , , , ,925 6% Quebec 510, , , , ,023 16% Ontario 289, , , , ,513 3% Manitoba 793, , , , ,120 12% Saskatchewan 88,904 73,709 81,102 67,449 68,039 1% Alberta 745, , , , ,073 3% British Columbia 86,092 87,317 77,474 70,896 70,534 1% Canada 4,189,924 4,569,535 4,644,015 4,565,589 4,780,047 5% Notes: F: Too unreliable to be published. N/A: Not applicable. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table ) 7

13 Average yield by province (tonnes per harvested hectare) % change 2015/14 Newfoundland and Labrador F F F N/A Prince Edward Island % Nova Scotia % New Brunswick % Quebec % Ontario % Manitoba % Saskatchewan % Alberta % British Columbia % Canada % Notes: F: Too unreliable to be published. N/A: Not applicable. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table ) 8

14 1.3. Top 50 registered seed potato varieties grown in Canada, total area accepted in 2015 (hectares) NFL PEI NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC Total Russet Burbank , , ,680 Goldrush ,825 Shepody Norland Prospect Atlantic Ranger Russet HO Kennebec Superior Chieftain Eva Russet Norkotah Innovator Yukon Gold Envol Umatilla Russet Ac Chaleur Dakota Pearl Baby Boomer Bintje Sangre Piccolo Snowden Cal White Milva Viking Classic Russet Sifra Red Pontiac Yukon Gem Red La Soda Vivaldi Darkred Chieftain Gemstar Russet Colomba Fabula Agata Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Potatoes Section cont d 9

15 1.3. Top 50 registered seed potato varieties grown in Canada, total area accepted in 2015 (hectares) (cont d) NFL PEI NS NB QC ON MB SK AB BC Total Andover Modoc Pacific Russet Alturas IPMABR Monticello Tebina Lady Claire Adora Mystère Vigor Ac Peregrine Red Total top 50 registered varieties 18 5, ,847 2, , , ,933 Total other varieties , ,072 TOTAL ALL 23 6, ,063 2, ,446 1,191 4, ,006 Note: 1. Other varieties included nonregistered varieties, varieties grown on smaller hectarage and varieties that were not approved for release by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency Representative. Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Potatoes Section 1.4. Total area (hectares) accepted of registered seed varieties grown in Canada five year average (5year average) Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island 6,952 8,081 6,801 7,173 6,578 7,117 Nova Scotia New Brunswick 4,224 4,374 4,067 3,997 4,063 4,145 Quebec 2,586 2,808 2,732 2,687 2,798 2,722 Ontario Manitoba 2,928 3,223 2,762 2,294 2,446 2,731 Saskatchewan 1,213 1,187 1,182 1,199 1,191 1,194 Alberta 4,297 4,353 4,232 4,040 4,325 4,250 British Columbia Total 22,957 24,868 22,623 22,056 22,006 22,902 Source: Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Potatoes Section 10

16 Hundreds of metric tonnes 2. Canadian potato storage holdings 2.1. Canadian potato storage by province 1 (hundreds of metric tonnes) Province Nov14 Dec14 Jan15 Feb15 Mar15 Apr15 May15 Jun15 Prince Edward Island 10,529 9,197 8,235 7,276 6,373 5,436 4,397 2,639 New Brunswick 5,233 4,787 4,359 3,851 3,368 2,844 2,335 1,228 Total Maritimes 15,762 13,984 12,594 11,126 9,741 8,280 6,731 3,867 Quebec 4,170 3,872 3,471 3,031 2,602 2,121 1, Ontario 2,685 2,481 2,187 1,724 1, Manitoba 6,811 6,065 5,874 5,061 4,329 3,440 2,249 1,565 Alberta 7,496 6,859 6,310 5,471 4,724 3,432 2,329 1,471 Total Prairies 14,306 12,925 12,184 10,532 9,053 6,872 4,578 3,036 British Columbia Total Canada 37,350 33,618 30,716 26,627 22,957 18,324 13,514 8,008 Notes: 1. Storage data for Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia and Saskatchewan are not available. This table provides data by province across Canada as reported by the storage operators and represents volumes as of the first of each month from November to June. Source: AAFC (Infohort) 2.2. Canadian Potato Storage 2014/2015 Canadian potato storage 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Source: AAFC (Infohort) 11

