MARKETING TRENDS FOR COCONUT PRODUCTS IN SRI LANKA

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,'6 b l\o L( cl/\r!y ~?\ 1IJ7'X ~.fsool- CR Cc~~ ~t).> MARKETING TRENDS FOR COCONUT PRODUCTS IN SRI LANKA 1950-1981 By Sunil Chandra ~~nnapperuma B.A. (Ceylon) A dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Agricultural Development Economics at The Australian National University, Canberra. 184046 June 1983.

iv. ABSTRACT The coconut industry occupies an extremely important position in the economy of Sri Lanka. Among the extraordinary number of products derived from the coconut palm>copra, coconut oil, fresh coconuts, desiccated coconut, coir and shell products have high economic significance both in local and export markets. This study has examined some marketing trends in some component parts of the coconut industry. First. a descriptive analysis of the trends and fluctuations in production. processing. pricing and marketing of the major coconut products was undertaken using the national statistics for the country for the period 1950-1981. The aim was to examine major causes of the fluctuations to see which if any are amenable to policy changes. Parallel analysis has been undertaken of kernel products and the by-products. In this study "naive" multivariate supply functions were used to account for annual fluctuations and longer trends in copra and coir fibre supply seperately. The empirical results on copra supply show that a narrowing of the price ratio. between Colombo Retail Price of Fresh Coconuts and Average F.O.B. (Colombo) Price of Coconut Kernel Products would increase the copra supply. Extensive fertilizer distribution policy combined with improved irrigation or moisture retention practices has been highlighted as a strategy towards increasing the copra supply. HmJever the implementation of such practices will depend to a great extent on ensuring that coconut producers obtain a remunerative price for their product. Empirical results on coir fibre supply highlight the necessity of paying attention not only to increasing nominal money values, but also to increasing the real values of fibre products. compared to escalating import prices. The study reveals the necessity for higher attention to be paid for the coconut by-products sector which has been neglected over the past period.

v. CONTENTS Page ACKNOWLEDGEHENTS ABSTRACT LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES iii iv viii x 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 The Role of the Coconut Industry 1.2 The Aim of the Study 1.3 Source of Data 1.4.Organization of Subsequent Chapters 1 1 6 8 9 2 A PERSPECTIVE OF THE COCONUT INDUSTRY OF SRI LANKA 10 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 Historic Background of the Coconut Industry of Sri Lanka Distribution of Coconut Lands Age Yield Relationship of Coconut Palms Domestic Consumption of Coconut Domestic Marketing of Coconuts Cost of Production Seasonal Cropping and Utilization Pattern Coconut Processing Industry and Their Marketing Outlook 2.8.1 Copra Processing 2.8.2 Copra Milling (Oil) 10 11 14 15 19 20 21 25 25 27 2.8.3 Poonac.:-::;;,~..:~;;;'~::';';:", \ ;) J';; 29 } " ~!~""";'~'.'

vi. 2.8.4 Desiccated Coconut (D.C.) 29 2.8.5 Coir Fibre 30 2.8.6 Coconut Shell Products 34 2.9 The Institutions Directly Related to Coconut Industry 35 39 3 GENEP~L TRENDS IN COCONUT MARKETING 41 3.1.1 3.1. 2 Trends in the Pattern of Utilization of Coconut Factors Influencing the Pattern of Utilization of Coconut Products 41 43 3.2 Supply and Demand Trends of Coconut Kernel Products 3.2.1 Copra 3.2.2 Coconut Oil 3.2.3 Poonac 49 3.2.4 Desiccated Coconut 51 3.2.5 Fresh Coconut Exports 54 3.3 Supply and Demand Trends of Coconut By-Products 55 3.3.1 Coir Fibre 57 3.3.2 Shell Products 60 Statistical Appendix to Chapter 3 62 64 4 AN ANALYSIS OF SUPPLY FLUCTUATIONS OF COCONUT PRODUCTS 73 4.1 Previous Studies 73 4.2 Copra 76 4.2.1 A Supply Function 76 4.2.2 Stat~stical Results 81 4.2.3 Interpretation of Results 8J

vii. 4.3 Desiccated Coconut 99 4.4 Coir Fibre 4.4.1 A Coir Fibre Supply Model 99 100 4.4.2 Statistical Results 102 4.4.3 Interpretation of Results 4.5 Shell Products Statistical Appendix to Chapter 4 107 llo 110 112 5 SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS 114 5.1 114 5.2 Recommendations 117 5.3 Areas for Further Research 120 REFERENCES 121