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Foreign Agricultural Service GAIN Report Global Agriculture Information Network Voluntary Report - public distribution Date: 5/26/2000 China, Peoples Republic of GAIN Report #CH0612 Trade data - Multiple commodities only Hong Kong Re-exports of U.S. Consumer Oriented Agricultural Products to China: 1999 2000 Prepared by: Samuel Wong, U.S. Consulate Guangzhou Drafted by: John D. Rutledge Report Highlights: Hong Kong re-exports of U.S. consumer-oriented agricultural products to China during the year 1999 decreased in value compared to the same period a year ago, but increased in quantity compared to 1998. Includes PSD changes: No Includes Trade Matrix: No Unscheduled Report Guangzhou [CH3], CH

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 1 of 8 Hong Kong re-exports of U.S. consumer-oriented agricultural products to China during the year 1999 decreased in value compared to the same period a year ago, but increased in quantity compared to 1998. The percentage decrease in value was 14 percent, while the increase in quantity was only 2.4 percent. Re-exports of U.S. products almost perfectly matched the trend of all countries consumer oriented agricultural product re-exports which also fell in value and rose in quantity. Poultry meat remains the leading re-export from the U.S. and showed substantial increases in both value and quantity during 1999 compared to a year ago, value up 16 percent and quantity 35 percent. Accounting for the increases in poultry meat and some other products re-exports was pre-chinese New Year holiday seasonal purchasing which is always large a couple of months before the holiday. Lastly, the statistics continue to show that the U.S. remains China s major country supplier through re-export channels, while Thailand and the Netherlands are a distant second. Poultry meat was not the only Hong Kong re-export to China product category in which U.S. values and quantities increased during 1999 in comparison to 1998. Hong Kong re-exports to China from the U.S. rose in value and quantity for snack foods, processed breakfast foods, and pet foods. The value of nursery product re-exports also rose, but information on the change in quantity is unavailable. U.S. fresh vegetable re-export quantity increased, but its value fell. Hong Kong re-exports from the U.S. to China declined in both value and quantity for nine of the 15 general consumer-oriented agricultural product categories. Eggs and products, fresh fruit, and beer and wine all showed large percentage decreases. The overall situation for Hong Kong re-exports to China from all origins was approximately the same as for the U.S., value down 14 percent and quantity up three percent, but individual category changes differed. The biggest difference was that, while the quantity and value for overall snack food re-exports were down, for the U.S. they rose. In addition, while values and quantities for both U.S. origin red meats and tree nuts both declined, the values and quantities of overall red meat and treenut re-exports were mixed. Hong Kong re-exports from all origins to China declined in both value and quantity for only eight of the 15 general consumer-oriented agricultural product categories. Pre-Chinese New Year holiday buying was the main cause for an increase in the quantity of high value consumer product re-exports to China. However, this tradition purchasing pattern did not help all categories, even with products that have become holiday staples. Fresh fruit and tree nuts both faired poorly during 1999 compared to 1998. Overall tree nut re-exports did show an increase in quantity, but a drop in value. Overall fresh fruit re-exports were down in terms of both value and quantity. Although China s economy improved during 1999, local consumers continued to show a willingness to decrease their quality expectations in favor of lower prices. This situation probably helped domestic fresh fruit and groundnut sales to the detriment of imported equivalents. The U.S. during 1999 retained its position as the main source of high value consumer product re-exports to China, accounting for 44 percent of value and 49 percent of quantity. The U.S. was the major source in each of the top three categories of consumer-oriented agricultural products: poultry meat, red meats, and fresh fruit. These categories accounted for 61 percent of the total value and 75 percent of the total quantity of all Hong Kong re-exports of consumer oriented agricultural products. Aside from the U.S., the top five sources of Hong Kong re-exports of consumer-oriented agricultural products in 1999 also included Thailand, the Netherlands, Brazil, and Canada. Thailand s contribution to the total was 5.5 percent of value and 9.3 percent of quantity, while for the Netherlands 5.8 percent of value and 5.6 percent of quantity. Brazil s and Canada s value and quantity percentages were smaller. Re-exports originating from Thailand mostly were fresh