17 2.3. Intended utilization of potatoes by province (hundreds of metric tonnes) Prince Edward Island New Quebec Ontario Manitoba Alberta British Brunswick Columbia Fresh 2, , Nov14 Processed 6,796 3,269 1,411 1,685 5,318 5, Seed 1, , Fresh 2, , Dec14 Processed 5,625 2,950 1,268 1,561 4,703 5, Seed , Fresh 2, , Jan15 Processed 5,025 2,678 1,121 1,390 4,576 4, Seed , Fresh 1, , Feb15 Processed 4,419 2, ,114 3,891 4, Seed , Fresh 1, , Mar15 Processed 3,878 1, ,270 3, Seed , Fresh 1, , Apr15 Processed 3,362 1, ,634 2,588 2 Seed Fresh May15 Processed 2,759 1, ,061 2,002 Seed Fresh Jun15 Processed 2, ,444 1,410 Seed Note: This table is done in conjunction with the storage holdings and indicates the intended utilization as reported by the storage operators of either the fresh market, seed market or processing market. The storage operator's intent may change during the month depending on the demand. Source: AAFC (Infohort) 12

18 2.4. Percentage of intended utilization of potatoes total Intended utilization of potatoes Seed 13% Fresh 21% Processed 66% Note: Storage holdings as of November 1, Source: AAFC (Infohort) 2.5. Percentage of intended utilization of potato by province % Fresh % Processed % Seed Prince Edward Island 26% 65% 10% New Brunswick 19% 62% 19% Quebec 55% 34% 12% Ontario 34% 63% 3% Manitoba 10% 78% 12% Alberta 4% 80% 16% British Columbia 57% 17% 26% Note: Details of intended utilization are not available for Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Saskatchewan, and have therefore not been used in this section. Source: AAFC (Infohort) 13

19 3. Revenue 3.1. Potato receipts (CAN$ 000) % change 2054/14 Newfoundland and Labrador 1,859 1,743 2,042 1,625 1,396 14% Prince Edward Island 257, , , , ,837 4% Nova Scotia 5,506 5,151 5,378 5,670 3,985 30% New Brunswick 141, , , , ,876 0% Quebec 143, , , , ,694 7% Ontario 96,637 90,343 99, , ,068 3% Manitoba 168, , , , ,642 6% Saskatchewan 39,213 33,666 23,529 24,676 23,573 4% Alberta 142, , , , ,694 3% British Columbia 32,581 37,279 34,055 30,584 28,946 5% Canada 1,028,375 1,006,920 1,032,364 1,050,404 1,038,711 1% Note: Potato receipts refer to market receipts or farm cash receipts, excluding program payments. They represent the income received from the sale of potatoes. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table ) 14

20 4. Prices 4.1. Canadian potato farm average prices (CAN$ per tonne) Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Canada Note: : Not available. Source: Statistics Canada, Farm Income and Prices 15

21 4.2. Monthly summary of daily wholesale to retail market prices Toronto market Red Bag 50 Lbs Red Bag 10 Lbs Russet Bag 10x5 Lbs White Ctn 50 Lbs White Bag 10 Lbs Yukon Gold Bag 10 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $2.60 $2.50 $2.25 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $1.25 $1.25 $1.25 $18.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $23.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $2.25 $2.00 $2.00 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $2.00 $2.00 $2.60 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $1.80 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $24.00 $3.40 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $2.60 $18.00 $18.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $28.00 $28.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 $31.00 $3.25 $2.75 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.50 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $3.25 $3.00 $2.75 $2.50 $2.25 $2.25 $2.70 $2.70 $2.25 $2.25 $2.25 $2.25 $3.25 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Daily wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported on a daily basis from Monday to Friday. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 16

