Fresh Deciduous Fruit (Apples, Grapes, & Pears): World Markets and Trade June 21 APPLES Record Production but Trade Estimate Revised Downward The world production estimate for 29/1 is virtually unchanged from the December forecast at 61.9 million tons. The world export estimate is reduced 8 percent to 4.8 million tons due to weaker than anticipated international demand, primarily in Russia. 29/1 Revision Highlights Chile s production and export estimates are both revised down 2 percent to 1.1 million tons and 55, tons, respectively, because inclement weather impacted quality and supplies and an earthquake caused internal transportation delays. U.S. exports are estimated down 3 percent to 82, tons due to weaker than anticipated demand from Canada and Mexico, the top two U.S. markets. U.S. imports are trimmed 1 percent to 15, tons on abundant domestic supplies. China s export estimate is reduced 1 percent to 1.2 million tons on less demand in its major markets, including Russia, the Philippines, and Kazakhstan. Russia s import estimate is lowered 8 percent to 1.1 million tons as a result of continued economic problems, weakening currency, and more restrictive phytosanitary requirements on fruit from the European Union (EU), its largest supplier. GRAPES Record Production but Lower Trade The global production estimate remains virtually unchanged at a record 15.1 million tons. The world trade estimate is lowered 8 percent to 2.2 million tons on lighter demand for imported grapes, competition with alternative fruits, and smaller exportable supplies from Chile, the world s dominant exporter. 29/1 Revision Highlights Chile s production and export estimates are reduced 15 percent and 23 percent to 1 million tons and 665, tons, respectively, due to weather-related problems and an earthquake. Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA
Page 2 The U.S. import estimate is lowered 2 percent to 515, tons, largely resulting from smaller shipments from Chile, the largest U.S. supplier, and competition from other domestically produced fruits. The U.S. export estimate is revised down 5 percent to 35, tons on lower exportable supplies and reduced demand in major markets, including Canada and Mexico. U.S. shipments to Mexico are down sharply, due in part to the 45-percent retaliatory tariffs related to the trucking dispute. PEARS Production Down Marginally but Still a Record; Trade Stable The world production estimate is down 1 percent to 19.7 million tons, but still a record. The world trade estimate remains virtually unchanged at 1.6 million tons. Weaker than anticipated import demand in the United States and the EU offsets stronger demand in Vietnam and Russia. 29/1 Revision Highlights The production estimates for Argentina and South Africa are lowered 6 percent each on weather-induced problems. The U.S. import estimate is lowered 2 percent on abundant domestic supplies. The EU import estimate is down 1 percent on plentiful domestic supplies. were raised 1 percent on stronger than anticipated demand in Russia; Russian imports are raised 6 percent on higher demand from EU. The Vietnam import estimate is up 15 percent on stronger than expected import pace. For more information, please contact Shari Kosco at 22-72-283 or shari.kosco@usda.gov. For additional production, supply, and demand information, you may visit our website at http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdhome.aspx. WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE: DECIDUOUS FRUIT Office of Global Analysis Office of Global Analysis June 21