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 2 of 8 fruit, while re-exports originating from the Netherlands were mainly poultry meat and red meats. Note: For this report, after re-evaluation of trade calculation methodologies, the method used to calculate Hong Kong Re-exports of pet food was changed in order to exclude products that might not completely fit the consumer oriented product definition. Hong Kong Re-exports of U.S. Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products to China 1998 and 1999 (January 1 to December 31) (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) 1998 1998 1999 1999 Percentage Change Snack Foods 3,545 1,208 3,664 1,557 3% 29% Breakfast Foods, Processed 872 341 1,286 654 47% 92% Red Meats 64,523 47,532 51,808 43,800-20% -8% Poultry Meat 316,562 408,845 368,221 553,200 16% 35% Dairy Products 30,843 15,923 28,109 15,102-9% -5% Eggs & Products 2,247 56 269 26-88% -54% Fresh Fruit 111,837 135,463 39,329 50,254-65% -63% Fresh Vegetables 4,912 6,974 4,783 7,341-3% 5% Processed Fruit & Vegetables 57,572 36,899 35,145 29,924-39% -19% Fruit & Vegetable Juices 3,288 3,817 3,225 3,594-2% -6% Tree Nuts 37,842 13,001 32,372 12,699-14% -2% Wine & Beer 25,958 31,845 4,576 5,077-82% -84% Nursery Products 266 N.A. 1,170 N.A. 340% N.A. Pet Food 314 267 1,383 406 340% 52% Other Consumer Products 50,566 20,979 38,507 16,932-24% -19% TOTAL 707,602 721,942 610,183 739,009-14% 2.4% TOTAL, ex. Poultry 391,040 313,097 241,962 185,809-38% -41% NOTE: Format is the same one used for USDA/FAS 'Bico' Reports. Total volumes exclude Nursery Products' volumes, because they are unavailable.

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 3 of 8 Hong Kong Re-exports of Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products to China U.S. Amounts versus Totals from All Origins 1999, January 1 to December 31 (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) U.S. U.S. All Origins All Origins U.S. Percentage of Totals from All Origins Snack Foods 3,664 1,557 60,887 26,532 6% 6% Breakfast Foods, Processed 1,286 654 2,595 2,552 50% 26% Red Meats 51,808 43,800 169,494 182,080 31% 24% Poultry Meat 368,221 553,200 557,960 772,067 66% 72% Dairy Products 28,109 15,102 127,233 62,527 22% 24% Eggs & Products 269 26 7,205 117 4% 22% Fresh Fruit 39,329 50,254 126,993 183,119 31% 27% Fresh Vegetables 4,783 7,341 5,997 8,895 80% 83% Processed Fruit & Vegetables 35,145 29,924 91,332 126,178 38% 24% Fruit & Vegetable Juices 3,225 3,594 6,775 5,956 48% 60% Tree Nuts 32,372 12,699 68,749 40,785 47% 31% Wine & Beer 4,576 5,077 29,073 20,684 16% 25% Nursery Products 1,170 N.A. 10,834 N.A. 11% N.A. Pet Food 1,383 406 3,418 2,058 40% 20% Other Consumer Products 38,507 16,932 137,625 81,799 28% 21% TOTAL 613,847 740,566 1,406,170 1,515,349 44% 49% TOTAL, ex. Poultry 245,626 187,366 848,210 743,282 29% 25% NOTE: Format is the same one used for USDA/FAS 'Bico' Reports. Total volumes exclude Nursery Products' volumes, because they are unavailable.