22 Montreal market Red Ctn 10x5 Lbs Red Bag 10 Lbs White Bag 10x5 Lbs Yellow Bag 10x5 Lbs Yukon Gold Ctn 10x5 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $17.50 $15.00 $12.35 $15.50 $13.50 $13.50 $13.00 $13.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $16.00 $3.00 $1.95 $1.85 $1.90 $1.80 $1.90 $1.95 $2.10 $2.10 $1.95 $1.60 $1.60 $18.50 $12.50 $12.50 $12.50 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 $17.50 $12.50 $12.50 $15.00 $15.00 $14.00 $14.00 $18.00 $13.00 $13.00 $12.00 $12.00 $18.00 $13.00 $13.00 $13.00 $13.00 $13.50 $13.50 $13.00 $13.00 $13.00 $12.00 $12.00 $26.40 $26.40 $24.75 $24.25 $24.25 $23.00 $24.25 $24.25 $21.25 $24.75 $24.75 $24.75 $4.50 $4.50 $2.85 $2.85 $2.85 $2.10 $2.10 $2.30 $2.25 $2.55 $2.55 $4.35 $29.00 $20.30 $15.50 $15.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $21.00 $27.75 $27.75 $24.75 $24.75 $24.75 $24.75 $24.75 $24.75 $22.00 $21.25 $21.25 $21.25 $23.00 $21.00 $15.50 $15.50 $15.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $13.50 $14.50 $16.50 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Daily wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported on a daily basis from Monday to Friday. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 17

23 4.3. Monthly summary of weekly wholesale to retail market prices Vancouver market Red Ctn 50 Lbs Russet Ctn 10x5 Lbs White Ctn 50 Lbs Yukon Gold Ctn 50 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $20.50 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 $20.75 $22.75 $22.75 $16.25 $16.25 $16.25 $16.25 $16.25 $15.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $19.50 $14.00 $21.75 $21.75 $21.75 $21.75 $21.75 $21.75 $21.75 $23.00 $23.00 $23.00 $23.00 $21.70 $21.70 $21.70 $21.70 $20.75 $20.75 $20.75 $20.75 $20.75 $24.10 $24.10 $24.10 $17.40 $17.40 $17.40 $17.40 $17.40 $18.30 $18.30 $18.30 $18.30 $18.30 $18.30 $29.77 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.75 $22.90 $22.90 $23.75 $23.75 $23.75 $23.50 $23.25 $25.25 $25.25 $25.25 $25.25 $25.25 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Wholesale asking prices shown as not available are due to a lack or limited number of collaborating wholesalers quoting prices for the time period and market in question. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 18

24 Calgary market Bakers Ctn 50 Lbs 100 Red Ctn 50 Lbs Red Ctn 10x5 Lbs Red Bag 5x10 Lbs Russet Bag 5x10 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $15.00 $14.75 $15.25 $15.50 $15.50 $16.00 $16.00 $16.00 $16.00 $16.00 $16.00 $16.00 $26.34 $22.75 $22.75 $17.50 $17.50 $17.50 $24.75 $24.75 $28.50 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $12.00 $22.85 $23.25 $21.25 $22.25 $22.25 $21.50 $21.50 $21.50 $21.50 $21.50 $16.95 $16.95 $17.00 $17.00 $17.00 $16.50 $16.50 $16.50 $14.00 $14.00 $17.55 $16.15 $21.50 $21.50 $18.50 $18.95 $18.95 $21.50 $19.95 $26.95 $26.95 $26.95 $26.95 $26.95 $28.25 $26.75 $27.50 $31.50 $17.50 $31.75 $24.95 $30.50 $30.00 $22.95 $22.95 $22.95 $22.95 $22.95 $21.50 $29.50 $24.25 $24.25 $26.95 $23.95 $23.50 $23.50 $22.95 $22.95 $23.00 $23.54 $22.25 $28.50 $18.25 $18.25 $18.25 $17.50 $17.50 $17.50 $17.25 $17.25 $19.50 $19.50 $18.95 $18.95 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Wholesale asking prices shown as not available are due to a lack or limited number of collaborating wholesalers quoting prices for the time period and market in question. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 19

25 Regina market Red Yukon Gold Ctn 20 Lbs Bag 50 Lbs Lge $5.23 $28.35 Aug2014 $5.29 $55.95 $6.50 $67.39 Sep2014 $7.70 $69.99 $6.00 $29.05 Oct2014 $7.70 $37.19 $6.00 $27.75 Nov2014 $6.00 $27.75 $6.00 $27.75 Dec2014 $6.00 $30.65 $6.00 $23.75 Jan2015 $6.00 $36.65 $5.20 $23.75 Feb2015 $6.00 $36.25 $5.20 $25.89 Mar2015 $5.20 $25.89 $5.20 $33.79 Apr2015 $5.20 $34.49 $5.20 $34.49 May2015 $5.20 $38.55 $5.20 $38.65 Jun2015 $5.20 $38.65 $5.20 $54.55 Jul2015 $5.30 $56.05 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 20