Apples: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries Selected Apple Countries Algeria 27/8 1, 1, 1, 1, 28/9 113, 113, 113, 113, 29/1 11, 11, 11, 11, Argentina 27/8 98, 75 98,75 394,93 235,82 98,75 28/9 933, 1,375 934,375 257,515 25,86 934,375 29/1 8, 1, 81, 265, 25, 81, Australia 27/8 265, 265, 229,7 3,8 265, 28/9 295, 295, 259,785 4,715 295, 29/1 275, 275, 24,1 4,9 275, Azerbaijan 27/8 95, 2,232 97,232 9,777 87,455 97,232 28/9 12, 5,827 125,827 9,975 115,852 125,827 29/1 11, 13, 123, 38, 85, 123, Bangladesh 27/8 75, 75, 75, 75, 28/9 111, 111, 111, 111, 29/1 127, 127, 127, 127, Belarus 27/8 3, 3, 3, 3, 28/9 45, 45, 45, 45, 29/1 43, 43, 43, 43, Brazil 27/8 1,121,29 55,5 1,176,34 897,181 112,35 1,176,34 28/9 1,22,499 61,34 1,281,839 934,996 98,265 1,281,839 29/1 1,257,114 5, 1,37,114 1,16,25 15, 1,37,114 Canada 27/8 45,543 166,3 571,843 42,743 51,1 571,843 28/9 393,435 174,1 567,535 439,235 29,3 567,535 29/1 41, 176, 586, 462, 24, 586, Chile 27/8 1,35, 8 1,35,8 149,8 775,91 1,35,8 28/9 1,28, 15 1,28,15 21,5 678,65 1,28,15 29/1 1,9, 5 1,9,5 182, 55, 1,9,5 China 27/8 24,8, 4,647 24,84,647 16,41,669 1,38,978 24,84,647 28/9 29,8, 49,356 29,849,356 23,916,594 1,132,762 29,849,356 29/1 32,, 6, 32,6, 26,91, 1,15, 32,6, Colombia 27/8 9, 63, 72, 72, 72, 28/9 9, 71,9 8,9 8,9 8,9 29/1 9, 71, 8, 8, 8, Costa Rica 27/8 14,5 14,5 14,5 14,5 28/9 13,1 13,1 13,1 13,1 29/1 13,4 13,4 13,4 13,4 Croatia 27/8 6, 13,5 73,5 54,5 19, 73,5 28/9 5, 14, 64, 55, 9, 64, 29/1 4, 13, 53, 44, 9, 53, Ecuador 27/8 42,2 42,2 42,2 42,2 Office of Global Analysis June 21
Apples: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries (Continued) 28/9 29/1 EU-27 27/8 28/9 29/1 Guatemala 27/8 28/9 29/1 Honduras 27/8 28/9 29/1 Hong Kong 27/8 28/9 29/1 India 27/8 28/9 29/1 Indonesia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Japan 27/8 28/9 29/1 Kazakhstan 27/8 28/9 29/1 Kyrgyzstan 27/8 28/9 29/1 Libya 27/8 28/9 29/1 Malaysia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Mexico 27/8 28/9 29/1 New Zealand 27/8 28/9 29/1 Norway 27/8 1,294,98 12,575,63 12,61,6 22,226 22,448 22,4 2,1, 1,93, 1,935, 84,1 91,7 845,6 21, 21, 21, 12, 12, 12, 55, 511,988 577,285 436, 465, 42,3 15, 42, 43, 883, 778,9 7, 12,232 12,89 12, 1,6 9,96 1, 98,7 12,7 124, 61, 59,8 75, 143, 151, 153,5 1 36 63 8, 128, 95, 47, 21,5 25, 22, 33, 32, 88,7 94, 95, 196,953 222,655 219, 1,645 1,253 2, 56,4 42, 42, 42, 43, 43, 43, 11,177,98 7,997,24 75, 11,177,98 13,353,963 8,546,33 1,23, 13,353,963 12,761,6 8,611,6 1,1, 12,761,6 34,458 31,961 2,497 34,458 34,537 32,84 1,733 34,537 34,4 33,4 1, 34,4 1,6 1,6 1,6 9,96 9,96 9,96 1, 1, 1, 98,7 98,7 98,7 12,7 12,7 12,7 124, 124, 124, 2,62, 2,61,98 2 2,62, 1,989,8 1,989,78 2 1,989,8 2,1, 2,1, 2,1, 143, 143, 143, 151, 151, 151, 153,5 153,5 153,5 84,11 679,757 25,344 84,11 91,736 753,489 22,247 91,736 845,663 697,663 23, 845,663 11, 95,2 5,8 11, 149, 147, 2, 149, 116, 114,5 1,5 116, 59, 5, 9, 59, 33,5 23,5 1, 33,5 37, 32, 5, 37, 22, 22, 22, 33, 33, 33, 32, 32, 32, 88,7 88,7 88,7 94, 94, 94, 95, 95, 95, 71,953 576,648 35 71,953 734,643 612,358 285 734,643 796,285 671,85 2 796,285 437,645 51,615 26,83 437,645 466,253 53, 32,854 466,253 422,3 62,3 26, 422,3 71,4 54,4 71,4 Office of Global Analysis June 21