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 4 of 8 Hong Kong Re-exports of Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products to China, All Origins 1998 and 1999 (January 1 to December 31) (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) 1998 1998 1999 1999 Percentage Change Snack Foods 92,435 36,590 60,887 26,532-34% -27% Breakfast Foods, Processed 2,502 2,061 2,595 2,552 4% 24% Red Meats 207,585 180,104 169,494 182,080-18% 1% Poultry Meat 497,001 601,639 557,960 772,067 12% 28% Dairy Products 156,053 75,755 127,233 62,527-18% -17% Eggs & Products 15,070 171 7,205 117-52% -32% Fresh Fruit 163,291 198,379 126,993 183,119-22% -8% Fresh Vegetables 5,944 8,509 5,997 8,895 1% 5% Processed Fruit & Vegetables 136,984 134,586 91,332 126,178-33% -6% Fruit & Vegetable Juices 9,663 7,761 6,775 5,956-30% -23% Tree Nuts 65,602 43,539 68,749 40,785 5% -6% Wine & Beer 90,881 75,401 29,073 20,684-68% -73% Nursery Products 5,768 N.A. 10,834 N.A. 88% N.A. Pet Food 323 274 3,418 2,058 958% 651% Other Consumer Products 180,224 110,799 137,625 81,799-24% -26% TOTAL 1,629,326 1,475,568 1,406,170 1,515,349-14% 3% TOTAL, ex. Poultry 1,132,325 873,929 848,210 743,282-25% -15% NOTE: Format is the same one used for USDA/FAS 'Bico' Reports. Total volumes exclude Nursery Products' volumes, because they are unavailable.

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 5 of 8 Hong Kong Re-exports of Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products to China Comparison of Various Countries of Origin 1999, January 1 to December 31 (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) % of Country 1999 1999 Total % of Total Main Product Categories United States 613,847 740,566 43.7% 48.9% Poultry, Fresh Fruit South Africa 11,173 15,166 0.8% 1.0% Fresh Fruit Japan 13,526 7,275 1.0% 0.5% Snack Foods, Poultry South Korea 30,037 18,404 2.1% 1.2% Snack Foods, OCP Malaysia 19,976 14,926 1.4% 1.0% Snack Foods, Dairy Products Philippines 10,197 15,549 0.7% 1.0% Fresh Fruit, PFV Singapore 7,609 4,136 0.5% 0.3% OCP, PFV Taiwan 19,387 10,581 1.4% 0.7% OCP, PFV, Dairy Products Thailand 77,243 140,260 5.5% 9.3% Fresh Fruit, PFV Australia 38,033 33,871 2.7% 2.2% Red Meats, Dairy Products, Poultry, TN New Zealand 43,565 27,367 3.1% 1.8% Dairy Products Argentina 13,191 13,732 0.9% 0.9% Red Meats, Poultry Brazil 59,457 63,568 4.2% 4.2% Poultry, Red Meats Chile 27,263 37,876 1.9% 2.5% Fresh Fruit Canada 48,296 50,184 3.4% 3.3% Poultry, Red Meats, OCP France 33,231 23,319 2.4% 1.5% Poultry, Red Meats, OCP, Beer & Wine Germany 28,925 33,783 2.1% 2.2% Red Meats, PFV, Poultry, EP Italy 14,263 3,555 1.0% 0.2% Snack Foods Netherlands 81,929 84,363 5.8% 5.6% Poultry, Red Meats, Beer & Wine Great Britain 48,783 51,546 3.5% 3.4% Poultry, Red Meats Others 166,239 125,322 11.8% 8.3% TOTAL 1,406,170 1,515,349 100.0% 100.0% Poultry, Red Meats, Fresh Fruit OCP: Other Consumer Products PFV: Processed Fruits and Vegetables TN: Treenuts EP: Eggs and Products Volume figures exclude Nursery Products' volumes, because they are unavailable. Hong Kong Re-exports of Poultry Meat to China, 1999: All Origins (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) Country