26 Winnipeg market Red Ctn 50 Lbs Red Bag 5x10 Lbs Russet Bag 5x10 Lbs Russet Ctn 50 Lbs Lge Yellow Bag 10x5 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $14.50 $14.85 $15.95 $16.00 $17.99 $13.99 $14.50 $14.50 $17.90 $22.85 $23.40 $21.25 $22.25 $22.25 $22.25 $22.25 $22.25 $22.25 $18.25 $18.25 $18.25 $17.00 $17.00 $16.95 $16.95 $17.25 $14.99 $17.50 $19.16 $19.16 $19.16 $19.16 $16.00 $16.00 $24.27 $24.27 $24.27 $23.54 $24.84 $19.00 $32.69 $25.55 $24.27 $24.27 $24.84 $24.84 $24.84 $24.84 $24.84 $52.30 $26.83 $26.83 $24.27 $24.27 $56.95 $56.95 $23.54 $23.54 $23.54 $19.80 $19.80 $19.80 $18.52 $17.89 $17.89 $18.31 $18.31 $19.61 $19.16 $19.16 $19.16 $19.16 $22.23 $22.23 $22.23 $25.55 $24.27 $24.27 $31.75 $31.75 $32.69 $37.92 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Wholesale asking prices shown as not available are due to a lack or limited number of collaborating wholesalers quoting prices for the time period and market in question. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 21

27 Halifax market Red Ctn 10x5 Lbs Round White Bag 10 Lbs White Bag 50 Lbs Sml White Bag 50 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $19.00 $15.00 $16.00 $15.50 $19.00 $19.00 $19.00 $24.25 $22.00 $22.00 $22.00 $3.25 $3.25 $1.85 $1.85 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $26.00 $17.50 $17.50 $17.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $10.25 $10.25 $10.25 $15.00 $11.00 $14.50 $15.00 $10.25 $10.25 $10.25 $10.25 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $23.00 $23.25 $16.00 $20.25 $20.25 $19.00 $24.25 $24.25 $24.25 $22.00 $22.00 $5.50 $4.75 $3.25 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $2.75 $4.00 $26.00 $26.00 $17.50 $17.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $14.50 $10.25 $10.25 $21.00 $21.00 $15.50 $15.00 $10.25 $10.25 $10.25 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $14.00 $25.00 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Wholesale asking prices shown as not available are due to a lack or limited number of collaborating wholesalers quoting prices for the time period and market in question. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 22

28 St. John's market Red Ctn 10x5 Lbs Red Bag 10 Lbs White Bag 10 Lbs Yellow Bag 10 Lbs Yellow Ctn 10x5 Lbs Aug2014 Sep2014 Oct2014 Nov2014 Dec2014 Jan2015 Feb2015 Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $5.30 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $30.00 $30.00 $30.00 $30.00 $30.00 $30.00 $32.00 $5.30 $5.30 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $3.10 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 $28.00 Notes: Ctn: Carton. Prices are based on Canada No. 1 grade potatoes. Wholesale asking prices shown as not available are due to a lack or limited number of collaborating wholesalers quoting prices for the time period and market in question. Weekly wholesale to retail market prices refer to markets where prices are reported once a week. This data is not comparable across markets as varieties, package sizes (unity quantity) and origin may differ. Source: Infohort (AAFC) 23

29 5. Potato availability 5.1. Potatoes available in Canada 1,2 (kilograms per person) Potatoeschips Potatoeschips, fresh equivalent Potatoesfrozen Potatoesfrozen, fresh equivalent Potatoesother processed Potatoesother processed, fresh equivalent Potatoestotal processed Potatoestotal processed, fresh equivalent Potatoeswhite fresh 3, Potatoeswhite fresh, fresh equivalent 3, Potatoeswhite fresh and processed, fresh equivalent 3, Notes: 1. Does not adjust for losses, such as waste and/or spoilage, in stores, households, private institutions or restaurants or losses during preparation. 2. In retail weight unless otherwise specified. 3. Import and export data for "potatoes white" processed products have been converted to fresh. 4. Manufacture data for "potatoes white" includes potatoes used for seed. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table Food available in Canada, annual (kilograms per person, per year unless otherwise noted)) 24

