INSIDE THE RICE (short) No. 052 September 2013

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1 E.U. Rice Ex Mill USD/ MT 12 Dec 2011 Euro / 12 Dec 2011 $ / Euro / Jan Jan $/ 9 Sept 9 Sept Originario Round Japonica Medium Japonica Lido/ Flipper 6 mm Roma Lg jap 7,18 mm Baldo LG Jap 7,35 mm Arborio LG japonica Top 7,37 mm INDICA LG Milled 7,61 mm Parboiled Baldo LG Jap Parboiled INDICA Lg Broken ¾ to more than ½ grain Broken ½ grain Rice Bran Row Broken less ¼ sortex Egyptian White Medium 5 % Fob FCL Alexandria 730 EU import Tax on Milled Broken T 65 EU import tax on Brown any rice T 30 Spain Blanco Japonica MG Sevilla NA Russian Rice Future groats G 1-8 % Br WM Ex Mill Krasn Bulk Soft Wheat Rouen FOB Soft Wheat Fob Marseille 186 Maize ex Bordeaux Durum Wheat France South port PLN THAILAND FOB 50 Kg PP bags USD/ EURO $ / MT /MT Thailand milled Long Grain Indica New Crop Thai White Rice 100% B Thai White Rice 5% Thai OLD CROP White Rice 5 % Na 400 Thai White Rice 10% Thai White Rice 15% Thai White Rice 25% Broken A1 Super Fragrant A1 Super Parboiled milled rice 100% Whole long grain Sortexed 590 Hom Mali 92% Purity or Jasmine Rice Equiv 5% NA PAKISTAN FOB Stowed 50 Kg Karachi or In EURO EURO/ $/MT USD/MT Container FCL 20 /MT MT Irri 6 Milled WRLG IRRI 6 with 5 % Brkn sortexed DP WRLG IRRI 6 with 10 % Brkn WM WRLG IRRI 6 with 15 % Brkn W Milled WRLG IRRI 6 with 15 % Brkn Standard

2 WR LG 25 max standard Milling % Broken Sortex Double polished PK 386 Long Grain 2 % Na Super Basmati Milled 2 % Old Crop 990 NA IRRI 9 Milled 2 % ParBoiled LG 5 % Broken max SRTXD 440 Small Broken w m d sortexed 1,7-2,5 mm Human consumption NA BASMATI D 98 with 2 % broken INDIA FOB Stowed 50 kg If Container premium $ 15/ to Vizag na $ EURO $ / Parboiled 106 Long grain milled 5 Srtxd Kandla 510 White Milled Rice LG PR 106 Well Milled Kandla Sortexed DP WR LG PR 106 WM 5% Br Standard Kandla 500 WRLG PR % Br R W M Kandla 440 Broken sortexed super PR 106 Kandla NA W R IR 64 Long grain 5% DP srtxd Kakinada W R IR 64 Long grain 5% Standard WM Par Boiled IR 64 Sortex Well milled 5 % Kakinada W R IR 64 L G 15 % well milled WR IR 64 long grain 25 % well milled BROWN PARBOILED SORTEXED LG 6 mm BROWN LG IR 64 /IR 38 SRTXD LG 6 mm Super Broken Sortex D P water polished Kernel more than 1,5 MM IR 64 Broken less than 1.5 mm well milled human consumption 1121 PUSA BASMATI 2 % ex Mill Rps/100 Haryana Punjab Pure Basmati milled 2 % ex Mill Rps/ Medium Grain Swarna Sortexed 5% DP 5.5 mm max Kakinada 395 N crop Med G Swarna 15 % broken Indica WM Kakinada NA Med G Swarna 25 % Broken Standard milling RWM Kakinada 370 New c M Grain PB SWARNA SRTX WM New C VIETNAM FOB 50 kg traditional vessel $ EURO $ / LG Milled 5% WM DP ¾ basis % Br basis 3/4 WM % Br basis 2/3 WM LG Reasonably Mill 25 % Br basis ½ grain A1 Super broken Well Milled Jasmine Broken Pure sortexed DP $/ 2