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 6 of 8 United States 368,221 553,200 66.0% 71.7% Brazil 42,782 50,906 7.7% 6.6% Great Britain 31,003 35,983 5.6% 4.7% Netherlands 24,849 26,771 4.5% 3.5% Canada 21,383 29,512 3.8% 3.8% France 13,727 10,798 2.5% 1.4% Thailand 8,107 10,074 1.5% 1.3% Argentina 5,220 7,014 0.9% 0.9% Germany 5,240 5,129 0.9% 0.7% Chile 3,657 4,877 0.7% 0.6% Australia 3,499 4,499 0.6% 0.6% Others 30,272 33,304 5.4% 4.3% TOTAL 557,960 772,067 100.0% 100.0% Hong Kong Re-exports of Red Meats to China, 1999: All Origins (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) Country United States 51,808 43,800 30.6% 24.1% Netherlands 28,301 39,476 16.7% 21.7% Canada 12,790 17,561 7.5% 9.6% Brazil 14,502 10,869 8.6% 6.0% Great Britain 8,772 12,656 5.2% 7.0% Germany 7,939 10,925 4.7% 6.0% Argentina 7,476 5,985 4.4% 3.3% Australia 5,994 6,154 3.5% 3.4% France 5,114 6,200 3.0% 3.4% New Zealand 3,377 2,083 2.0% 1.1% Others 23,421 26,371 13.8% 14.5% TOTAL 169,494 182,080 100.0% 100.0% Hong Kong Re-exports of Fresh Fruit to China, 1999: All Origins (: $ '000, : Metric Tons)

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 7 of 8 Country United States 39,329 50,254 31.0% 27.4% Thailand 38,896 60,697 30.6% 33.1% Chile 22,411 31,928 17.6% 17.4% South Africa 9,561 13,752 7.5% 7.5% Philippines 5,899 11,461 4.6% 6.3% Australia 5,253 5,579 4.1% 3.0% Others 5,644 9,448 4.4% 5.2% TOTAL 126,993 183,119 100.0% 100.0% Hong Kong Re-exports of Poultry Meat to China, 1999 Breakdown by Product Sub-category (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) Product Chicken Feet, Frozen 182,834 293,577 32.8% 38.0% Chicken Wings, Frozen 137,345 155,273 24.6% 20.1% Chicken Offal, Frozen 1/ 25,697 27,668 4.6% 3.6% Chicken Cuts, Frozen 2/ 167,067 251,697 29.9% 32.6% Turkey Cuts & Offal, Frozen 20,746 28,407 3.7% 3.7% Duck Cuts & Offal, Frozen 13,944 10,382 2.5% 1.3% Goose Cuts & Offal, Frozen 9,685 4,298 1.7% 0.6% Other 642 765 0.1% 0.1% TOTAL 557,960 772,067 100.0% 100.0% 1/ Except Feet 2/Except Wings Hong Kong Re-exports of Red Meats to China, 1999 Breakdown by Product Sub-category (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) Product Lamb and Mutton 324 106 0.2% 0.1%

GAIN Report #CH0612 Page 8 of 8 Offal 748 104 0.4% 0.1% Beef 5,749 2,475 3.4% 1.4% Pork 17,230 24,849 10.2% 13.6% Variety Meats 140,855 152,047 83.1% 83.5% Sausages 1,615 919 1.0% 0.5% Meat Products 2,974 1,580 1.8% 0.9% TOTAL 169,494 182,080 100.0% 100.0% Hong Kong Re-exports of Fresh Fruit to China, 1999 Breakdown by Product Sub-category (: $ '000, : Metric Tons) Product Citrus Fruit 22,871 35,112 18.0% 19.2% Deciduous Fruit 56,281 70,582 44.3% 38.5% Melons 637 1,958 0.5% 1.1% Other Fruits 47,203 75,466 37.2% 41.2% TOTAL 126,993 183,119 100.0% 100.0%