30 Consumption (kilogram per person) 5.2. Potatoes available in Canada 10 yeartrend Potatoes available Year Note: Potatoeswhite fresh and processed, fresh equivalent. Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM Table Food available in Canada, annual (kilograms per person, per year unless otherwise noted)) 25

31 6. Trade 6.1. Canadian potatoes trade balance (CAN$) Exports Imports Trade balance (exports imports) 2010/ / / / /15 Fresh potatoes 179,467, ,811, ,836, ,200, ,447,745 Seed potatoes 38,786,153 38,533,741 34,698,712 39,630,342 36,237,976 Frozen potatoes 797,667, ,767, ,144, ,981,209 1,055,928,608 Processed potatoes 85,937,973 79,688,652 75,148,083 83,021, ,854,197 Total exports 1,101,859,560 1,133,801,408 1,148,827,981 1,285,834,183 1,363,468,526 Fresh potatoes 113,173, ,969,017 99,639,709 99,641,987 97,639,995 Seed potatoes 3,685,657 4,081,916 3,767,654 3,216,899 3,548,482 Frozen potatoes 108,859,630 97,221,381 97,537,307 83,188,727 98,244,618 Processed potatoes 140,563, ,040, ,546, ,594, ,594,969 Total imports 366,282, ,312, ,490, ,642, ,028,064 Fresh potatoes 66,294,320 48,842,892 20,197,196 92,558,894 67,807,750 Seed potatoes 35,100,496 34,451,825 30,931,058 36,413,443 32,689,494 Frozen potatoes 688,808, ,545, ,606, ,792, ,683,990 Processed potatoes 54,625,702 80,351,413 74,398,146 72,573,229 58,740,772 Overall trade balance 735,577, ,489, ,337, ,191, ,440,462 Notes: Fresh potatoes do not include seed potatoes. Frozen potatoes include uncooked potatoes, potatoes cooked by steaming or boiling water, prepared or preserved potatoes (other than by vinegar or acetic acid) in the frozen state. Processed potatoes include potato chips; potato starch, flakes, granules and pellets; potato flour, meal and powder; and dried potatoes. 26

32 6.2. Canadian potato exports Fresh Monthly fresh potato exports, value (CAN$) August 5,350,150 7,618,088 3,951,604 7,058,713 4,704,994 September 7,349,067 10,055,495 4,547,671 11,154,933 7,597,318 October 12,904,608 14,134,234 9,308,538 18,326,495 15,842,892 November 18,056,943 23,952,346 15,026,535 21,328,791 16,838,522 December 17,033,030 16,006,011 10,589,933 16,539,683 16,544,102 January 22,580,950 15,393,576 11,097,799 20,369,690 18,645,476 February 16,470,700 15,356,595 10,180,579 19,724,790 16,946,469 March 21,583,105 16,759,648 16,802,622 22,540,374 18,065,091 April 20,391,471 13,468,826 10,865,747 18,239,229 19,137,708 May 16,958,155 10,320,389 11,248,749 15,017,030 10,720,629 June 14,425,015 5,336,074 7,907,016 14,305,439 12,103,077 July 6,364,462 3,410,627 8,310,112 7,595,714 8,301,467 Total 179,467, ,811, ,836, ,200, ,447,745 Note: Does not include seed potatoes Monthly fresh potato exports, volume (tonnes) August 13,255 20,220 9,561 14,744 8,439 September 17,792 22,257 12,603 26,620 14,265 October 31,173 30,794 23,986 37,029 30,270 November 46,528 49,348 38,821 45,440 34,761 December 46,760 34,925 28,124 38,883 34,768 January 87,974 37,970 33,631 47,479 38,435 February 45,217 38,185 28,731 46,912 35,453 March 59,793 39,361 46,060 53,951 36,958 April 58,335 34,281 32,912 49,135 42,489 May 50,320 28,725 37,715 46,324 24,007 June 44,896 13,520 20,460 44,874 31,152 July 13,956 10,558 18,724 19,331 18,932 Total 515, , , , ,929 Note: Does not include seed potatoes. 27