Apples: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries (Continued) Peru 28/9 29/1 27/8 28/9 29/1 Philippines 27/8 28/9 29/1 Russia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Saudi Arabia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Serbia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Singapore 27/8 28/9 29/1 South Africa 27/8 28/9 29/1 Sri Lanka 27/8 28/9 29/1 Taiwan 27/8 28/9 29/1 Thailand 27/8 28/9 29/1 Turkey 27/8 28/9 29/1 Ukraine 27/8 28/9 29/1 United Arab Emirates 27/8 28/9 29/1 United States 27/8 15, 15, 1,3, 1,115, 1,15, 11, 17, 117, 7,3 7,2 7,3 748,699 88,916 74, 5,953 4,163 3,76 2,458, 2,6, 2,8, 77, 719, 76, 4,122,925 5,5 53, 28,4 34,96 28, 74,2 75, 7, 94, 1,147, 1,1, 13, 126, 118, 22, 21, 15, 45,413 46,219 46, 17,1 18,2 2, 133,5 128,9 129, 87,5 12,9 122, 2,8 3,8 3, 111,93 265,298 27, 119, 15, 14, 172,887 65,5 48,5 65,5 68, 51, 68, 28,4 28,4 28,4 34,96 34,96 34,96 28, 28, 28, 74,2 74,2 74,2 75, 75, 75, 7, 7, 7, 2,24, 1,365,2 3,8 2,24, 2,262, 1,352,3 2,7 2,262, 2,25, 1,382, 3, 2,25, 13, 13, 13, 126, 126, 126, 118, 118, 118, 132, 132, 132, 128, 128, 128, 132, 132, 132, 52,713 45,521 7,192 52,713 53,419 47,839 5,58 53,419 53,3 47,3 6, 53,3 748,699 181,145 358,554 748,699 88,916 28,755 338,97 88,916 74, 141, 35, 74, 17,1 17,1 17,1 18,2 18,2 18,2 2, 2, 2, 139,453 139,453 139,453 133,63 133,63 133,63 132,76 132,76 132,76 87,5 87,5 87,5 12,9 12,9 12,9 122, 122, 122, 2,46,8 2,345,257 15,543 2,46,8 2,63,8 2,479,8 24, 2,63,8 2,83, 2,666, 37, 2,83, 818,93 791,5 27,88 818,93 984,298 942,563 41,735 984,298 1,3, 974, 56, 1,3, 119, 119, 119, 15, 15, 15, 14, 14, 14, 4,295,812 2,275,814 673,677 4,295,812 Office of Global Analysis June 21
Apples: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries (Continued) 28/9 29/1 Uruguay 27/8 28/9 29/1 Venezuela 27/8 28/9 29/1 Vietnam 27/8 28/9 29/1 Selected Apple Countries 27/8 28/9 29/1 4,358,75 4,417,8 5,3 2,5 2,4 52,698,316 6,286,662 61,899,559 164,85 15, 49,8 34,4 42, 7, 154, 175, 4,38,183 4,876,68 4,744,13 4,523,6 2,238,571 8,95 4,523,6 4,567,8 2,25,4 82, 4,567,8 5,3 5,3 5,3 2,5 2,5 2,5 2,4 2,4 2,4 49,8 49,8 49,8 34,4 34,4 34,4 42, 42, 42, 7, 7, 7, 154, 154, 154, 175, 175, 175, 57,6,499 38,345,16 4,469,363 57,6,499 65,162,73 47,339,345 5,32,978 65,162,73 66,643,572 5,667,213 4,798, 66,643,572 Note: From 1994, the United States and Mexico are on a Aug-July marketing year. All other Northern Hemisphere countries are on a July-June marketing year. Southern hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. Office of Global Analysis June 21