3 LG Fragrant Rice 5 purity 90% W M DP 5% LG Jasmine 90 % purity 5 WM D Polished MERCOSUR $ EURO $ / Mercosur rice Long Grain Milled Uruguay Long Grain Sortexed 5% broken Bagged FOB Uruguay PB Brown LG in Bulk in FCL 525 NA Uruguay Brown Long Grain FOB bulk FCL Na NA Brazil LG 5 % broken bulk FAS + empty bag on board of vessel $ 10 /t 560 Na Brazil LG 20 % Broken Fas +empty bags On board $ 10/mt Na Uruguay Parboiled 5 Sortexed bagged Fob NA Brazil Parboiled 5 Sortexed bulk FAS empty bags $ 10/ São Paolo Milled LG Tipo 1 wholesaler 30 Kg bags Local Market Uruguay broken 100 % Srtx FOB Bagged NA 340 Brazilian Broken FAS Bulk RGS port Bulk 330 N Crop 320 PADDY ex mill bulk cash 58 whole grain $ EURO $ / min Italy Long Grain Indica Paddy Brazil Long Grain Indica RGSul Italy Medium Grain Japonica Italy Arborio Paddy LG Japonica Italy Round Grain Russian Round Grain Japonica Yield whole grain ex farm Indian Long Grain Indica ex farm Minimum Support Government -14 Free Market average North to South Egypt Paddy Med/LG Japonica ex farm NA Thai Long Grain Indica Gov Price Thai Fragrant Paddy Gov Price Bath / Bath / China Medium Grain Japonica Govern Price Paddy China early crop LG Future Paddy Vietnam LG Indica ex Mekong Farm dry Paddy Indonesian paddy Indica LG 404 CAMBODIA Cambodia Milled Long Grain FOB bulk FCL $ EURO $

4 Jasmine Top quality Pk Malis 5 pct FOB NA Milled rice Long Grain Broken 5 % Fragrant top Quality KDM 5 % 900 Broken 100 % Well milled FOB USA Ex mill bulk $ $c/cwt $/MT LG MILLED N 2 Broken 4 % TEXAS LG MILLED N 2 Broken 4 % Louisiana MEDIUM Californian SHORT GRAIN CALIF n Parboiled L G L/Tx/Ark average Broken Second Heads LG Broken Second Heads Medium Grain Cal Brewers Broken average Brewers Broken California Medium Rice Bran ex mill on truck Louisiana USD / Sept Nov Jan 15 August 6 Sept Corn USA Future Wheat USA future Paddy Rice Future Nov Euro /USD

5 THAILAND September 4, -Government approves rice pledging budget The cabinet has approved a total budget of 270 billion baht for the government s rice pledging scheme, Deputy Commerce Minister Yanyong Puangraj said on Tuesday. Despite opposition party criticism that corruption is blighting the scheme, the Pheu Thai-led government opted to carry on its vote-winning populist policy for the /14 harvest season, albeit a toned down version, as proposed by the National Rice Policy Committee. The pledging price for in-season normal paddy has been set at 15,000 baht/ton for white rice and 20,000 baht / ton for Hom Mali, or Jasmine rice, capped at 350,000 baht per farming household. The rice programme for inseason paddy runs from Oct 1, to Feb 28, 2014 The price for off-season paddy has meanwhile been set at 13,000 baht /ton, with the value capped at 300,000 baht per household. The off-season programme will run between March 1, 2014 to Sep 30, Varathep Rattanakorn, PM s Office Minister, said the government plans to purchase 16.5 million tons of rice in the /14 harvest season, with an expectation that losses will not exceed 100 billion baht. When Yingluck Shinawatra took office in 2011, the government vowed to accept all grains into the scheme, which pays farmers as much as 40% above market prices for their rice. After the first 2 years of the rice pledging scheme, the government had bought more than 18 million tons of unmilled rice. The exact amount of rice sold has not been confirmed, but government figures indicate around 10 million tonnes are still held in stock. When government launched the programme, ministers said it was necessary to improve the living standards of farmers and predicted that the scheme would push up the price of rice on the global market. But the global rice price has not increased because major rice producing countries India and Vietnam have had good harvest years and a surplus of rice to offload. The price of Thai five per cent white rice now is around US$442/ton, much lower than $700 expected by the government. The scheme has incurred huge losses, but there are currently no precise figures on the deficit. Supa Piyajitti, deputy finance permanent secretary has been appointed to chair a committee tasked with accounting for the scheme. The government admitted losses of 136 billion baht from the 1 st year of the scheme. However, total losses to date could be closer to 220 billion baht, if the main crop is taken into account. Since government took control of rice trading, exports of Thai rice have dropped continuously from million tons in 2011 to 6.73 million tonnes in For the first seven months of, the country shipped a total of 3.61 million tons of rice, compared to 3.8 million tons in the same period of 2012, according to the Thai Rice Exporters Association. Rice Export Update Unofficial rice exports (excluding premium white rice and fragrant rice) for August 12-18, totaled 47,026 metric tons, down 19,535 metric tons from the previous week, and down 4,540 metric tons from the 4 weeks moving average of 51,566 metric tons. 5