33 Fresh potato exports by province, value (CAN$) Newfoundland and Labrador ,792 0 Prince Edward Island 74,704,186 60,874,580 45,255,970 65,569,953 57,921,930 Nova Scotia 305,022 44, , , ,845 New Brunswick 51,791,177 35,914,475 27,533,181 38,152,780 34,448,459 Quebec 15,331,814 17,557,207 9,970,225 18,454,234 13,473,291 Ontario 17,330,973 13,763,605 15,704,319 20,973,599 13,421,912 Manitoba 18,755,490 19,522,415 18,108,059 40,917,048 30,847,184 Saskatchewan 240, ,246 36, ,130 2,657,712 Alberta 239,801 1,741, ,892 3,934,855 9,079,280 British Columbia 768,754 2,149,604 2,194,362 3,129,217 3,478,132 Canada 179,467, ,811, ,836, ,200, ,447,745 Note: Does not include seed potatoes Fresh potato exports by province, volume (tonnes) Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island 209, , , , ,530 Nova Scotia New Brunswick 133,361 77,404 67,509 74,153 69,297 Quebec 37,525 41,534 26,216 39,682 28,908 Ontario 71,872 47,561 55,783 67,146 45,204 Manitoba 60,201 62,337 62, ,502 72,933 Saskatchewan ,821 Alberta ,579 7,335 5,516 British Columbia 2,125 5,214 4,707 4,195 4,475 Canada 515, , , , ,929 Note: Does not include seed potatoes. 28

34 Fresh potato exporting provinces percent share Fresh potato exporting provinces 2014/2015 value Manitoba 19% Quebec 8% Ontario 8% New Brunswick 21% Others 9% Source: Statistics Canada (CATSNet, March 2015) Prince Edward Island 35% 29

35 Fresh potato export destinations, value (CAN$) United States 141,586, ,884,641 97,982, ,285, ,585,436 Indonesia 5,424,215 5,098,656 6,717,130 8,191,290 6,234,329 Thailand 4,367,218 6,830,420 4,486,483 3,691,510 4,167,538 Trinidad and Tobago 7,651, ,075 5,310,277 3,441,350 3,206,448 Guatemala 968, ,990 1,901,890 1,539,784 Others 19,468,957 2,769,117 4,727,037 6,688,843 1,714,210 Total 179,467, ,811, ,836, ,200, ,447,745 Note: Does not include seed potatoes Fresh potato export destinations, volume (tonnes) United States 393, , , , ,299 Indonesia 11,984 9,289 14,285 17,108 11,480 Thailand 10,090 11,119 10,291 7,999 8,960 Trinidad and Tobago 21,598 2,610 13,631 6,484 9,761 Guatemala 2, ,060 3,720 2,472 Others 77,143 7,445 12,792 14,095 3,957 Total 515, , , , ,929 Note: Does not include seed potatoes. 30

36 Seed Monthly seed potato exports, value (CAN$) August , September 29, ,958 44, October 3,161, , , , ,697 November 3,193,938 3,309,511 2,451,521 2,867,148 3,708,322 December 3,279,342 3,564,759 3,491,310 3,585,083 3,303,962 January 4,727,100 6,820,741 3,860,322 3,447,974 2,831,460 February 4,029,803 4,999,995 6,314,697 4,703,821 4,109,498 March 7,758,177 6,999,889 5,025,499 7,598,625 6,866,360 April 7,755,882 9,445,888 8,793,466 10,467,978 9,624,955 May 3,952,901 2,854,922 4,011,774 5,594,459 4,931,156 June 445, , , , ,330 July 452, ,215 32, Total 38,786,153 38,533,741 34,698,712 39,630,342 36,237, Monthly seed potato exports, volume (tonnes) August September October 7, , November 7,265 6,209 5,436 6,008 7,096 December 6,292 8,578 7,642 7,454 7,109 January 12,274 18,280 8,944 7,612 6,824 February 10,927 12,101 15,107 9,837 9,262 March 21,422 16,318 12,675 16,022 14,672 April 23,338 23,379 21,684 22,808 20,018 May 10,207 6,883 8,950 11,796 9,754 June 1, , July 1, Total 101,908 92,726 81,843 84,235 76,474 31