World of sugar PAGE 54

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Transcription:

World of sugar More than 1 countries produce sugar, about 8% of which is made from sugar cane grown primarily in the tropical and sub-tropical zones of the southern hemisphere, and the balance from sugar beet which is grown mainly in the temperate zones of the northern hemisphere. Generally, the costs of producing sugar from sugar cane are lower than those in respect of processing sugar beets. Currently, 7% of the world s sugar is consumed in the countries of origin, whilst the balance is traded on world markets. (Source: ED&F Man - 28/9, /Sep basis.) United States of America Mexico Cuba Cane Beet Guatemala Colombia Chile Argentina Production Exports Population Per capita consumption In the accompanying tables, production and exports are measured in millions of tons (raw value), population in millions and per capita consumption in kilograms. (#) denotes that country s ranking in terms of world exports. BRAZIL INDIA CHINA THAILAND 38.33 23.8 (1 ) 198 8 1.3.237 (1 ) 1 1 19 1.8.77 (9 ) 3 13.87 1 338 1 7.717. (2 ) 3 ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 PAGE

Russia Japan Persian Gulf Pakistan China Zimbabwe South Africa Mauritius Reunion Fiji Production Exports Population Per capita consumption UNITED STATES MEXICO AUSTRALIA PAKISTAN.92 37 29.71.77 (9) 111 9.39 1.793 () 139 19.81.22 (3) 21.239 17 23 ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 PAGE

World of sugar continued 29 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS The world sugar year runs fron September to August WORLD SUGAR PRODUCTION WORLD SUGAR CONSUMPTION 2 2 1 1 1 1 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 years years Global sugar production in 28/9 is forecast at 17 million tons which, compared to the previous season, will represent an 8% production decrease, the largest annual reduction on record. Significant production declines have occurred amongst leading sugar producers, including and the. Global sugar consumption growth increases by about 2% per annum and in 28/9 is forecast to reach 11. TOP SUGAR PRODUCERS 28/9 China Mexico Pakistan TOP SUGAR EXPORTERS 28/9 Guatemala Colombia Cuba Mexico 1 1 2 2 3 3 8 12 1 2 2 The top ten producers account for around 7% of global production. About 7% of world sugar production is expected to be consumed in the countries of origin, with the balance traded on world markets. remains the world's dominant exporter of sugar and in 28/9 is forecast to export 23.7. ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 PAGE

US cents per pound 19 18 17 1 1 1 13 12 11 1 9 8 7 Apr 1 1 Jan Apr 1 2 2 Jan Apr 2 2 3 3 WORLD RAW SUGAR PRICE 3 Jan Apr 3 Prices: Monthly trading range Price at month end Jan Apr Jan Apr Jan Apr 7 7 7 7 Jan 8 Apr 8 8 Jan 8 8 9 19 18 17 1 1 1 13 12 11 1 9 8 7 The world sugar price rose in June 28 as a result of a forecast deficit in global production, but then weakened in line with other commodities. However, in recent months the price increased strongly, driven by significant production declines in major sugar producing countries, most notably. This has resulted in a material global deficit in production being anticipated, thereby creating a platform for higher sugar prices. PREFERENTIAL PRICES (FREE ON BOARD) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION 28/9 US cents per pound 3 2 2 1 1 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 est ACP EBA / LDC World China Whilst prices have decreased as a result of the recent sugar regime reform in that region, they still remain at a significant premium to the world sugar price. A uniform price is paid for both ACP (African, Caribbean and Pacific) and EBA / LDC (Everything But Arms / Least Developed Country) sugar protocol exports. 1 2 3 kilograms per annum Prospects for long-term consumption growth in Southern African countries remain good. DOMESTIC RETAIL SUGAR PRICES 28/9 Japan France United Kingdom Argentina 1 2 3 7 8 9 1 US cents per pound ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 Sugar prices in the n Customs Union remain substantially below those of some developed nations. PAGE 7

World of sugar continued SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY STATISTICS The sugar season runs from April to March SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY EXPORT MARKETS countries Angola Botswana D R Congo Lesotho Madagascar Mauritius Namibia Seychelles Zimbabwe Sugar producers 3. 2. 2. 1. 1.. 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Europe World Exports to premium-priced markets in the and are very important to sugar producing countries. LOCAL CONSUMPTION SUGAR PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY. 3. 3. 2. 2. 1. 3 2 1.. 1 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Zimbabwe 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Mauritius Zimbabwe Others Annual sugar consumption across the region was forecast to remain above 3.. Approximately.2 of sugar was estimated to be produced by countries in 28/9. ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 PAGE 8

SOUTH AFRICAN CUSTOMS UNION STATISTICS The Southern African sugar season runs from April to March CANE PRODUCTION SUGAR PRODUCTION AND MARKETS 3 2 3. 3. 2 1 1. 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2. 2. 1. 1. Local - Local - Export - Export - Total cane production in the SACU region amounted to 2.2, slightly lower than that of the previous season due primarily to weather related factors. 2 CANE PRODUCTION SOUTH AFRICAN STATISTICS The export availability of both and was again marginally reduced due to increased domestic sales. 3. SUGAR PRODUCTION AND MARKETS 2 2. 1 1 2. 1. 1.. 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Large-scale growers Small-scale growers Local Export Milling companies Cane production in 28/9 amounted to 19.2, representing a marginal reduction compared to the previous season due to drier growing conditions. However, over the longer term, annual production is also being affected by the employment of traditional cane growing regions for other uses and by the uncertainty created by unsettled land claims. Sugar production of 2.3 in was similar to last year, benefiting from conducive conditions during the crushing season. CONSUMER MARKET SALES INDUSTRIAL MARKET SALES 1 8 tons tons 3 2 2 1 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Wholesale Chain stores Other Minerals/squashes Bakers/food processors Sweets Other Domestic sales growth continued in 28/9, despite the increased presence of duty-paid imports in this sector of the market. Good demand from manufacturers of sugar-containing products during 28/9 resulted in increased industrial sales. ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT 29 PAGE 9

ILLOVO GROUP STATISTICS The group sold its operation in the in 2. CANE PRODUCTION 2 RAW MATERIAL THROUGHPUT (including private growers) 3 2 1 1 1 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Irrigated Rainfed Overall, the agricultural operations performed well, with record cane production achieved at both estates in, and increased sucrose content recorded in all countries of operation except. Cane deliveries in were negatively impacted by factory operating difficulties and an exceptionally wet end to the season. Approximately % of cane throughput supplied by the group s own agricultural operations and by private growers is cultivated under irrigation. Excluding, this percentage increases to 91%. 2 SUGAR PRODUCTION 2 GROUP MARKETS 2 2 tons 1 1 tons 1 1 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 Domestic Preferential Regional World Record sugar production was achieved in and. Unfortunately, disappointing factory performance and very wet weather at the end of the season in, impacted on overall sugar production of 1.82. The group supplies sugar products to domestic, preferential, regional and world markets. A significant strength of the group was that 7% of sugar production by volume and 91% by value was sold into the domestic or premium-priced export markets. tons 1 2 1 8 2 Refined sugar production ILLOVO SHARE OF INDUSTRY PRODUCTION 2/3 3/ / / /7 7/8 8/9 % 2% Illovo % % 8% 1% Industry Group refined sugar production in 28/9 amounted around, slightly below that of the previous season due to reduced output in and. Consistant with its Strategic Intent, Illovo commands a significant share of production in each of the countries in which it operates. PAGE