Grapes, Fresh: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries Selected Grape Countries Argentina 27/8 145, 1,736 146,736 77,18 69,718 146,736 28/9 12, 1,536 121,536 75,271 46,265 121,536 29/1 14, 1, 141, 81, 6, 141, Australia 27/8 99, 16,3 115,3 74,515 4,785 115,3 28/9 95, 17,525 112,525 41,366 71,159 112,525 29/1 9, 17, 17, 55, 52, 17, Brazil 27/8 1,367,763 12,565 1,38,328 1,298,86 82,242 1,38,328 28/9 1,31,189 18,665 1,328,854 1,274,294 54,56 1,328,854 29/1 1,3, 2, 1,32, 1,266, 54, 1,32, Canada 27/8 191,62 191,62 191,62 191,62 28/9 189,825 189,825 189,825 189,825 29/1 182, 182, 182, 182, Chile 27/8 1,185, 264 1,185,264 348,44 836,86 1,185,264 28/9 1,25, 292 1,25,292 354,92 85,39 1,25,292 29/1 1,25, 26 1,25,26 36,26 665, 1,25,26 China 27/8 4,646,814 46,5 4,693,314 4,639,14 54,3 4,693,314 28/9 4,953, 8,1 5,33,1 4,969,9 63,2 5,33,1 29/1 5,623, 9, 5,713, 5,613, 1, 5,713, EU-27 27/8 1,977, 644,449 2,621,449 2,485,425 136,24 2,621,449 28/9 2,11, 636,992 2,647,992 2,486,434 161,558 2,647,992 29/1 2,, 622, 2,622, 2,52, 12, 2,622, Hong Kong 27/8 6, 81, 141, 91,5 49,5 141, 28/9 7, 121,57 191,57 18,85 82,72 191,57 29/1 8, 12, 2, 117, 83, 2, India 27/8 1,5, 2,5 1,7,5 89,1 117,4 1,7,5 28/9 1,5,5 2,8 1,8,3 898,95 19,35 1,8,3 29/1 1,6, 3, 1,9, 9, 19, 1,9, Indonesia 27/8 27, 27, 27, 27, 28/9 27,9 27,9 27,9 27,9 29/1 33, 33, 33, 33, Japan 27/8 184,1 7,145 191,245 19,881 364 191,245 28/9 176, 6,83 182,83 182,423 47 182,83 29/1 177,2 8, 185,2 184,8 4 185,2 Korea, South 27/8 7 33,467 34,167 33,842 325 34,167 28/9 8 29,12 29,92 29,49 43 29,92 29/1 8 31, 31,8 31,25 55 31,8 Mexico 27/8 266,317 72, 338,317 161,417 176,9 338,317 28/9 182,7 78,8 26,87 14,36 156,51 26,87 29/1 171,39 32, 23,39 73,39 13, 23,39 New Zealand 27/8 11, 11, 11, 11, Office of Global Analysis June 21
Grapes, Fresh: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries (Continued) 28/9 29/1 Russia 27/8 28/9 29/1 South Africa 27/8 28/9 29/1 Turkey 27/8 28/9 29/1 Ukraine 27/8 28/9 29/1 United States 27/8 28/9 29/1 Selected Grape Countries 27/8 28/9 29/1 4, 28, 29, 258,773 255,284 28, 1,92, 1,97, 2,, 3, 31, 33, 834,99 893,758 828,8 14,29,376 14,585,61 15,81,19 9,7 9,5 47,91 397,6 38, 2 2 2 66,46 57,69 32, 569,3 625,616 515, 2,191,2 2,32,14 2,95,96 9,7 9,7 9,7 9,5 9,5 9,5 447,91 446,285 625 447,91 425,6 422,8 8 425,6 49, 48,1 9 49, 258,773 34,65 224,123 258,773 255,284 37,49 217,875 255,284 28, 2, 26, 28, 1,92,2 1,76,2 16, 1,92,2 1,97,2 1,768,2 22, 1,97,2 2,,2 1,794,2 26, 2,,2 366,46 365,964 82 366,46 367,69 366,941 128 367,69 362, 361,9 1 362, 1,44,29 1,13,295 3,914 1,44,29 1,519,374 1,183,331 336,43 1,519,374 1,343,8 1,38,8 35, 1,343,8 16,481,378 14,23,216 2,25,162 16,481,378 16,887,741 14,532,346 2,353,395 16,887,741 17,177,69 15,31,119 2,145,95 17,177,69 Note: From 1994, the United States and Mexico are on a May-April marketing year. All other Northern Hemisphere countries are on a June-May marketing year. Southern Hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. Production has been adjusted to reflect grapes for fresh-market consumption only. Any comparison with previous years and reports should take this into account. Office of Global Analysis June 21