6 Exports of white and parboiled rice from January 1 through August 18, totaled 2,039,594 metric tons, down 36 % (3,164,861 metric tons) from the same period last year. Total rice exports (including premium white rice and fragrant rice) from January 1 through June 30, amounted to 3,059,337 metric tons, down 12% (3,470,642 metric tons) from the same period last year. EUROPEAN RICE IMPORTS Period Sept 2012-August 20, Milled rice basis Japonica total (brown and milled) Indica total (brown and milled) Broken rice (brown and milled) Included Egyptian quota EU IMPORT MT /08/ BASMATI TOTAL INDIA SHARE INDIA AROMATIC RICE - 2 September A new high yielding basmati variety Pusa-1509 entered the market for the first time on Monday. Similar to the Pusa-1121 variety, Pusa-1509 is also a long grain variety but gives higher yield. Physical market ex mill in Rpsx 100 kgs Fear of drop in prices in the near future, demand in the local market is quite. Pusa-1121 (steam) at Rs 8,000-8,100 Pusa-1121 (sela -parboiled) at Rs 7,650-7,750 Pure basmati (raw-milled) at Rs 8,650 Duplicate basmati (steam) at Rs 6,600 Brokens White Pusa-1121, Dubar at Rs 3,600 Broken White Tibar at Rs 4,200 Broken White Mongra at Rs 2,950 Non-basmati Sharbati (Steam) at Rs 4,500-4,600 Sharbati (Sela) at Rs 4,300. Permal (raw) at Rs 2,300-2,350 while Permal (sela) Rs 2,300 PR-11 (sela) at Rs 2,900 while PR-11 (raw) at Rs 2,750 PR14 (steam) at Rs 3,100 6

7 VIETNAM VFA proposes stockpiling more rice The Vietnam Food Association (VFA) has proposed the government allow businesses to purchase an additional 300,000 tons of rice from farmers to stabilize its prices in the domestic market. The purchase will last a month, starting on September 15. The move came after Thailand, one of the world s leading rice exporters, surprisingly lowered the prices of its 100B rice from US$430 to US$380/ton, which had an immediate and substantial impact on the global rice market, including Vietnam. In June- July local businesses bought 1 million tons of rice from farmers for national reserves to support farmers and stabilize the price of rice for export. However, VFA Chairman Mr Phong said only 200, ,000 tons of the stockpiled rice have been exported, meaning businesses now suffer a loss of US$30/ton (equal to US$24 million in total) due to the Thai sales decision. INDIA FOOD BILL India's upper house of parliament has approved plan to subsidies food for two-thirds of the population. The Food Security Bill proposes to make food a legal right and seeks to provide 5kg of grain every month to some 800 million poor people. The bill proposes to provide a kilo of rice at three rupees (six cents; four pence), wheat at two rupees and millet at one rupee. The scheme is likely to cost 1.3 trillion rupees ($19.7bn; 12.6bn) every year. The lower house of parliament passed the controversial bill last month. It will now go to President Pranab Mukherjee for approval to become law. But parliamentary approval is needed before 6 September - when the current session of parliament ends - for it to remain lawful. 7

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