Pears: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries Selected Pear Countries Argentina 27/8 72, 45 72,45 8,45 465, 72,45 28/9 78, 1 78,1 87,2 452,9 78,1 29/1 7, 5 7,5 9,5 41, 7,5 Australia 27/8 127,557 2,35 129,862 86,127 5,735 129,862 28/9 125, 2,565 127,565 86,155 6,41 127,565 29/1 15, 2,7 17,7 7,7 6, 17,7 Brazil 27/8 18,3 14, 158,3 158,234 66 158,3 28/9 18,2 155,7 173,9 173,9 173,9 29/1 18,3 165, 183,3 183,3 183,3 Canada 27/8 11,884 77,4 89,284 85,234 5 89,284 28/9 9,564 68,6 78,164 77,614 5 78,164 29/1 7,6 72, 79,6 79,45 5 79,6 Chile 27/8 232, 32 232,32 75,43 133,666 232,32 28/9 227, 227, 76,968 13,38 227, 29/1 222, 222, 75, 127, 222, China 27/8 12,895, 14 12,895,14 11,521,746 423,268 12,895,14 28/9 13,538,142 9 13,538,151 12,62,593 445,558 13,538,151 29/1 13,8, 1 13,8,1 12,237,91 46, 13,8,1 EU-27 27/8 2,784,137 351,6 3,135,737 2,549,317 275,523 3,135,737 28/9 2,435,57 392,1 2,827,157 2,327,47 223,85 2,827,157 29/1 2,724,5 345, 3,69,5 2,492,8 27, 3,69,5 Hong Kong 27/8 5,2 29,558 34,758 29,579 5,179 34,758 28/9 3,1 25,56 28,66 25,659 3,1 28,66 29/1 1,5 25, 26,5 25,2 1,3 26,5 Indonesia 27/8 9,58 9,58 9,58 9,58 28/9 83,77 83,77 83,77 83,77 29/1 92, 92, 92, 92, Japan 27/8 326,4 19 326,59 324,83 2,126 326,59 28/9 361,7 81 361,781 36,11 1,47 361,781 29/1 351,5 75 351,575 349,575 1,7 351,575 Malaysia 27/8 49, 49, 49, 49, 28/9 42, 42, 42, 42, 29/1 4, 4, 4, 4, Mexico 27/8 24,739 89,215 113,954 111,914 4 113,954 28/9 21,14 78,152 99,256 97,158 98 99,256 29/1 21,11 8, 11,11 99,7 4 11,11 New Zealand 27/8 14,172 3,739 17,911 1,736 4,775 17,911 28/9 14,87 3,158 18,28 1,13 5,515 18,28 29/1 14,1 2,5 16,6 8,5 5,6 16,6 Norway 27/8 25,57 25,57 25,57 25,57 Office of Global Analysis June 21
Pears: Production, Supply, and in Selected Countries (Continued) 28/9 29/1 Philippines 27/8 28/9 29/1 Russia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Saudi Arabia 27/8 28/9 29/1 Singapore 27/8 28/9 29/1 South Africa 27/8 28/9 29/1 Thailand 27/8 28/9 29/1 Turkey 27/8 28/9 29/1 United Arab Emirates 27/8 28/9 29/1 United States 27/8 28/9 29/1 Venezuela 27/8 28/9 29/1 Vietnam 27/8 28/9 29/1 Selected Pear Countries 27/8 28/9 29/1 19, 18, 18, 3,2 2,1 2, 342,143 347,636 348, 355, 36, 376, 791, 789,2 848,1 18,84,732 19,212,673 19,719,71 22,5 23, 15,5 14, 15, 397, 316,5 37, 12, 9, 11, 24,6 22,5 22,5 185 19 19 4,7 43, 41, 13 13 13 14, 17,6 19, 85,837 83,947 65, 19,1 1,6 15, 64,3 81, 13, 1,532,519 1,472,762 1,59,155 22,5 22,5 22,5 23, 23, 23, 15,5 15,5 15,5 14, 14, 14, 15, 15, 15, 587, 449,5 2,5 587, 496,5 425,2 2,3 496,5 55, 48,3 1,7 55, 12, 12, 12, 9, 9, 9, 11, 11, 11, 27,8 24,7 3,1 27,8 24,6 22,6 2, 24,6 24,5 23,1 1,4 24,5 342,328 48,328 166, 342,328 347,826 45,26 18,62 347,826 348,19 48,19 18, 348,19 4,7 4,7 4,7 43, 43, 43, 41, 41, 41, 355,13 339,795 5,335 355,13 36,13 343,85 6,28 36,13 376,13 353,83 12,3 376,13 14, 14, 14, 17,6 17,6 17,6 19, 19, 19, 876,837 425,62 161,564 876,837 873,147 432,69 15,2 873,147 913,1 448,8 165, 913,1 19,1 19,1 19,1 1,6 1,6 1,6 15, 15, 15, 64,3 64,3 64,3 81, 81, 81, 13, 13, 13, 2,373,251 16,65,58 1,653,927 2,373,251 2,685,435 16,977,757 1,61,29 2,685,435 21,228,865 17,424,775 1,642,9 21,228,865 Note: Northern Hemisphere countries are on a July-June marketing year. Southern Hemisphere countries are on a calendar year indicated as the second year of the split year. Imports and exports will not equal due to statistical discrepancies. Office of Global Analysis June 21